PUBLIC PREDICTION RECEIPT
OTR predicted Bitcoin would fall
05ab37dc690fc4c61b9ef46e26f574fa2f5a0140980b3f16c5c5fc9426e70b8d
- Asset
- Bitcoin · BTC
- Direction
- DOWN
- Created
- Deadline
- Entry
- 64235.81 USD
- Deadline price
- Checking…
- Raw return
- Checking…
- Relevant market return
- Checking…
- Market-adjusted result
- Checking…
- Founder result
- Not yet graded —
- Scientific event verdict
- Inconclusive until all required evidence passes
- Record status
- Original prediction cannot be secretly changed
Original frozen reason
Current entity-specific headline evidence is negative (-38.1). Pavuron preserves that contradiction and marks the instrument Fall expected.
Invalidation condition
A later evidence reversal may change the next edition, but it cannot rewrite this score. Future listed-market scores use the versioned post-close checkpoint; an eligible flat or opposite move settles this edition Wrong.
Calculating synchronized evidence without changing the Founder result.
Sources, file checks and audit history
- Prediction row file check
- 2fee62b7772c6638de7646eea8b89eb0dac42b2a239b0fad8611a996b2173dc1
- Prediction receipt file check
- 05ab37dc690fc4c61b9ef46e26f574fa2f5a0140980b3f16c5c5fc9426e70b8d
- Outcome append file check
- Pending or unavailable
- Model / method
- saved record · saved record
Founder Right/Wrong is authoritative and can only be changed by the Founder. Market-adjusted measurements are read-only observations and never mutate that ledger.