GRAPH · BTC

Bitcoin: predictions, prices and linked headlines

This page keeps every Bitcoin prediction and source-timed headline together. The Founder result remains separate from later price evidence.

Line = price · P = prediction published · number = headline published.

← See all investments

investments: 1
Predictions: 7
Linked headlines: 5
Timed events: 12

6 September 2026 graph update: 0 new story markers and 0 prediction points were added for this edition. The preserved history below keeps its original dates.

How OTR judges a headline

OTR asks what the event may do to this investment—not whether the words sound happy or scary. May help, may hurt, mixed or unclear is shown beside each linked headline. Later prices test the idea; timing alone never proves cause.

WHAT HAPPENED NEXT

What happened after saved stories about Bitcoin

5 saved story matches

14 of 15 possible later-price checks are available.

93 out of 100 ready for comparison

This measures how many required prices were saved. It does not measure prediction skill.

Fell in 75% of its 4 complete twenty-hour checks

This only describes the past. It does not predict the next move.

Showing all 5 saved events. Open each row for the actual price times, source and earlier comparisons.

Saved story

Published

After 1 hour

After 4 hours

After 20 hours

Earlier comparisons and evidence

A tokenised-asset lending vault launched with a stated variable yield target.

2026-09-02 21:03:00 Singapore time

+0.38%

+0.52%

Not measured

0 earlier completed comparisons · open prices and evidence

Fewer than three earlier complete 20-hour checks are available, so no repeated move is claimed.

No earlier completed comparison is attached.

After the story	Starting price and saved time	Later price and saved time	Time accuracy	Price source
1 hour	76759.7890625 2026-09-02T13:05:00.000Z	77049.296875 2026-09-02T14:05:00.000Z	First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each check	Price source
4 hours	76759.7890625 2026-09-02T13:05:00.000Z	77162.609375 2026-09-02T17:05:00.000Z	First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each check	Price source
20 hours	Not recorded Time not recorded	Not recorded Time not recorded	Not available in the saved evidence	Price source not recorded

Open the story evidence

Claim: This saved story was linked to Bitcoin.

Supporting reports

A tokenised-asset lending vault launched with a stated variable yield target.

What argues against it

This shows what happened after the story. It does not prove the story caused the move.
The evidence supports mechanisms and stress associations, not a deterministic headline-to-price rule.
Regulatory access, monetary conditions, leverage, and network factors must be separated in each event.

Where the reports came from: Not recorded
Languages: Not recorded
How recent: 2026-09-02T21:03:00+08:00
Similar earlier cases: Not measured

How sure is OTR?
Insufficient evidenceNo confidence number is shown because source quality, independent reports, freshness, opposing evidence, earlier comparisons, time accuracy are not fully measured.

The six measured checks are multiplied together. This evidence score is not the chance a prediction will be right.

Source quality: Not fully measured.
Independent reports: Not fully measured.
Freshness: Not fully measured.
Opposing evidence: Not fully measured.
Earlier comparisons: Not fully measured.
Time accuracy: Not fully measured.

Where this appears

Markets and charts

The dollar reached a two-week high while markets awaited rate paths.

2026-09-02 20:47:00 Singapore time

+0.45%

+0.70%

+1.37%

0 earlier completed comparisons · open prices and evidence

Fewer than three earlier complete 20-hour checks are available, so no repeated move is claimed.

No earlier completed comparison is attached.

After the story	Starting price and saved time	Later price and saved time	Time accuracy	Price source
1 hour	76710.2734375 2026-09-02T12:50:00.000Z	77053.5703125 2026-09-02T13:50:00.000Z	First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each check	Price source
4 hours	76710.2734375 2026-09-02T12:50:00.000Z	77246.6875 2026-09-02T16:50:00.000Z	First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each check	Price source
20 hours	76710.2734375 2026-09-02T12:50:00.000Z	77762.8515625 2026-09-03T08:50:00.000Z	First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each check	Price source

Open the story evidence

Claim: This saved story was linked to Bitcoin.

Supporting reports

The dollar reached a two-week high while markets awaited rate paths.

