GRAPH · CL=F

Oil futures: predictions, prices and linked headlines

This page keeps every Oil futures prediction and source-timed headline together. The Founder result remains separate from later price evidence.

Line = price · P = prediction published · number = headline published.

← See all investments

investments: 1
Predictions: 10
Linked headlines: 12
Timed events: 22

6 September 2026 graph update: 0 new story markers and 0 prediction points were added for this edition. The preserved history below keeps its original dates.

How OTR judges a headline

OTR asks what the event may do to this investment—not whether the words sound happy or scary. May help, may hurt, mixed or unclear is shown beside each linked headline. Later prices test the idea; timing alone never proves cause.

WHAT HAPPENED NEXT

What happened after saved stories about Oil futures

12 saved story matches

22 of 36 possible later-price checks are available.

61 out of 100 ready for comparison

This measures how many required prices were saved. It does not measure prediction skill.

Rose in 75% of its 4 complete twenty-hour checks

This only describes the past. It does not predict the next move.

Showing all 12 saved events. Open each row for the actual price times, source and earlier comparisons.

Saved story

Published

After 1 hour

After 4 hours

After 20 hours

Earlier comparisons and evidence

US oil stocks fell while fuel demand weakened.

2026-09-02 22:38:00 Singapore time

+0.60%

+0.72%

Not measured

1 earlier completed comparisons · open prices and evidence

Fewer than three earlier complete 20-hour checks are available, so no repeated move is claimed.

Oil prices rise and stocks fall after US hits Iranian sites in the Strait of Hormuz · 2026-08-31T14:32:16.000+08:00 · Rose (1.24%)

After the story	Starting price and saved time	Later price and saved time	Time accuracy	Price source
1 hour	90.0999984741211 2026-09-02T14:40:00.000Z	90.63999938964844 2026-09-02T15:40:00.000Z	First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each check	Price source
4 hours	90.0999984741211 2026-09-02T14:40:00.000Z	90.75 2026-09-02T18:40:00.000Z	First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each check	Price source
20 hours	Not recorded Time not recorded	Not recorded Time not recorded	Not available in the saved evidence	Price source not recorded

Open the story evidence

Claim: This saved story was linked to Oil futures.

Supporting reports

US oil stocks fell while fuel demand weakened.

What argues against it

This shows what happened after the story. It does not prove the story caused the move.
No source here proves that any single public headline caused a particular CL tick.
EIA forecasts are conditional and can change when disruption or demand assumptions change.
Continuous-series returns can include roll effects that are absent from a fixed-expiry contract.

Where the reports came from: Not recorded
Languages: Not recorded
How recent: 2026-09-02T22:38:00+08:00
Similar earlier cases: 1 similar earlier case

How sure is OTR?
Insufficient evidenceNo confidence number is shown because source quality, independent reports, freshness, opposing evidence, earlier comparisons, time accuracy are not fully measured.

The six measured checks are multiplied together. This evidence score is not the chance a prediction will be right.

Source quality: Not fully measured.
Independent reports: Not fully measured.
Freshness: Not fully measured.
Opposing evidence: Not fully measured.
Earlier comparisons: Not fully measured.
Time accuracy: Not fully measured.

Where this appears

Markets and charts

The US military was reported to have struck two Iranian oil tankers.

2026-09-02 10:28:50 Singapore time

-0.19%

+0.10%

-0.07%

1 earlier completed comparisons · open prices and evidence

Fewer than three earlier complete 20-hour checks are available, so no repeated move is claimed.

Oil prices rise and stocks fall after US hits Iranian sites in the Strait of Hormuz · 2026-08-31T14:32:16.000+08:00 · Rose (1.24%)

After the story	Starting price and saved time	Later price and saved time	Time accuracy	Price source
1 hour	90.86000061035156 2026-09-02T02:30:00.000Z	90.69000244140625 2026-09-02T03:30:00.000Z	First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each check	Price source
4 hours	90.86000061035156 2026-09-02T02:30:00.000Z	90.94999694824219 2026-09-02T06:30:00.000Z	First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each check	Price source
20 hours	90.86000061035156 2026-09-02T02:30:00.000Z	90.80000305175781 2026-09-02T22:30:00.000Z	First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each check	Price source

Open the story evidence

Claim: This saved story was linked to Oil futures.

Supporting reports

The US military was reported to have struck two Iranian oil tankers.

What argues against it

This shows what happened after the story. It does not prove the story caused the move.
No source here proves that any single public headline caused a particular CL tick.
EIA forecasts are conditional and can change when disruption or demand assumptions change.
Continuous-series returns can include roll effects that are absent from a fixed-expiry contract.

Where the reports came from: Not recorded
Languages: Not recorded
How recent: 2026-09-02T10:28:50+08:00
Similar earlier cases: 1 similar earlier case

The six measured checks are multiplied together. This evidence score is not the chance a prediction will be right.

Source quality: Not fully measured.
Independent reports: Not fully measured.
Freshness: Not fully measured.
Opposing evidence: Not fully measured.
Earlier comparisons: Not fully measured.
Time accuracy: Not fully measured.

Where this appears

Markets and charts

Oil prices rose to their highest level in more than a month.

2026-09-02 09:11:00 Singapore time

-0.78%

-1.18%

Not measured

1 earlier completed comparisons · open prices and evidence

Fewer than three earlier complete 20-hour checks are available, so no repeated move is claimed.

Oil prices rise and stocks fall after US hits Iranian sites in the Strait of Hormuz · 2026-08-31T14:32:16.000+08:00 · Rose (1.24%)

After the story	Starting price and saved time	Later price and saved time	Time accuracy	Price source
1 hour	91.7699966430664 2026-09-02T01:15:00.000Z	91.05000305175781 2026-09-02T02:15:00.000Z	First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each check	Price source
4 hours	91.7699966430664 2026-09-02T01:15:00.000Z	90.69000244140625 2026-09-02T05:15:00.000Z	First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each check	Price source
20 hours	Not recorded Time not recorded	Not recorded Time not recorded	Not available in the saved evidence	Price source not recorded

Open the story evidence

Claim: This saved story was linked to Oil futures.

Supporting reports

Oil prices rose to their highest level in more than a month.

What argues against it

This shows what happened after the story. It does not prove the story caused the move.
No source here proves that any single public headline caused a particular CL tick.
EIA forecasts are conditional and can change when disruption or demand assumptions change.
Continuous-series returns can include roll effects that are absent from a fixed-expiry contract.

Where the reports came from: Not recorded
Languages: Not recorded
How recent: 2026-09-02T09:11:00+08:00
Similar earlier cases: 1 similar earlier case

The six measured checks are multiplied together. This evidence score is not the chance a prediction will be right.

