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NVIDIA: predictions, prices and linked headlines

This page keeps every NVIDIA prediction and source-timed headline together. The Founder result remains separate from later price evidence.

Line = price · P = prediction published · number = headline published.

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investments
1
Predictions
3
Linked headlines
6
Timed events
9

6 September 2026 graph update: 0 new story markers and 0 prediction points were added for this edition. The preserved history below keeps its original dates.

How OTR judges a headline

OTR asks what the event may do to this investment—not whether the words sound happy or scary. May help, may hurt, mixed or unclear is shown beside each linked headline. Later prices test the idea; timing alone never proves cause.

WHAT HAPPENED NEXT

What happened after saved stories about NVIDIA

6 saved story matches

10 of 18 possible later-price checks are available.

56 out of 100 ready for comparison

This measures how many required prices were saved. It does not measure prediction skill.

Rose in 67% of its 3 complete twenty-hour checks

This only describes the past. It does not predict the next move.

Showing all 6 saved events. Open each row for the actual price times, source and earlier comparisons.

Saved storyPublishedAfter 1 hourAfter 4 hoursAfter 20 hoursEarlier comparisons and evidence
The US administration was reported to be considering higher chip tariffs.2026-09-02 23:38:00 Singapore time+0.20%-1.00%Not measured
1 earlier completed comparisons · open prices and evidence

Fewer than three earlier complete 20-hour checks are available, so no repeated move is claimed.

After the storyStarting price and saved timeLater price and saved timeTime accuracyPrice source
1 hour226.2550048828125
2026-09-02T15:40:00.000Z
226.70010375976562
2026-09-02T16:40:00.000Z
First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each checkPrice source
4 hours226.2550048828125
2026-09-02T15:40:00.000Z
223.99000549316406
2026-09-02T19:40:00.000Z
First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each checkPrice source
20 hoursNot recorded
Time not recorded
Not recorded
Time not recorded
Not available in the saved evidencePrice source not recorded
Open the story evidence

Claim: This saved story was linked to NVIDIA.

Supporting reports

What argues against it

  • This shows what happened after the story. It does not prove the story caused the move.
  • Earnings and regulatory sources establish facts but do not identify the cause of each share-price move.
  • Management guidance and export-licence outcomes are uncertain.
  • AI demand can shift between architectures, suppliers and in-house chips.
Where the reports came from
Not recorded
Languages
Not recorded
How recent
2026-09-02T23:38:00+08:00
Similar earlier cases
1 similar earlier case

How sure is OTR?
Insufficient evidenceNo confidence number is shown because source quality, independent reports, freshness, opposing evidence, earlier comparisons, time accuracy are not fully measured.

The six measured checks are multiplied together. This evidence score is not the chance a prediction will be right.

  • Source quality: Not fully measured.
  • Independent reports: Not fully measured.
  • Freshness: Not fully measured.
  • Opposing evidence: Not fully measured.
  • Earlier comparisons: Not fully measured.
  • Time accuracy: Not fully measured.

Where this appears

iPronics raised €107 million in a round involving Nvidia and Criteria.2026-09-02 23:29:00 Singapore time+0.32%-0.84%-0.80%
1 earlier completed comparisons · open prices and evidence

Fewer than three earlier complete 20-hour checks are available, so no repeated move is claimed.

After the storyStarting price and saved timeLater price and saved timeTime accuracyPrice source
1 hour226.32000732421875
2026-09-02T15:30:00.000Z
227.033203125
2026-09-02T16:30:00.000Z
First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each checkPrice source
4 hours226.32000732421875
2026-09-02T15:30:00.000Z
224.41400146484375
2026-09-02T19:30:00.000Z
First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each checkPrice source
20 hours226.32000732421875
2026-09-02T15:30:00.000Z
224.52
2026-09-03T11:30:00.000Z
First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each checkPrice source
Open the story evidence

Claim: This saved story was linked to NVIDIA.

Supporting reports

What argues against it

  • This shows what happened after the story. It does not prove the story caused the move.
  • Earnings and regulatory sources establish facts but do not identify the cause of each share-price move.
  • Management guidance and export-licence outcomes are uncertain.
  • AI demand can shift between architectures, suppliers and in-house chips.
Where the reports came from
Not recorded
Languages
Not recorded
How recent
2026-09-02T23:29:00+08:00
Similar earlier cases
1 similar earlier case

How sure is OTR?
Insufficient evidenceNo confidence number is shown because source quality, independent reports, freshness, opposing evidence, earlier comparisons, time accuracy are not fully measured.

The six measured checks are multiplied together. This evidence score is not the chance a prediction will be right.