What argues against it

This shows what happened after the story. It does not prove the story caused the move.
The evidence supports mechanisms and stress associations, not a deterministic headline-to-price rule.
Regulatory access, monetary conditions, leverage, and network factors must be separated in each event.

Where the reports came from: Not recorded
Languages: Not recorded
How recent: 2026-09-02T20:47:00+08:00
Similar earlier cases: Not measured

The six measured checks are multiplied together. This evidence score is not the chance a prediction will be right.

Source quality: Not fully measured.
Independent reports: Not fully measured.
Freshness: Not fully measured.
Opposing evidence: Not fully measured.
Earlier comparisons: Not fully measured.
Time accuracy: Not fully measured.

Where this appears

Markets and charts

Twenty-one banks were reported to be establishing a stablecoin company.

2026-09-02 07:30:00 Singapore time

-0.17%

+0.32%

-0.31%

0 earlier completed comparisons · open prices and evidence

Fewer than three earlier complete 20-hour checks are available, so no repeated move is claimed.

No earlier completed comparison is attached.

After the story	Starting price and saved time	Later price and saved time	Time accuracy	Price source
1 hour	77349.2265625 2026-09-01T23:30:00.000Z	77218.203125 2026-09-02T00:30:00.000Z	First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each check	Price source
4 hours	77349.2265625 2026-09-01T23:30:00.000Z	77598.578125 2026-09-02T03:30:00.000Z	First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each check	Price source
20 hours	77349.2265625 2026-09-01T23:30:00.000Z	77112.21875 2026-09-02T19:30:00.000Z	First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each check	Price source

Open the story evidence

Claim: This saved story was linked to Bitcoin.

Supporting reports

Twenty-one banks were reported to be establishing a stablecoin company.

What argues against it

This shows what happened after the story. It does not prove the story caused the move.
The evidence supports mechanisms and stress associations, not a deterministic headline-to-price rule.
Regulatory access, monetary conditions, leverage, and network factors must be separated in each event.

Where the reports came from: Not recorded
Languages: Not recorded
How recent: 2026-09-02T07:30:00+08:00
Similar earlier cases: Not measured

The six measured checks are multiplied together. This evidence score is not the chance a prediction will be right.

Source quality: Not fully measured.
Independent reports: Not fully measured.
Freshness: Not fully measured.
Opposing evidence: Not fully measured.
Earlier comparisons: Not fully measured.
Time accuracy: Not fully measured.

Where this appears

Markets and charts

Equities rise with 2-year yields, dollar as rate hike bets rise following Warsh speech

2026-08-28 23:47:32.637 Singapore time

-0.92%

-1.63%

-1.32%

1 earlier completed comparisons · open prices and evidence

Fewer than three earlier complete 20-hour checks are available, so no repeated move is claimed.

Bitcoin is having a great month - but Solana is doing even better as coin soars above $100 · 2026-08-28T02:49:00.000+08:00 · Fell (-1.00%)

After the story	Starting price and saved time	Later price and saved time	Time accuracy	Price source
1 hour	78691.390625 2026-08-28T15:50:00.000Z	77968.90625 2026-08-28T16:50:00.000Z	First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each check	Price source
4 hours	78691.390625 2026-08-28T15:50:00.000Z	77409.421875 2026-08-28T19:50:00.000Z	First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each check	Price source
20 hours	78691.390625 2026-08-28T15:50:00.000Z	77650.5 2026-08-29T11:50:00.000Z	First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each check	Price source

Open the story evidence

Claim: This saved story was linked to Bitcoin.

Supporting reports

Equities rise with 2-year yields, dollar as rate hike bets rise following Warsh speech

What argues against it

This shows what happened after the story. It does not prove the story caused the move.
The evidence supports mechanisms and stress associations, not a deterministic headline-to-price rule.
Regulatory access, monetary conditions, leverage, and network factors must be separated in each event.

Where the reports came from: Not recorded
Languages: Not recorded
How recent: 2026-08-28T23:47:32.637+08:00
Similar earlier cases: 1 similar earlier case

The six measured checks are multiplied together. This evidence score is not the chance a prediction will be right.