Source quality: Not fully measured.
Independent reports: Not fully measured.
Freshness: Not fully measured.
Opposing evidence: Not fully measured.
Earlier comparisons: Not fully measured.
Time accuracy: Not fully measured.

Where this appears

Markets and charts

Oil prices rise and stocks fall after US hits Iranian sites in the Strait of Hormuz

2026-08-31 14:32:16.000 Singapore time

-0.96%

+0.76%

+1.24%

0 earlier completed comparisons · open prices and evidence

Fewer than three earlier complete 20-hour checks are available, so no repeated move is claimed.

No earlier completed comparison is attached.

After the story	Starting price and saved time	Later price and saved time	Time accuracy	Price source
1 hour	85.62000274658203 2026-08-31T06:35:00.000Z	84.80000305175781 2026-08-31T07:35:00.000Z	First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each check	Price source
4 hours	85.62000274658203 2026-08-31T06:35:00.000Z	86.2699966430664 2026-08-31T10:35:00.000Z	First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each check	Price source
20 hours	85.62000274658203 2026-08-31T06:35:00.000Z	86.68000030517578 2026-09-01T02:35:00.000Z	First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each check	Price source

Open the story evidence

Claim: This saved story was linked to Oil futures.

Supporting reports

Oil prices rise and stocks fall after US hits Iranian sites in the Strait of Hormuz

What argues against it

This shows what happened after the story. It does not prove the story caused the move.
No source here proves that any single public headline caused a particular CL tick.
EIA forecasts are conditional and can change when disruption or demand assumptions change.
Continuous-series returns can include roll effects that are absent from a fixed-expiry contract.

Where the reports came from: Not recorded
Languages: Not recorded
How recent: 2026-08-31T14:32:16.000+08:00
Similar earlier cases: Not measured

The six measured checks are multiplied together. This evidence score is not the chance a prediction will be right.

Source quality: Not fully measured.
Independent reports: Not fully measured.
Freshness: Not fully measured.
Opposing evidence: Not fully measured.
Earlier comparisons: Not fully measured.
Time accuracy: Not fully measured.

Where this appears

Markets and charts

Oil jumps more than 2% after U.S. attack on Iran's Larak Island

2026-08-31 06:12:07.112 Singapore time

-0.22%

+0.47%

+0.76%

1 earlier completed comparisons · open prices and evidence

Fewer than three earlier complete 20-hour checks are available, so no repeated move is claimed.

Shipping traffic through Strait of Hormuz rises slightly, data shows · 2026-08-27T11:39:00.000+08:00 · Rose (2.10%)

After the story	Starting price and saved time	Later price and saved time	Time accuracy	Price source
1 hour	85 2026-08-30T22:15:00.000Z	84.80999755859375 2026-08-30T23:15:00.000Z	First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each check	Price source
4 hours	85 2026-08-30T22:15:00.000Z	85.4000015258789 2026-08-31T02:15:00.000Z	First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each check	Price source
20 hours	85 2026-08-30T22:15:00.000Z	85.6500015258789 2026-08-31T18:15:00.000Z	First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each check	Price source

Open the story evidence

Claim: This saved story was linked to Oil futures.

Supporting reports

Oil jumps more than 2% after U.S. attack on Iran's Larak Island

What argues against it

This shows what happened after the story. It does not prove the story caused the move.
No source here proves that any single public headline caused a particular CL tick.
EIA forecasts are conditional and can change when disruption or demand assumptions change.
Continuous-series returns can include roll effects that are absent from a fixed-expiry contract.

Where the reports came from: Not recorded
Languages: Not recorded
How recent: 2026-08-31T06:12:07.112+08:00
Similar earlier cases: 1 similar earlier case

The six measured checks are multiplied together. This evidence score is not the chance a prediction will be right.

Source quality: Not fully measured.
Independent reports: Not fully measured.
Freshness: Not fully measured.
Opposing evidence: Not fully measured.
Earlier comparisons: Not fully measured.
Time accuracy: Not fully measured.

Where this appears

Markets and charts

U.S. forces strike Iranian launchers on Larak Island

2026-08-31 04:38:01.072 Singapore time

Not measured

1 earlier completed comparisons · open prices and evidence

Fewer than three earlier complete 20-hour checks are available, so no repeated move is claimed.

Shipping traffic through Strait of Hormuz rises slightly, data shows · 2026-08-27T11:39:00.000+08:00 · Rose (2.10%)

After the story	Starting price and saved time	Later price and saved time	Time accuracy	Price source
1 hour	Not recorded Time not recorded	Not recorded Time not recorded	Not available in the saved evidence	Price source not recorded
4 hours	Not recorded Time not recorded	Not recorded Time not recorded	Not available in the saved evidence	Price source not recorded
20 hours	Not recorded Time not recorded	Not recorded Time not recorded	Not available in the saved evidence	Price source not recorded

Open the story evidence

Claim: This saved story was linked to Oil futures.

Supporting reports

U.S. forces strike Iranian launchers on Larak Island

What argues against it

This shows what happened after the story. It does not prove the story caused the move.
No source here proves that any single public headline caused a particular CL tick.
EIA forecasts are conditional and can change when disruption or demand assumptions change.
Continuous-series returns can include roll effects that are absent from a fixed-expiry contract.

Where the reports came from: Not recorded
Languages: Not recorded
How recent: 2026-08-31T04:38:01.072+08:00
Similar earlier cases: 1 similar earlier case

The six measured checks are multiplied together. This evidence score is not the chance a prediction will be right.

Source quality: Not fully measured.
Independent reports: Not fully measured.
Freshness: Not fully measured.
Opposing evidence: Not fully measured.
Earlier comparisons: Not fully measured.
Time accuracy: Not fully measured.

Where this appears

Markets and charts

Iran maintains its claim of control over the Strait of Hormuz

2026-08-29 10:04:15.898 Singapore time

Not measured

1 earlier completed comparisons · open prices and evidence

Fewer than three earlier complete 20-hour checks are available, so no repeated move is claimed.

Shipping traffic through Strait of Hormuz rises slightly, data shows · 2026-08-27T11:39:00.000+08:00 · Rose (2.10%)

After the story	Starting price and saved time	Later price and saved time	Time accuracy	Price source
1 hour	Not recorded Time not recorded	Not recorded Time not recorded	Not available in the saved evidence	Price source not recorded
4 hours	Not recorded Time not recorded	Not recorded Time not recorded	Not available in the saved evidence	Price source not recorded
20 hours	Not recorded Time not recorded	Not recorded Time not recorded	Not available in the saved evidence	Price source not recorded

Open the story evidence

Claim: This saved story was linked to Oil futures.