  • Source quality: Not fully measured.
  • Independent reports: Not fully measured.
  • Freshness: Not fully measured.
  • Opposing evidence: Not fully measured.
  • Earlier comparisons: Not fully measured.
  • Time accuracy: Not fully measured.

Where this appears

IonQ, NVIDIA and qBraid reported lower error in a quantum-simulation demonstration.2026-09-02 07:33:17 Singapore timeNot measuredNot measured+3.11%
1 earlier completed comparisons · open prices and evidence

Fewer than three earlier complete 20-hour checks are available, so no repeated move is claimed.

After the storyStarting price and saved timeLater price and saved timeTime accuracyPrice source
1 hourNot recorded
Time not recorded
Not recorded
Time not recorded
Not available in the saved evidencePrice source not recorded
4 hoursNot recorded
Time not recorded
Not recorded
Time not recorded
Not available in the saved evidencePrice source not recorded
20 hours217.5
2026-09-01T23:35:00.000Z
224.27000427246094
2026-09-02T19:35:00.000Z
First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each checkPrice source
Open the story evidence

Claim: This saved story was linked to NVIDIA.

Supporting reports

What argues against it

  • This shows what happened after the story. It does not prove the story caused the move.
  • Earnings and regulatory sources establish facts but do not identify the cause of each share-price move.
  • Management guidance and export-licence outcomes are uncertain.
  • AI demand can shift between architectures, suppliers and in-house chips.
Where the reports came from
Not recorded
Languages
Not recorded
How recent
2026-09-02T07:33:17+08:00
Similar earlier cases
1 similar earlier case

How sure is OTR?
Insufficient evidenceNo confidence number is shown because source quality, independent reports, freshness, opposing evidence, earlier comparisons, time accuracy are not fully measured.

The six measured checks are multiplied together. This evidence score is not the chance a prediction will be right.

  • Source quality: Not fully measured.
  • Independent reports: Not fully measured.
  • Freshness: Not fully measured.
  • Opposing evidence: Not fully measured.
  • Earlier comparisons: Not fully measured.
  • Time accuracy: Not fully measured.

Where this appears

Wall Street ends lower after Warsh reaffirms inflation fight2026-08-28 18:14:56.037 Singapore time+0.30%-1.22%Not measured
0 earlier completed comparisons · open prices and evidence

Fewer than three earlier complete 20-hour checks are available, so no repeated move is claimed.

No earlier completed comparison is attached.

After the storyStarting price and saved timeLater price and saved timeTime accuracyPrice source
1 hour226.28
2026-08-28T10:15:00.000Z
226.9482
2026-08-28T11:15:00.000Z
First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each checkPrice source
4 hours226.28
2026-08-28T10:15:00.000Z
223.52999877929688
2026-08-28T14:15:00.000Z
First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each checkPrice source
20 hoursNot recorded
Time not recorded
Not recorded
Time not recorded
Not available in the saved evidencePrice source not recorded
Open the story evidence

Claim: This saved story was linked to NVIDIA.

Supporting reports

What argues against it

  • This shows what happened after the story. It does not prove the story caused the move.
  • Earnings and regulatory sources establish facts but do not identify the cause of each share-price move.
  • Management guidance and export-licence outcomes are uncertain.
  • AI demand can shift between architectures, suppliers and in-house chips.
Where the reports came from
Not recorded
Languages
Not recorded
How recent
2026-08-28T18:14:56.037+08:00
Similar earlier cases
Not measured

How sure is OTR?
Insufficient evidenceNo confidence number is shown because source quality, independent reports, freshness, opposing evidence, earlier comparisons, time accuracy are not fully measured.

The six measured checks are multiplied together. This evidence score is not the chance a prediction will be right.

  • Source quality: Not fully measured.
  • Independent reports: Not fully measured.
  • Freshness: Not fully measured.
  • Opposing evidence: Not fully measured.
  • Earlier comparisons: Not fully measured.
  • Time accuracy: Not fully measured.

Where this appears

Stocks split as rate pressure hurts breadth while mega-cap platforms hold up2026-08-28 09:56:49.203 Singapore timeNot measuredNot measuredNot measured
1 earlier completed comparisons · open prices and evidence

Fewer than three earlier complete 20-hour checks are available, so no repeated move is claimed.

After the storyStarting price and saved timeLater price and saved timeTime accuracyPrice source
1 hourNot recorded
Time not recorded
Not recorded
Time not recorded
Not available in the saved evidencePrice source not recorded
4 hoursNot recorded
Time not recorded
Not recorded
Time not recorded
Not available in the saved evidencePrice source not recorded
20 hoursNot recorded
Time not recorded
Not recorded
Time not recorded
Not available in the saved evidencePrice source not recorded
Open the story evidence

Claim: This saved story was linked to NVIDIA.