Source quality: Not fully measured.
Independent reports: Not fully measured.
Freshness: Not fully measured.
Opposing evidence: Not fully measured.
Earlier comparisons: Not fully measured.
Time accuracy: Not fully measured.

Where this appears

Markets and charts

Bitcoin is having a great month - but Solana is doing even better as coin soars above $100

2026-08-28 02:49:00.000 Singapore time

+0.01%

+0.34%

-1.00%

0 earlier completed comparisons · open prices and evidence

Fewer than three earlier complete 20-hour checks are available, so no repeated move is claimed.

No earlier completed comparison is attached.

After the story	Starting price and saved time	Later price and saved time	Time accuracy	Price source
1 hour	79989.0234375 2026-08-27T18:50:00.000Z	79998.1171875 2026-08-27T19:50:00.000Z	First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each check	Price source
4 hours	79989.0234375 2026-08-27T18:50:00.000Z	80260.40625 2026-08-27T22:50:00.000Z	First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each check	Price source
20 hours	79989.0234375 2026-08-27T18:50:00.000Z	79188.34375 2026-08-28T14:50:00.000Z	First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each check	Price source

Open the story evidence

Claim: This saved story was linked to Bitcoin.

Supporting reports

Bitcoin is having a great month - but Solana is doing even better as coin soars above $100

What argues against it

This shows what happened after the story. It does not prove the story caused the move.
The evidence supports mechanisms and stress associations, not a deterministic headline-to-price rule.
Regulatory access, monetary conditions, leverage, and network factors must be separated in each event.

Where the reports came from: Not recorded
Languages: Not recorded
How recent: 2026-08-28T02:49:00.000+08:00
Similar earlier cases: Not measured

The six measured checks are multiplied together. This evidence score is not the chance a prediction will be right.

Source quality: Not fully measured.
Independent reports: Not fully measured.
Freshness: Not fully measured.
Opposing evidence: Not fully measured.
Earlier comparisons: Not fully measured.
Time accuracy: Not fully measured.

Where this appears

Markets and charts

How to read this: a later price shows what followed, not what caused the move. Comparisons use the same market and kind of news, with results already available before this story appeared.

01
Bitcoin
BTC · crypto · 7 prediction records
Evidence
Publication markers · exact horizontal time

Loading public price line and publication markers…

Prediction 1 Prediction published1 Headline publishedPrediction 1 entry priceGraph badges open evidence. Timeline items jump to matching cards.

Chart readoutPrediction 1 is Fall expected ↓. Visible result record: Wrong. 12 of 12 timed publication events are placed from left to right.
Latest public price · never a ledger grade

Last public price
Loading public price data…
From Prediction 1 entry
Entry 78090.64 USD
Latest call
Fall expected ↓
Publication markers
12 of 12 timed
Publication timelineOldest → newest
Left to right matches the graph. Select an event to jump to its full card.

Prediction 7Prediction Prediction 7 · 11 Aug 2026, 10:17 SGTRise expected prediction63993.49 USD · No result recorded
Prediction 6Prediction Prediction 6 · 12 Aug 2026, 20:15 SGTFall expected prediction64235.81 USD · PROOF RECEIPT · Right (NOT FOUNDER-STAMPED)
Prediction 5Prediction Prediction 5 · 15 Aug 2026, 12:19 SGTRise expected prediction63040.95 USD · PROOF RECEIPT · Wrong (NOT FOUNDER-STAMPED)
Prediction 4Prediction Prediction 4 · 17 Aug 2026, 03:17 SGTRise expected prediction63113.75 USD · PROOF RECEIPT · Right (NOT FOUNDER-STAMPED)
1Headline 1 · 28 Aug 2026, 02:49 SGTBitcoin is having a great month - but Solana is doing even better as coin soars above $100Company Or Asset
Prediction 3Prediction Prediction 3 · 28 Aug 2026, 11:34 SGTRise expected prediction79937.63 USD · No result recorded
2Headline 2 · 28 Aug 2026, 23:47 SGTEquities rise with 2-year yields, dollar as rate hike bets rise following Warsh speechCompany Or Asset
Prediction 2Prediction Prediction 2 · 30 Aug 2026, 16:01 SGTFall expected prediction78106.68 USD · No result recorded
Prediction 1Prediction Prediction 1 · 31 Aug 2026, 08:36 SGTFall expected prediction78090.64 USD · Wrong
3Headline 3 · 02 Sept 2026, 07:30 SGTTwenty-one banks were reported to be establishing a stablecoin company.Digital Asset Or Financial Infrastructure
4Headline 4 · 02 Sept 2026, 20:47 SGTThe dollar reached a two-week high while markets awaited rate paths.Digital Asset Or Financial Infrastructure
5Headline 5 · 02 Sept 2026, 21:03 SGTA tokenised-asset lending vault launched with a stated variable yield target.Digital Asset Or Financial Infrastructure
Latest prediction · Prediction 1
Prediction 1