Supporting reports

Iran maintains its claim of control over the Strait of Hormuz

What argues against it

This shows what happened after the story. It does not prove the story caused the move.
No source here proves that any single public headline caused a particular CL tick.
EIA forecasts are conditional and can change when disruption or demand assumptions change.
Continuous-series returns can include roll effects that are absent from a fixed-expiry contract.

Where the reports came from: Not recorded
Languages: Not recorded
How recent: 2026-08-29T10:04:15.898+08:00
Similar earlier cases: 1 similar earlier case

The six measured checks are multiplied together. This evidence score is not the chance a prediction will be right.

Source quality: Not fully measured.
Independent reports: Not fully measured.
Freshness: Not fully measured.
Opposing evidence: Not fully measured.
Earlier comparisons: Not fully measured.
Time accuracy: Not fully measured.

Where this appears

Markets and charts

War and sanctions weigh on Iran's economy as trade falls

2026-08-29 10:04:15.898 Singapore time

Not measured

1 earlier completed comparisons · open prices and evidence

Fewer than three earlier complete 20-hour checks are available, so no repeated move is claimed.

Shipping traffic through Strait of Hormuz rises slightly, data shows · 2026-08-27T11:39:00.000+08:00 · Rose (2.10%)

After the story	Starting price and saved time	Later price and saved time	Time accuracy	Price source
1 hour	Not recorded Time not recorded	Not recorded Time not recorded	Not available in the saved evidence	Price source not recorded
4 hours	Not recorded Time not recorded	Not recorded Time not recorded	Not available in the saved evidence	Price source not recorded
20 hours	Not recorded Time not recorded	Not recorded Time not recorded	Not available in the saved evidence	Price source not recorded

Open the story evidence

Claim: This saved story was linked to Oil futures.

Supporting reports

War and sanctions weigh on Iran's economy as trade falls

What argues against it

This shows what happened after the story. It does not prove the story caused the move.
No source here proves that any single public headline caused a particular CL tick.
EIA forecasts are conditional and can change when disruption or demand assumptions change.
Continuous-series returns can include roll effects that are absent from a fixed-expiry contract.

Where the reports came from: Not recorded
Languages: Not recorded
How recent: 2026-08-29T10:04:15.898+08:00
Similar earlier cases: 1 similar earlier case

The six measured checks are multiplied together. This evidence score is not the chance a prediction will be right.

Source quality: Not fully measured.
Independent reports: Not fully measured.
Freshness: Not fully measured.
Opposing evidence: Not fully measured.
Earlier comparisons: Not fully measured.
Time accuracy: Not fully measured.

Where this appears

Markets and charts

Equities rise with 2-year yields, dollar as rate hike bets rise following Warsh speech

2026-08-28 23:47:32.637 Singapore time

+0.37%

+0.34%

Not measured

1 earlier completed comparisons · open prices and evidence

Fewer than three earlier complete 20-hour checks are available, so no repeated move is claimed.

Shipping traffic through Strait of Hormuz rises slightly, data shows · 2026-08-27T11:39:00.000+08:00 · Rose (2.10%)

After the story	Starting price and saved time	Later price and saved time	Time accuracy	Price source
1 hour	83.12000274658203 2026-08-28T15:50:00.000Z	83.43000030517578 2026-08-28T16:50:00.000Z	First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each check	Price source
4 hours	83.12000274658203 2026-08-28T15:50:00.000Z	83.4000015258789 2026-08-28T19:50:00.000Z	First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each check	Price source
20 hours	Not recorded Time not recorded	Not recorded Time not recorded	Not available in the saved evidence	Price source not recorded

Open the story evidence

Claim: This saved story was linked to Oil futures.

Supporting reports

Equities rise with 2-year yields, dollar as rate hike bets rise following Warsh speech

What argues against it

This shows what happened after the story. It does not prove the story caused the move.
No source here proves that any single public headline caused a particular CL tick.
EIA forecasts are conditional and can change when disruption or demand assumptions change.
Continuous-series returns can include roll effects that are absent from a fixed-expiry contract.

Where the reports came from: Not recorded
Languages: Not recorded
How recent: 2026-08-28T23:47:32.637+08:00
Similar earlier cases: 1 similar earlier case

The six measured checks are multiplied together. This evidence score is not the chance a prediction will be right.

Source quality: Not fully measured.
Independent reports: Not fully measured.
Freshness: Not fully measured.
Opposing evidence: Not fully measured.
Earlier comparisons: Not fully measured.
Time accuracy: Not fully measured.

Where this appears

Markets and charts

Markets hold their breath before the Fed speech as oil falls and gold waits

2026-08-28 21:05:00.000 Singapore time

+0.06%

+1.31%

Not measured

0 earlier completed comparisons · open prices and evidence

Fewer than three earlier complete 20-hour checks are available, so no repeated move is claimed.

No earlier completed comparison is attached.

After the story	Starting price and saved time	Later price and saved time	Time accuracy	Price source
1 hour	82.41000366210938 2026-08-28T13:05:00.000Z	82.45999908447266 2026-08-28T14:05:00.000Z	First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each check	Price source
4 hours	82.41000366210938 2026-08-28T13:05:00.000Z	83.48999786376953 2026-08-28T17:05:00.000Z	First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each check	Price source
20 hours	Not recorded Time not recorded	Not recorded Time not recorded	Not available in the saved evidence	Price source not recorded

Open the story evidence

Claim: This saved story was linked to Oil futures.

Supporting reports

Markets hold their breath before the Fed speech as oil falls and gold waits

What argues against it

This shows what happened after the story. It does not prove the story caused the move.
No source here proves that any single public headline caused a particular CL tick.
EIA forecasts are conditional and can change when disruption or demand assumptions change.
Continuous-series returns can include roll effects that are absent from a fixed-expiry contract.

Where the reports came from: Not recorded
Languages: Not recorded
How recent: 2026-08-28T21:05:00.000+08:00
Similar earlier cases: Not measured

The six measured checks are multiplied together. This evidence score is not the chance a prediction will be right.

Source quality: Not fully measured.
Independent reports: Not fully measured.
Freshness: Not fully measured.
Opposing evidence: Not fully measured.
Earlier comparisons: Not fully measured.
Time accuracy: Not fully measured.

Where this appears

Markets and charts

Oil on track for weekly loss even as Iran tensions simmer

2026-08-28 09:13:00.000 Singapore time

-0.12%

-0.16%

Not measured

1 earlier completed comparisons · open prices and evidence

Fewer than three earlier complete 20-hour checks are available, so no repeated move is claimed.

