PUBLIC PREDICTION RECEIPT
OTR predicted Oil futures would fall
a3d0e779148d48f98e1ce66dd000ec1758d56809f500affeb27d6c888b493b94
- Asset
- Oil futures · CL=F
- Direction
- DOWN
- Created
- Deadline
- Entry
- 83.19 USD
- Deadline price
- Checking…
- Raw return
- Checking…
- Relevant market return
- Checking…
- Market-adjusted result
- Checking…
- Founder result
- Not yet graded —
- Scientific event verdict
- Inconclusive until all required evidence passes
- Record status
- Original prediction cannot be secretly changed
Original frozen reason
CRUDE OIL FUTURES were below the prior close while renewed Hormuz diplomacy reduced immediate supply fear. A renewed security disruption or a move above the saved prior close invalidates the Fall expected call.
Invalidation condition
A renewed security disruption or a move above the saved prior close invalidates the Fall expected call.
Calculating synchronized evidence without changing the Founder result.
Sources, file checks and audit history
- Prediction row file check
- 5a0b91fbd7c23f865e29259e8f21362e27c690be3af45f51c3b99981a68311b8
- Prediction receipt file check
- a3d0e779148d48f98e1ce66dd000ec1758d56809f500affeb27d6c888b493b94
- Outcome append file check
- 0786aef53111d5e47051081b9a887a4db89bbf05487397323d8047c735904cab
- Model / method
- saved record · saved record
Founder Right/Wrong is authoritative and can only be changed by the Founder. Market-adjusted measurements are read-only observations and never mutate that ledger.