Fall expected · 78090.64 USDWrong

Published
31 Aug 2026, 08:36 SGT
Deadline
01 Sept 2026, 04:36 SGT

System analysis · What the saved history shows
What the saved history shows: prediction record Wrong. Prediction 1 is plotted at its recorded publication time; later tape observations cannot recalculate or change the stamped result.

A latest-public-price comparison appears when tape is available; it cannot grade or alter the Founder result.

Prediction 1 plotted at publication timeOpen Receipt
Headlines · 5 · oldest first
1

Bitcoin is having a great month - but Solana is doing even better as coin soars above $100Published · 28 Aug 2026, 02:49 SGT · Company Or AssetOpens in a new tab.

System analysis · What the saved history shows
What the saved history shows: linked to Bitcoin by a deterministic entity-name match. Saved importance: High importance 77/100.

A public-price comparison appears when tape is available; temporal association only, and this does not establish causation.

Rising CryptoHigh · 77/100Source time verified

Story notePushes both ways BTC
Mixed

Why: Broad crypto strength can help Bitcoin, while Solana outperformance can also signal relative rotation away from it.

Confidence
Medium
Strength
Light
Headline mood
Positive

What happened later20h · Not suitable for a direction check · 0.00%Association only. This does not prove the headline caused the move.

Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.

How OTR scored this
Event
Digital Asset Momentum
Link to asset
Crypto Risk Appetite Versus Relative Rotation
Uncertainty
Mixed Clause
Sample
Independent event
Rule
Crypto relative rally

Original source ↗

2

Equities rise with 2-year yields, dollar as rate hike bets rise following Warsh speechPublished · 28 Aug 2026, 23:47 SGT · Company Or AssetOpens in a new tab.

System analysis · What the saved history shows
What the saved history shows: linked to Bitcoin by an explicit saved source mapping. Saved importance: High importance 79/100.

A public-price comparison appears when tape is available; temporal association only, and this does not establish causation.

Equities / Stock MarketsHigh · 79/100Source time verified

Story noteMay hurt BTC
Down

Why: Higher rate expectations can reduce demand for non-yielding risk assets such as Bitcoin.

Confidence
High
Strength
Moderate
Headline mood
Positive

What happened later20h · No clear move after the headline · 0.00%Association only. This does not prove the headline caused the move.

Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.

How OTR scored this
Event
Rates Repricing
Link to asset
Liquidity And Discount Rate
Uncertainty
None Identified From Headline
Sample
Independent event
Rule
Rate yields dollar

Original source ↗

3

Twenty-one banks were reported to be establishing a stablecoin company.Published · 02 Sept 2026, 07:30 SGT · Digital Asset Or Financial InfrastructureOpens in a new tab.

System analysis · What the saved history shows
What the saved history shows: linked to Bitcoin by an explicit saved source mapping. Saved importance: High importance 82/100.

A public-price comparison appears when tape is available; temporal association only, and this does not establish causation.

earlier rule Source-timed Current EventsHigh · 82/100Source time verified

Story noteUnclear BTC
No direction

Why: No verified asset-specific event-to-exposure rule matched, so OTR abstains instead of using generic wording.