Shipping traffic through Strait of Hormuz rises slightly, data shows · 2026-08-27T11:39:00.000+08:00 · Rose (2.10%)

After the story	Starting price and saved time	Later price and saved time	Time accuracy	Price source
1 hour	83.41000366210938 2026-08-28T01:15:00.000Z	83.30999755859375 2026-08-28T02:15:00.000Z	First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each check	Price source
4 hours	83.41000366210938 2026-08-28T01:15:00.000Z	83.27999877929688 2026-08-28T05:15:00.000Z	First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each check	Price source
20 hours	Not recorded Time not recorded	Not recorded Time not recorded	Not available in the saved evidence	Price source not recorded

Open the story evidence

Claim: This saved story was linked to Oil futures.

Supporting reports

Oil on track for weekly loss even as Iran tensions simmer

What argues against it

This shows what happened after the story. It does not prove the story caused the move.
No source here proves that any single public headline caused a particular CL tick.
EIA forecasts are conditional and can change when disruption or demand assumptions change.
Continuous-series returns can include roll effects that are absent from a fixed-expiry contract.

Where the reports came from: Not recorded
Languages: Not recorded
How recent: 2026-08-28T09:13:00.000+08:00
Similar earlier cases: 1 similar earlier case

The six measured checks are multiplied together. This evidence score is not the chance a prediction will be right.

Source quality: Not fully measured.
Independent reports: Not fully measured.
Freshness: Not fully measured.
Opposing evidence: Not fully measured.
Earlier comparisons: Not fully measured.
Time accuracy: Not fully measured.

Where this appears

Markets and charts

Shipping traffic through Strait of Hormuz rises slightly, data shows

2026-08-27 11:39:00.000 Singapore time

-0.04%

-0.78%

+2.10%

0 earlier completed comparisons · open prices and evidence

Fewer than three earlier complete 20-hour checks are available, so no repeated move is claimed.

No earlier completed comparison is attached.

After the story	Starting price and saved time	Later price and saved time	Time accuracy	Price source
1 hour	81.83999633789062 2026-08-27T03:40:00.000Z	81.80999755859375 2026-08-27T04:40:00.000Z	First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each check	Price source
4 hours	81.83999633789062 2026-08-27T03:40:00.000Z	81.19999694824219 2026-08-27T07:40:00.000Z	First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each check	Price source
20 hours	81.83999633789062 2026-08-27T03:40:00.000Z	83.55999755859375 2026-08-27T23:40:00.000Z	First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each check	Price source

Open the story evidence

Claim: This saved story was linked to Oil futures.

Supporting reports

Shipping traffic through Strait of Hormuz rises slightly, data shows

What argues against it

This shows what happened after the story. It does not prove the story caused the move.
No source here proves that any single public headline caused a particular CL tick.
EIA forecasts are conditional and can change when disruption or demand assumptions change.
Continuous-series returns can include roll effects that are absent from a fixed-expiry contract.

Where the reports came from: Not recorded
Languages: Not recorded
How recent: 2026-08-27T11:39:00.000+08:00
Similar earlier cases: Not measured

The six measured checks are multiplied together. This evidence score is not the chance a prediction will be right.

Source quality: Not fully measured.
Independent reports: Not fully measured.
Freshness: Not fully measured.
Opposing evidence: Not fully measured.
Earlier comparisons: Not fully measured.
Time accuracy: Not fully measured.

Where this appears

Markets and charts

How to read this: a later price shows what followed, not what caused the move. Comparisons use the same market and kind of news, with results already available before this story appeared.

01
Oil futures
CL=F · energy_future · 10 prediction records
Evidence
Publication markers · exact horizontal time

Loading public price line and publication markers…

Prediction 1 Prediction published1 Headline publishedPrediction 1 entry priceGraph badges open evidence. Timeline items jump to matching cards.

Chart readoutPrediction 1 is Fall expected ↓. Visible result record: No result recorded. 22 of 22 timed publication events are placed from left to right.
Latest public price · never a ledger grade

Last public price
Loading public price data…
From Prediction 1 entry
Entry 83.19 USD
Latest call
Fall expected ↓
Publication markers
22 of 22 timed
Publication timelineOldest → newest
Left to right matches the graph. Select an event to jump to its full card.

Prediction 10Prediction Prediction 10 · 20 Aug 2026, 15:21 SGTRise expected prediction85.059997559 USD · No result recorded
Prediction 9Prediction Prediction 9 · 20 Aug 2026, 17:22 SGTRise expected prediction86.440002441 USD · No result recorded
Prediction 8Prediction Prediction 8 · 20 Aug 2026, 20:41 SGTRise expected prediction87.54000091552734 USD · PROOF RECEIPT · Wrong (NOT FOUNDER-STAMPED)
Prediction 7Prediction Prediction 7 · 21 Aug 2026, 01:53 SGTRise expected prediction86.66000366210938 USD · Right
Prediction 6Prediction Prediction 6 · 22 Aug 2026, 01:43 SGTRise expected prediction87.33000183105469 USD · No result recorded
Prediction 5Prediction Prediction 5 · 25 Aug 2026, 10:11 SGTFall expected prediction85.5 USD · No result recorded
Prediction 4Prediction Prediction 4 · 25 Aug 2026, 15:22 SGTFall expected prediction84.36000061035156 USD · No result recorded
Prediction 3Prediction Prediction 3 · 25 Aug 2026, 17:43 SGTFall expected prediction82.7300033569336 USD · No result recorded
Prediction 2Prediction Prediction 2 · 26 Aug 2026, 07:53 SGTFall expected prediction81.019997 USD · Wrong
1Headline 1 · 27 Aug 2026, 11:39 SGTShipping traffic through Strait of Hormuz rises slightly, data showsCompany Or Asset
2Headline 2 · 28 Aug 2026, 09:13 SGTOil on track for weekly loss even as Iran tensions simmerCompany Or Asset
Prediction 1Prediction Prediction 1 · 28 Aug 2026, 11:34 SGTFall expected prediction83.19 USD · No result recorded
3Headline 3 · 28 Aug 2026, 21:05 SGTMarkets hold their breath before the Fed speech as oil falls and gold waitsMacro Or Policy
4Headline 4 · 28 Aug 2026, 23:47 SGTEquities rise with 2-year yields, dollar as rate hike bets rise following Warsh speechCompany Or Asset
5Headline 5 · 29 Aug 2026, 10:04 SGTWar and sanctions weigh on Iran's economy as trade fallsCompany Or Asset
6Headline 6 · 29 Aug 2026, 10:04 SGTIran maintains its claim of control over the Strait of HormuzCompany Or Asset
7Headline 7 · 31 Aug 2026, 04:38 SGTU.S. forces strike Iranian launchers on Larak IslandCompany Or Asset
8Headline 8 · 31 Aug 2026, 06:12 SGTOil jumps more than 2% after U.S. attack on Iran's Larak IslandCompany Or Asset
9Headline 9 · 31 Aug 2026, 14:32 SGTOil prices rise and stocks fall after US hits Iranian sites in the Strait of HormuzMacro Or Policy
10Headline 10 · 02 Sept 2026, 09:11 SGTOil prices rose to their highest level in more than a month.Macro Or Policy
11Headline 11 · 02 Sept 2026, 10:28 SGTThe US military was reported to have struck two Iranian oil tankers.Macro Or Policy
12Headline 12 · 02 Sept 2026, 22:38 SGTUS oil stocks fell while fuel demand weakened.Macro Or Policy
Latest prediction · Prediction 1
Prediction 1

