PUBLIC PREDICTION RECEIPT
OTR predicted Bitcoin would fall
f3b1a6f3e66af2dc6072a28cbd4238a69f6915c8f770e18795f04c4871310269
- Asset
- Bitcoin · BTC
- Direction
- DOWN
- Created
- Deadline
- Entry
- 78090.64 USD
- Deadline price
- Checking…
- Raw return
- Checking…
- Relevant market return
- Checking…
- Market-adjusted result
- Checking…
- Founder result
- Incorrect ✕
- Scientific event verdict
- Inconclusive until all required evidence passes
- Record status
- Original prediction cannot be secretly changed
Original frozen reason
Fall expected, HIGH STRICT: Bitcoin's official 24-hour and 72-hour moves were both negative at the publication lock, while the edition's tighter-rate and stronger-dollar pressure remained a macro headwind. The preserved 4/3/2/1 weights produce a negative net. OTR historical data, OTR learning data, What the saved history shows, OTR market-theme pattern data and internet market-theme data were all checked; unverified evidence receives no invented weight.
Invalidation condition
Invalidate if Bitcoin holds above its saved entry while both the 24-hour move and 72-hour move turn positive or the rate-and-dollar pressure materially eases.
Calculating synchronized evidence without changing the Founder result.
Sources, file checks and audit history
- Prediction row file check
- d5dc5ef08b62980f92f946cb3996ab8158ea0410b7fd8e64f17f24c9f92dba0b
- Prediction receipt file check
- f3b1a6f3e66af2dc6072a28cbd4238a69f6915c8f770e18795f04c4871310269
- Outcome append file check
- d80c452bb4b3373b9f9acb53c2d6fc8386d152b379dedaa865c84078fbe4a949
- Model / method
- saved record · saved record
Founder Right/Wrong is authoritative and can only be changed by the Founder. Market-adjusted measurements are read-only observations and never mutate that ledger.