Confidence
Low
Strength
Unclear
Headline mood
Neutral

What happened later20h · Not suitable for a direction check · 0.00%Association only. This does not prove the headline caused the move.

Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.

How OTR scored this
Event
No Asset Specific Rule
Link to asset
Unmapped
Uncertainty
No Asset Specific Rule
Sample
Independent event
Rule
Abstain

Original source ↗

4

The dollar reached a two-week high while markets awaited rate paths.Published · 02 Sept 2026, 20:47 SGT · Digital Asset Or Financial InfrastructureOpens in a new tab.

System analysis · What the saved history shows
What the saved history shows: linked to Bitcoin by an explicit saved source mapping. Saved importance: High importance 86/100.

A public-price comparison appears when tape is available; temporal association only, and this does not establish causation.

earlier rule Source-timed Current EventsHigh · 86/100Source time verified

Story noteUnclear BTC
No direction

Why: No verified asset-specific event-to-exposure rule matched, so OTR abstains instead of using generic wording.

Confidence
Low
Strength
Unclear
Headline mood
Positive

What happened later20h · Not suitable for a direction check · 0.00%Association only. This does not prove the headline caused the move.

Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.

How OTR scored this
Event
No Asset Specific Rule
Link to asset
Unmapped
Uncertainty
No Asset Specific Rule
Sample
Independent event
Rule
Abstain

Original source ↗

5

A tokenised-asset lending vault launched with a stated variable yield target.Published · 02 Sept 2026, 21:03 SGT · Digital Asset Or Financial InfrastructureOpens in a new tab.

System analysis · What the saved history shows
What the saved history shows: linked to Bitcoin by an explicit saved source mapping. Saved importance: High importance 82/100.

A public-price comparison appears when tape is available; temporal association only, and this does not establish causation.

earlier rule Source-timed Current EventsHigh · 82/100Source time verified

Story noteUnclear BTC
No direction

Why: No verified asset-specific event-to-exposure rule matched, so OTR abstains instead of using generic wording.

Confidence
Low
Strength
Unclear
Headline mood
Neutral

What happened later20h · Not suitable for a direction check · 0.00%Association only. This does not prove the headline caused the move.

Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.

How OTR scored this
Event
No Asset Specific Rule
Link to asset
Unmapped
Uncertainty
No Asset Specific Rule
Sample
Independent event
Rule
Abstain

Original source ↗
Prediction history · 6 earlier · newest first
1. Prediction 2
  
  Fall expected · 78106.68 USDNo result recorded
  
  Published
  30 Aug 2026, 16:01 SGT
  Deadline
  31 Aug 2026, 12:01 SGT
  
  System analysis · What the saved history shows
  What the saved history shows: no locked row verdict was available as of 2026-09-06T01:40:00.000+08:00. This saved archive call is not relabelled as pending, and no Right or Wrong is inferred.
  
  A latest-public-price comparison appears when tape is available; it cannot grade or alter the Founder result.
  
  Prediction 2 plotted at publication timeOpen Receipt
2. Prediction 3
  
  Rise expected · 79937.63 USDNo result recorded
  
  Published
  28 Aug 2026, 11:34 SGT
  Deadline
  01 Sept 2026, 11:34 SGT
  
  System analysis · What the saved history shows
  What the saved history shows: no locked row verdict was available as of 2026-09-06T01:40:00.000+08:00. This saved archive call is not relabelled as pending, and no Right or Wrong is inferred.
  
  A latest-public-price comparison appears when tape is available; it cannot grade or alter the Founder result.
  
  Prediction 3 plotted at publication timeOpen Receipt
3. Prediction 4
  
  Rise expected · 63113.75 USDPROOF RECEIPT · Right (NOT FOUNDER-STAMPED)
  
  Published
  17 Aug 2026, 03:17 SGT
  Deadline
  17 Aug 2026, 23:17 SGT
  
  System analysis · What the saved history shows
  What the saved history shows: locked proof receipt Right. This is a traceable read-only result, not a Founder stamp. Prediction 4 remains at its original publication time.
  
  A latest-public-price comparison appears when tape is available; it cannot grade or alter the Founder result.
  