Fall expected · 83.19 USDNo result recorded

Published
28 Aug 2026, 11:34 SGT
Deadline
01 Sept 2026, 11:34 SGT

System analysis · What the saved history shows
What the saved history shows: no locked row verdict was available as of 2026-09-06T01:40:00.000+08:00. This saved archive call is not relabelled as pending, and no Right or Wrong is inferred.

A latest-public-price comparison appears when tape is available; it cannot grade or alter the Founder result.

Prediction 1 plotted at publication timeOpen Receipt
Headlines · 12 · oldest first
1

Shipping traffic through Strait of Hormuz rises slightly, data showsPublished · 27 Aug 2026, 11:39 SGT · Company Or AssetOpens in a new tab.

System analysis · What the saved history shows
What the saved history shows: linked to Oil futures by a deterministic entity-name match. Saved importance: High importance 89/100.

A public-price comparison appears when tape is available; temporal association only, and this does not establish causation.

Maritime & ShippingHigh · 89/100Source time verified

Story noteMay hurt CL=F
Down

Why: More shipping traffic after a truce can reduce the disruption premium embedded in crude prices.

Confidence
High
Strength
Moderate
Headline mood
Positive

What happened later20h · No clear move after the headline · 0.00%Association only. This does not prove the headline caused the move.

Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.

How OTR scored this
Event
Energy Shipping Normalisation
Link to asset
Supply Disruption Risk Premium
Uncertainty
None Identified From Headline
Sample
Independent event
Rule
Hormuz traffic normalising

Original source ↗

2

Oil on track for weekly loss even as Iran tensions simmerPublished · 28 Aug 2026, 09:13 SGT · Company Or AssetOpens in a new tab.

System analysis · What the saved history shows
What the saved history shows: linked to Oil futures by an explicit saved source mapping. Saved importance: Medium importance 73/100.

A public-price comparison appears when tape is available; temporal association only, and this does not establish causation.

Energy & PowerMedium · 73/100Source time verified

Story noteMay hurt CL=F
Down

Why: The headline reports a weekly oil loss, a direct but backward-looking pressure signal.

Confidence
High
Strength
Moderate
Headline mood
Negative

What happened later20h · No clear move after the headline · 0.00%Association only. This does not prove the headline caused the move.

Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.

How OTR scored this
Event
Oil Price Weakness
Link to asset
Reported Price Momentum
Uncertainty
None Identified From Headline
Sample
Independent event
Rule
Oil weekly loss

Original source ↗

3

Markets hold their breath before the Fed speech as oil falls and gold waitsPublished · 28 Aug 2026, 21:05 SGT · Macro Or PolicyOpens in a new tab.

System analysis · What the saved history shows
What the saved history shows: linked to Oil futures by an explicit saved source mapping. Saved importance: High importance 75/100.

A public-price comparison appears when tape is available; temporal association only, and this does not establish causation.

CommoditiesHigh · 75/100Source time verified

Story noteMay hurt CL=F
Down

Why: The headline reports falling oil prices while markets wait for a catalyst.

Confidence
High
Strength
Light
Headline mood
Negative

What happened later20h · Not suitable for a direction check · 0.00%Association only. This does not prove the headline caused the move.

Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.

How OTR scored this
Event
Cross Asset Waiting
Link to asset
Reported Price Pressure
Uncertainty
None Identified From Headline
Sample
Independent event
Rule
Oil and gold wait

Original source ↗

4

Equities rise with 2-year yields, dollar as rate hike bets rise following Warsh speechPublished · 28 Aug 2026, 23:47 SGT · Company Or AssetOpens in a new tab.

System analysis · What the saved history shows
What the saved history shows: linked to Oil futures by an explicit saved source mapping. Saved importance: High importance 79/100.

A public-price comparison appears when tape is available; temporal association only, and this does not establish causation.

Equities / Stock MarketsHigh · 79/100Source time verified

Story notePushes both ways CL=F
Mixed

Why: Rates and the dollar can affect oil through several opposing channels, so this headline alone is not directional for crude.

Confidence
Medium
Strength
Unclear
Headline mood
Positive

What happened later20h · Not suitable for a direction check · 0.00%Association only. This does not prove the headline caused the move.

Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.

How OTR scored this
Event
Rates Repricing
Link to asset
Growth Expectations Versus Dollar
Uncertainty
None Identified From Headline
Sample
Independent event
Rule
Rate yields dollar

Original source ↗

5

War and sanctions weigh on Iran's economy as trade fallsPublished · 29 Aug 2026, 10:04 SGT · Company Or AssetOpens in a new tab.

System analysis · What the saved history shows
What the saved history shows: linked to Oil futures by an explicit saved source mapping. Saved importance: High importance 89/100.

A public-price comparison appears when tape is available; temporal association only, and this does not establish causation.

Energy & PowerHigh · 89/100Source time verified

Story noteUnclear CL=F
No direction

Why: No verified asset-specific event-to-exposure rule matched, so OTR abstains instead of using generic wording.

Confidence
Low
Strength
Unclear
Headline mood
Negative

What happened later20h · Not suitable for a direction check · 0.00%Association only. This does not prove the headline caused the move.

Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.

How OTR scored this
Event
No Asset Specific Rule
Link to asset
Unmapped
Uncertainty
No Asset Specific Rule
Sample
Independent event
Rule
Abstain

Original source ↗

6

Iran maintains its claim of control over the Strait of HormuzPublished · 29 Aug 2026, 10:04 SGT · Company Or AssetOpens in a new tab.

System analysis · What the saved history shows
What the saved history shows: linked to Oil futures by an explicit saved source mapping. Saved importance: High importance 89/100.

A public-price comparison appears when tape is available; temporal association only, and this does not establish causation.