  Prediction 4 plotted at publication timeOpen Receipt
4. Prediction 5
  
  Rise expected · 63040.95 USDPROOF RECEIPT · Wrong (NOT FOUNDER-STAMPED)
  
  Published
  15 Aug 2026, 12:19 SGT
  Deadline
  16 Aug 2026, 08:19 SGT
  
  System analysis · What the saved history shows
  What the saved history shows: locked proof receipt Wrong. This is a traceable read-only result, not a Founder stamp. Prediction 5 remains at its original publication time.
  
  A latest-public-price comparison appears when tape is available; it cannot grade or alter the Founder result.
  
  Prediction 5 plotted at publication timeOpen Receipt
5. Prediction 6
  
  Fall expected · 64235.81 USDPROOF RECEIPT · Right (NOT FOUNDER-STAMPED)
  
  Published
  12 Aug 2026, 20:15 SGT
  Deadline
  13 Aug 2026, 16:15 SGT
  
  System analysis · What the saved history shows
  What the saved history shows: locked proof receipt Right. This is a traceable read-only result, not a Founder stamp. Prediction 6 remains at its original publication time.
  
  A latest-public-price comparison appears when tape is available; it cannot grade or alter the Founder result.
  
  Prediction 6 plotted at publication timeOpen Receipt
6. Prediction 7
  
  Rise expected · 63993.49 USDNo result recorded
  
  Published
  11 Aug 2026, 10:17 SGT
  Deadline
  12 Aug 2026, 06:17 SGT
  
  System analysis · What the saved history shows
  What the saved history shows: no locked row verdict was available as of 2026-09-06T01:40:00.000+08:00. This saved archive call is not relabelled as pending, and no Right or Wrong is inferred.
  
  A latest-public-price comparison appears when tape is available; it cannot grade or alter the Founder result.
  
  Prediction 7 plotted at publication timeOpen Receipt
Graph LearningHow news has moved Bitcoin beforeOpen the complete asset-specific memory
OTR GRAPH LEARNING
What OTR sees for Bitcoin
An extra check. It does not replace the other evidence.

liquidity, fund flows, regulation, network supply and security · Rais and Bryce wear digital-asset forensic analysts.

What this is: The native asset of the Bitcoin network, traded globally around the clock and held directly or through regulated exchange-traded products in some markets.
Headlines that may cause the price of this investment to go up
Regulated access expands and verified spot-Bitcoin ETP flows are positive
Global liquidity improves or expected real rates fall
Regulators provide clearer, usable custody or market rules
Headlines that may cause the price of this investment to go down
Major exchange, custodian, or stablecoin failure creates losses or frozen withdrawals
Unexpected monetary tightening or a sharp risk-off move
Binding rules restrict trading, custody, banking access, or mining
What OTR checks
Spot ETP net flows and assets
Spot volume and market depth
Funding rates, open interest, and liquidations
Stablecoin supply and redemption stress
15 saved news time checks15 completed8 rose6 fell1 roughly flat