Energy & PowerHigh · 89/100Source time verified

Story noteUnclear CL=F
No direction

Why: No verified asset-specific event-to-exposure rule matched, so OTR abstains instead of using generic wording.

Confidence
Low
Strength
Unclear
Headline mood
Neutral

What happened later20h · Not suitable for a direction check · 0.00%Association only. This does not prove the headline caused the move.

Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.

How OTR scored this
Event
No Asset Specific Rule
Link to asset
Unmapped
Uncertainty
No Asset Specific Rule
Sample
Duplicate coverage; not counted twice
Rule
Abstain

Original source ↗

7

U.S. forces strike Iranian launchers on Larak IslandPublished · 31 Aug 2026, 04:38 SGT · Company Or AssetOpens in a new tab.

System analysis · What the saved history shows
What the saved history shows: linked to Oil futures by an explicit saved source mapping. Saved importance: High importance 75/100.

A public-price comparison appears when tape is available; temporal association only, and this does not establish causation.

Defence & SecurityHigh · 75/100Source time verified

Story noteUnclear CL=F
No direction

Why: No verified asset-specific event-to-exposure rule matched, so OTR abstains instead of using generic wording.

Confidence
Low
Strength
Unclear
Headline mood
Neutral

What happened later20h · Not suitable for a direction check · 0.00%Association only. This does not prove the headline caused the move.

Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.

How OTR scored this
Event
No Asset Specific Rule
Link to asset
Unmapped
Uncertainty
No Asset Specific Rule
Sample
Independent event
Rule
Abstain

Original source ↗

8

Oil jumps more than 2% after U.S. attack on Iran's Larak IslandPublished · 31 Aug 2026, 06:12 SGT · Company Or AssetOpens in a new tab.

System analysis · What the saved history shows
What the saved history shows: linked to Oil futures by an explicit saved source mapping. Saved importance: Medium importance 73/100.

A public-price comparison appears when tape is available; temporal association only, and this does not establish causation.

Energy & PowerMedium · 73/100Source time verified

Story noteUnclear CL=F
No direction

Why: No verified asset-specific event-to-exposure rule matched, so OTR abstains instead of using generic wording.

Confidence
Low
Strength
Unclear
Headline mood
Neutral

What happened later20h · Not suitable for a direction check · 0.00%Association only. This does not prove the headline caused the move.

Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.

How OTR scored this
Event
No Asset Specific Rule
Link to asset
Unmapped
Uncertainty
No Asset Specific Rule
Sample
Independent event
Rule
Abstain

Original source ↗

9

Oil prices rise and stocks fall after US hits Iranian sites in the Strait of HormuzPublished · 31 Aug 2026, 14:32 SGT · Macro Or PolicyOpens in a new tab.

System analysis · What the saved history shows
What the saved history shows: linked to Oil futures by an explicit saved source mapping. Saved importance: High importance 80/100.

A public-price comparison appears when tape is available; temporal association only, and this does not establish causation.

Equities / Stock MarketsHigh · 80/100Source time verified

Story noteMay hurt CL=F
Down

Why: The headline reports a weekly oil loss, a direct but backward-looking pressure signal.

Confidence
High
Strength
Moderate
Headline mood
Mixed

What happened later20h · Not suitable for a direction check · 0.00%Association only. This does not prove the headline caused the move.

Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.

How OTR scored this
Event
Oil Price Weakness
Link to asset
Reported Price Momentum
Uncertainty
None Identified From Headline
Sample
Independent event
Rule
Oil weekly loss

Original source ↗

10

Oil prices rose to their highest level in more than a month.Published · 02 Sept 2026, 09:11 SGT · Macro Or PolicyOpens in a new tab.

System analysis · What the saved history shows
What the saved history shows: linked to Oil futures by an explicit saved source mapping. Saved importance: High importance 82/100.

A public-price comparison appears when tape is available; temporal association only, and this does not establish causation.

earlier rule Source-timed Current EventsHigh · 82/100Source time verified

Story noteUnclear CL=F
No direction

Why: No verified asset-specific event-to-exposure rule matched, so OTR abstains instead of using generic wording.

Confidence
Low
Strength
Unclear
Headline mood
Positive

What happened later20h · Not suitable for a direction check · 0.00%Association only. This does not prove the headline caused the move.

Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.

How OTR scored this
Event
No Asset Specific Rule
Link to asset
Unmapped
Uncertainty
No Asset Specific Rule
Sample
Independent event
Rule
Abstain

Original source ↗

11

The US military was reported to have struck two Iranian oil tankers.Published · 02 Sept 2026, 10:28 SGT · Macro Or PolicyOpens in a new tab.

System analysis · What the saved history shows
What the saved history shows: linked to Oil futures by an explicit saved source mapping. Saved importance: High importance 86/100.

A public-price comparison appears when tape is available; temporal association only, and this does not establish causation.

earlier rule Source-timed Current EventsHigh · 86/100Source time verified

Story noteUnclear CL=F
No direction

Why: No verified asset-specific event-to-exposure rule matched, so OTR abstains instead of using generic wording.

Confidence
Low
Strength
Unclear
Headline mood
Neutral

What happened later20h · Not suitable for a direction check · 0.00%Association only. This does not prove the headline caused the move.

Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.

How OTR scored this
Event
No Asset Specific Rule
Link to asset
Unmapped
Uncertainty
No Asset Specific Rule
Sample
Independent event
Rule
Abstain

Original source ↗

12

US oil stocks fell while fuel demand weakened.Published · 02 Sept 2026, 22:38 SGT · Macro Or PolicyOpens in a new tab.

System analysis · What the saved history shows
What the saved history shows: linked to Oil futures by an explicit saved source mapping. Saved importance: High importance 82/100.

A public-price comparison appears when tape is available; temporal association only, and this does not establish causation.

earlier rule Source-timed Current EventsHigh · 82/100Source time verified

Story noteUnclear CL=F
No direction

Why: No verified asset-specific event-to-exposure rule matched, so OTR abstains instead of using generic wording.

Confidence
Low
Strength
Unclear
Headline mood
Negative

What happened later20h · Not suitable for a direction check · 0.00%Association only. This does not prove the headline caused the move.

Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.

How OTR scored this
Event
No Asset Specific Rule
Link to asset
Unmapped
Uncertainty
No Asset Specific Rule
Sample
Independent event
Rule
Abstain

Original source ↗
Prediction history · 9 earlier · newest first
1. Prediction 2
  
  Fall expected · 81.019997 USDWrong
  
  Published
  26 Aug 2026, 07:53 SGT
  Deadline
  27 Aug 2026, 03:53 SGT
  
  System analysis · What the saved history shows
  What the saved history shows: prediction record Wrong. Prediction 2 is plotted at its recorded publication time; later tape observations cannot recalculate or change the stamped result.
  
  A latest-public-price comparison appears when tape is available; it cannot grade or alter the Founder result.
  
  Prediction 2 plotted at publication timeOpen Receipt
2. Prediction 3
  
  Fall expected · 82.7300033569336 USDNo result recorded
  
  Published
  25 Aug 2026, 17:43 SGT
  Deadline
  26 Aug 2026, 13:43 SGT
  
  System analysis · What the saved history shows
  What the saved history shows: no locked row verdict was available as of 2026-09-06T01:40:00.000+08:00. This saved archive call is not relabelled as pending, and no Right or Wrong is inferred.
  
  A latest-public-price comparison appears when tape is available; it cannot grade or alter the Founder result.
  
  Prediction 3 plotted at publication timeOpen Receipt
3. Prediction 4
  
  Fall expected · 84.36000061035156 USDNo result recorded
  
  Published
  25 Aug 2026, 15:22 SGT
  Deadline
  26 Aug 2026, 11:22 SGT
  
  System analysis · What the saved history shows
  What the saved history shows: no locked row verdict was available as of 2026-09-06T01:40:00.000+08:00. This saved archive call is not relabelled as pending, and no Right or Wrong is inferred.
  
  A latest-public-price comparison appears when tape is available; it cannot grade or alter the Founder result.
  
  Prediction 4 plotted at publication timeOpen Receipt
4. Prediction 5
  
  Fall expected · 85.5 USDNo result recorded
  
  Published
  25 Aug 2026, 10:11 SGT
  Deadline
  26 Aug 2026, 06:11 SGT
  
  System analysis · What the saved history shows
  What the saved history shows: no locked row verdict was available as of 2026-09-06T01:40:00.000+08:00. This saved archive call is not relabelled as pending, and no Right or Wrong is inferred.
  
  A latest-public-price comparison appears when tape is available; it cannot grade or alter the Founder result.
  
  Prediction 5 plotted at publication timeOpen Receipt
5. Prediction 6
  
  Rise expected · 87.33000183105469 USDNo result recorded
  
  Published
  22 Aug 2026, 01:43 SGT
  Deadline
  22 Aug 2026, 21:43 SGT
  
  System analysis · What the saved history shows
  What the saved history shows: no locked row verdict was available as of 2026-09-06T01:40:00.000+08:00. This saved archive call is not relabelled as pending, and no Right or Wrong is inferred.
  
  A latest-public-price comparison appears when tape is available; it cannot grade or alter the Founder result.
  
  Prediction 6 plotted at publication timeOpen Scores
6. Prediction 7
  
  Rise expected · 86.66000366210938 USDRight
  
  Published
  21 Aug 2026, 01:53 SGT
  Deadline
  21 Aug 2026, 21:53 SGT
  
  System analysis · What the saved history shows
  What the saved history shows: prediction record Right. Prediction 7 is plotted at its recorded publication time; later tape observations cannot recalculate or change the stamped result.
  
  A latest-public-price comparison appears when tape is available; it cannot grade or alter the Founder result.
  
  Prediction 7 plotted at publication timeOpen Receipt
7. Prediction 8
  
  Rise expected · 87.54000091552734 USDPROOF RECEIPT · Wrong (NOT FOUNDER-STAMPED)
  
  Published
  20 Aug 2026, 20:41 SGT
  Deadline
  21 Aug 2026, 16:41 SGT
  
  System analysis · What the saved history shows
  What the saved history shows: locked proof receipt Wrong. This is a traceable read-only result, not a Founder stamp. Prediction 8 remains at its original publication time.
  
  A latest-public-price comparison appears when tape is available; it cannot grade or alter the Founder result.
  
  Prediction 8 plotted at publication timeOpen Receipt
8. Prediction 9
  
  Rise expected · 86.440002441 USDNo result recorded
  
  Published
  20 Aug 2026, 17:22 SGT
  Deadline
  21 Aug 2026, 13:22 SGT
  
  System analysis · What the saved history shows
  What the saved history shows: no locked row verdict was available as of 2026-09-06T01:40:00.000+08:00. This saved archive call is not relabelled as pending, and no Right or Wrong is inferred.
  
  A latest-public-price comparison appears when tape is available; it cannot grade or alter the Founder result.
  
  Prediction 9 plotted at publication timeOpen Receipt
9. Prediction 10
  
  Rise expected · 85.059997559 USDNo result recorded
  
  Published
  20 Aug 2026, 15:21 SGT
  Deadline
  21 Aug 2026, 11:21 SGT
  
  System analysis · What the saved history shows
  What the saved history shows: no locked row verdict was available as of 2026-09-06T01:40:00.000+08:00. This saved archive call is not relabelled as pending, and no Right or Wrong is inferred.
  
  A latest-public-price comparison appears when tape is available; it cannot grade or alter the Founder result.
  
  Prediction 10 plotted at publication timeOpen Receipt
Graph LearningHow news has moved Oil futures beforeOpen the complete asset-specific memory
OTR GRAPH LEARNING
What OTR sees for Oil futures
An extra check. It does not replace the other evidence.

physical supply, output policy, shipping, inventories and demand · Rais and Bryce wear energy-market and field analysts.

What this is: A chart symbol commonly used for the nearest actively traded NYMEX West Texas Intermediate crude-oil futures contract. The underlying CL contract represents 1,000 barrels of WTI and expires, so a continuous chart rolls from one delivery month to the next.
Headlines that may cause the price of this investment to go up
A producer outage, war or shipping blockage removes barrels from the market
Official inventory data show a larger-than-expected crude draw
Producers cut output or restore disrupted output more slowly than expected
Headlines that may cause the price of this investment to go down
Official inventories build sharply
Blocked routes reopen or shut-in production returns faster than expected
Demand forecasts are cut because of weaker travel, industry or growth
What OTR checks
EIA weekly commercial crude and Cushing stocks
EIA refinery inputs and product supplied
EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook supply/demand revisions
CL front spread and curve shape
36 saved news time checks18 completed8 rose8 fell2 roughly flat