ASSET-SPECIFIC NEWS MEMORYWhat the news may mean here
0 supportive, 1 pressuring and 4 mixed or unclear asset-specific news signals.
5 linked headlines classified for this investment; 5 independent event samples. There is not yet a clear checked move suitable for a match test.
Can OTR use this for a prediction yet?Not for extra weight yet. The label must be frozen before the outcome and repeat in forward checks first.
Open the full Graph Learning analysis
Past
OTR has 15 saved headline-response checks for this investment: 15 completed, including 8 rises, 6 falls and 1 roughly flat moves. Each row keeps the original source and its news time when that time is verifiable; unresolved times stay explicit and add no weight.
Now
News that may help includes Regulated access expands and verified spot-Bitcoin ETP flows are positive; Global liquidity improves or expected real rates fall. News that may hurt includes Major exchange, custodian, or stablecoin failure creates losses or frozen withdrawals; Unexpected monetary tightening or a sharp risk-off move. OTR also watches Spot ETP net flows and assets, Spot volume and market depth, Funding rates, open interest, and liquidations.
Next prediction
For a future prediction, OTR compares the new event with this investment's own saved reactions, then checks the wider market and named other possible causes. One headline never decides a call by itself.
When this can mislead
BTC trades continuously across fragmented venues, so timestamp alignment is difficult.; Leverage and liquidations can amplify or reverse a fundamentally sensible headline response.; ETP approval is not the same as positive flows.; Crypto correlations with risk assets change across regimes.
Saved headline-move memory
Bitcoin is having a great month - but Solana is doing even better as coin soars above $10028 Aug 2026, 02:49 SGT
1h · was roughly flat 0.02%4h · rose 0.34%20h · fell 0.99%
Equities rise with 2-year yields, dollar as rate hike bets rise following Warsh speech28 Aug 2026, 23:47 SGT
1h · fell 0.94%4h · fell 1.66%20h · fell 1.34%
Twenty-one banks were reported to be establishing a stablecoin company.02 Sept 2026, 07:30 SGT
1h · fell 0.25%4h · rose 0.11%20h · fell 0.39%
The dollar reached a two-week high while markets awaited rate paths.02 Sept 2026, 20:47 SGT
1h · rose 0.45%4h · rose 0.71%20h · rose 1.39%
A tokenised-asset lending vault launched with a stated variable yield target.02 Sept 2026, 21:03 SGT
1h · rose 0.40%4h · rose 0.54%20h · rose 1.36%
Clue, not proof: timing is a clue, never proof. A price move after a headline does not prove the headline caused it. OTR uses a pattern only after it repeats and still holds up against the wider market.

One timeline of saved evidence

Stories, original predictions, review deadlines, checked thesis changes and earlier comparisons share the dates shown below. A review deadline is not the date an outcome was recorded. Only saved moments appear.

Open all 19 dated moments

Singapore time	Moment	Saved evidence
11 Aug 2026, 10:17	Prediction	Original rise prediction
12 Aug 2026, 06:17	Review deadline	Open the original review terms
12 Aug 2026, 20:15	Prediction	Original fall prediction
13 Aug 2026, 16:15	Review deadline	Open the original review terms
15 Aug 2026, 12:19	Prediction	Original rise prediction
16 Aug 2026, 08:19	Review deadline	Open the original review terms
17 Aug 2026, 03:17	Prediction	Original rise prediction
17 Aug 2026, 23:17	Review deadline	Open the original review terms
28 Aug 2026, 02:49	Story	Bitcoin is having a great month - but Solana is doing even better as coin soars above $100
28 Aug 2026, 11:34	Prediction	Original rise prediction
28 Aug 2026, 23:47	Story	Equities rise with 2-year yields, dollar as rate hike bets rise following Warsh speech
30 Aug 2026, 16:01	Prediction	Original fall prediction
31 Aug 2026, 08:36	Prediction	Original fall prediction
31 Aug 2026, 12:01	Review deadline	Open the original review terms
1 Sept 2026, 04:36	Review deadline	Recorded outcome: Wrong
1 Sept 2026, 11:34	Review deadline	Open the original review terms
2 Sept 2026, 07:30	Story	Twenty-one banks were reported to be establishing a stablecoin company.
2 Sept 2026, 20:47	Story	The dollar reached a two-week high while markets awaited rate paths.
2 Sept 2026, 21:03	Story	A tokenised-asset lending vault launched with a stated variable yield target.

Bitcoin: predictions, prices and linked headlines

What happened after saved stories about Bitcoin

5 saved story matches

93 out of 100 ready for comparison

Fell in 75% of its 4 complete twenty-hour checks

Supporting reports

What argues against it

Where this appears

Supporting reports

What argues against it

Where this appears

Supporting reports

What argues against it

Where this appears

Supporting reports

What argues against it

Where this appears

Supporting reports

What argues against it

Where this appears

Latest prediction · Prediction 1

Headlines · 5 · oldest first

Prediction history · 6 earlier · newest first

Headlines that may cause the price of this investment to go up

Headlines that may cause the price of this investment to go down

What OTR checks

Saved headline-move memory

One timeline of saved evidence