ASSET-SPECIFIC NEWS MEMORYWhat the news may mean here
0 supportive, 4 pressuring and 8 mixed or unclear asset-specific news signals.
12 linked headlines classified for this investment; 11 independent event samples. There is not yet a clear checked move suitable for a match test.
Can OTR use this for a prediction yet?Not for extra weight yet. The label must be frozen before the outcome and repeat in forward checks first.
Open the full Graph Learning analysis
Past
OTR has 36 saved headline-response checks for this investment: 18 completed, including 8 rises, 8 falls and 2 roughly flat moves. Each row keeps the original source and its news time when that time is verifiable; unresolved times stay explicit and add no weight.
Now
News that may help includes A producer outage, war or shipping blockage removes barrels from the market; Official inventory data show a larger-than-expected crude draw. News that may hurt includes Official inventories build sharply; Blocked routes reopen or shut-in production returns faster than expected. OTR also watches EIA weekly commercial crude and Cushing stocks, EIA refinery inputs and product supplied, EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook supply/demand revisions.
Next prediction
For a future prediction, OTR compares the new event with this investment's own saved reactions, then checks the wider market and named other possible causes. One headline never decides a call by itself.
When this can mislead
Geopolitical risk can dominate a normal inventory signal.; Inventory changes can reflect imports, exports or refinery maintenance rather than final demand.; CL=F is a vendor-style continuous symbol; its exact roll method may differ from holding one named CME contract.; A stronger or weaker U.S. dollar can change the dollar oil price without changing physical barrels.
Saved headline-move memory
Shipping traffic through Strait of Hormuz rises slightly, data shows27 Aug 2026, 11:39 SGT
1h · was roughly flat 0.05%4h · fell 0.77%20h · rose 2.06%
Oil on track for weekly loss even as Iran tensions simmer28 Aug 2026, 09:13 SGT
1h · fell 0.13%4h · fell 0.16%20h · was roughly flat 0.02%
Markets hold their breath before the Fed speech as oil falls and gold waits28 Aug 2026, 21:05 SGT
1h · fell 0.06%4h · rose 1.15%20h · not checked yet
Equities rise with 2-year yields, dollar as rate hike bets rise following Warsh speech28 Aug 2026, 23:47 SGT
1h · rose 0.37%4h · rose 0.35%20h · not checked yet
War and sanctions weigh on Iran's economy as trade falls29 Aug 2026, 10:04 SGT
1h · not checked yet4h · not checked yet20h · not checked yet
Iran maintains its claim of control over the Strait of Hormuz29 Aug 2026, 10:04 SGT
1h · not checked yet4h · not checked yet20h · not checked yet
U.S. forces strike Iranian launchers on Larak Island31 Aug 2026, 04:38 SGT
1h · not checked yet4h · not checked yet20h · not checked yet
Oil jumps more than 2% after U.S. attack on Iran's Larak Island31 Aug 2026, 06:12 SGT
1h · not checked yet4h · not checked yet20h · not checked yet
Oil prices rise and stocks fall after US hits Iranian sites in the Strait of Hormuz31 Aug 2026, 14:32 SGT
1h · not checked yet4h · not checked yet20h · not checked yet
Oil prices rose to their highest level in more than a month.02 Sept 2026, 09:11 SGT
1h · fell 0.76%4h · fell 1.16%20h · not checked yet
The US military was reported to have struck two Iranian oil tankers.02 Sept 2026, 10:28 SGT
1h · fell 0.19%4h · rose 0.08%20h · fell 0.08%
US oil stocks fell while fuel demand weakened.02 Sept 2026, 22:38 SGT
1h · rose 0.59%4h · rose 0.72%20h · rose 3.17%
Clue, not proof: timing is a clue, never proof. A price move after a headline does not prove the headline caused it. OTR uses a pattern only after it repeats and still holds up against the wider market.

One timeline of saved evidence

Stories, original predictions, review deadlines, checked thesis changes and earlier comparisons share the dates shown below. A review deadline is not the date an outcome was recorded. Only saved moments appear.

Open all 30 dated moments

Singapore time	Moment	Saved evidence
20 Aug 2026, 15:21	Prediction	Original rise prediction
20 Aug 2026, 17:22	Prediction	Original rise prediction
20 Aug 2026, 20:41	Prediction	Original rise prediction
21 Aug 2026, 01:53	Prediction	Original rise prediction
21 Aug 2026, 11:21	Review deadline	Open the original review terms
21 Aug 2026, 13:22	Review deadline	Open the original review terms
21 Aug 2026, 16:41	Review deadline	Open the original review terms
21 Aug 2026, 21:53	Review deadline	Recorded outcome: Right
25 Aug 2026, 10:11	Prediction	Original fall prediction
25 Aug 2026, 15:22	Prediction	Original fall prediction
25 Aug 2026, 17:43	Prediction	Original fall prediction
26 Aug 2026, 06:11	Review deadline	Open the original review terms
26 Aug 2026, 07:53	Prediction	Original fall prediction
26 Aug 2026, 11:22	Review deadline	Open the original review terms
26 Aug 2026, 13:43	Review deadline	Open the original review terms
27 Aug 2026, 03:53	Review deadline	Recorded outcome: Wrong
27 Aug 2026, 11:39	Story	Shipping traffic through Strait of Hormuz rises slightly, data shows
28 Aug 2026, 09:13	Story	Oil on track for weekly loss even as Iran tensions simmer
28 Aug 2026, 11:34	Prediction	Original fall prediction
28 Aug 2026, 21:05	Story	Markets hold their breath before the Fed speech as oil falls and gold waits
28 Aug 2026, 23:47	Story	Equities rise with 2-year yields, dollar as rate hike bets rise following Warsh speech
29 Aug 2026, 10:04	Story	War and sanctions weigh on Iran's economy as trade falls
29 Aug 2026, 10:04	Story	Iran maintains its claim of control over the Strait of Hormuz
31 Aug 2026, 04:38	Story	U.S. forces strike Iranian launchers on Larak Island
31 Aug 2026, 06:12	Story	Oil jumps more than 2% after U.S. attack on Iran's Larak Island
31 Aug 2026, 14:32	Story	Oil prices rise and stocks fall after US hits Iranian sites in the Strait of Hormuz
1 Sept 2026, 11:34	Review deadline	Open the original review terms
2 Sept 2026, 09:11	Story	Oil prices rose to their highest level in more than a month.
2 Sept 2026, 10:28	Story	The US military was reported to have struck two Iranian oil tankers.
2 Sept 2026, 22:38	Story	US oil stocks fell while fuel demand weakened.

Oil futures: predictions, prices and linked headlines

What happened after saved stories about Oil futures

12 saved story matches

61 out of 100 ready for comparison

Rose in 75% of its 4 complete twenty-hour checks

Supporting reports

What argues against it

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Latest prediction · Prediction 1

Headlines · 12 · oldest first

Prediction history · 9 earlier · newest first

Headlines that may cause the price of this investment to go up

Headlines that may cause the price of this investment to go down

What OTR checks

Saved headline-move memory

One timeline of saved evidence