Supporting reports

What argues against it

  • This shows what happened after the story. It does not prove the story caused the move.
  • Earnings and regulatory sources establish facts but do not identify the cause of each share-price move.
  • Management guidance and export-licence outcomes are uncertain.
  • AI demand can shift between architectures, suppliers and in-house chips.
Where the reports came from
Not recorded
Languages
Not recorded
How recent
2026-08-28T09:56:49.203+08:00
Similar earlier cases
1 similar earlier case

How sure is OTR?
Insufficient evidenceNo confidence number is shown because source quality, independent reports, freshness, opposing evidence, earlier comparisons, time accuracy are not fully measured.

The six measured checks are multiplied together. This evidence score is not the chance a prediction will be right.

  • Source quality: Not fully measured.
  • Independent reports: Not fully measured.
  • Freshness: Not fully measured.
  • Opposing evidence: Not fully measured.
  • Earlier comparisons: Not fully measured.
  • Time accuracy: Not fully measured.

Where this appears

Nvidia forecasts roughly 70% sales growth next fiscal year2026-08-27 04:24:22.095 Singapore time+5.40%Not measured+9.74%
0 earlier completed comparisons · open prices and evidence

Fewer than three earlier complete 20-hour checks are available, so no repeated move is claimed.

No earlier completed comparison is attached.

After the storyStarting price and saved timeLater price and saved timeTime accuracyPrice source
1 hour207.71
2026-08-26T20:25:00.000Z
218.9201
2026-08-26T21:25:00.000Z
First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each checkPrice source
4 hoursNot recorded
Time not recorded
Not recorded
Time not recorded
Not available in the saved evidencePrice source not recorded
20 hours207.71
2026-08-26T20:25:00.000Z
227.94500732421875
2026-08-27T16:25:00.000Z
First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each checkPrice source
Open the story evidence

Claim: This saved story was linked to NVIDIA.

Supporting reports

What argues against it

  • This shows what happened after the story. It does not prove the story caused the move.
  • Earnings and regulatory sources establish facts but do not identify the cause of each share-price move.
  • Management guidance and export-licence outcomes are uncertain.
  • AI demand can shift between architectures, suppliers and in-house chips.
Where the reports came from
Not recorded
Languages
Not recorded
How recent
2026-08-27T04:24:22.095+08:00
Similar earlier cases
Not measured

How sure is OTR?
Insufficient evidenceNo confidence number is shown because source quality, independent reports, freshness, opposing evidence, earlier comparisons, time accuracy are not fully measured.

The six measured checks are multiplied together. This evidence score is not the chance a prediction will be right.

  • Source quality: Not fully measured.
  • Independent reports: Not fully measured.
  • Freshness: Not fully measured.
  • Opposing evidence: Not fully measured.
  • Earlier comparisons: Not fully measured.
  • Time accuracy: Not fully measured.

Where this appears

How to read this: a later price shows what followed, not what caused the move. Comparisons use the same market and kind of news, with results already available before this story appeared.

  1. 01

    NVIDIA

    NVDA · equity · 3 prediction records

    Evidence
    Publication markers · exact horizontal time
    Loading public price line and publication markers…
    Prediction 1 Prediction published1 Headline publishedPrediction 1 entry priceGraph badges open evidence. Timeline items jump to matching cards.
    Chart readoutPrediction 1 is Rise expected ↑. Visible result record: Right. 9 of 9 timed publication events are placed from left to right.
    Latest public price · never a ledger grade
    Last public price
    Loading public price data…
    From Prediction 1 entry
    Entry 218.105 USD
    Latest call
    Rise expected ↑
    Publication markers
    9 of 9 timed
    Publication timelineOldest → newest

    Left to right matches the graph. Select an event to jump to its full card.

    1. Prediction 3Prediction Prediction 3 · 26 Aug 2026, 07:53 SGTFall expected prediction213.050003 USD · Right
    2. 1Headline 1 · 27 Aug 2026, 04:24 SGTNvidia forecasts roughly 70% sales growth next fiscal yearCompany Or Asset
    3. 2Headline 2 · 28 Aug 2026, 09:56 SGTStocks split as rate pressure hurts breadth while mega-cap platforms hold upCompany Or Asset
    4. Prediction 2Prediction Prediction 2 · 28 Aug 2026, 11:34 SGTRise expected prediction227.98 USD · No result recorded
    5. 3Headline 3 · 28 Aug 2026, 18:14 SGTWall Street ends lower after Warsh reaffirms inflation fightMacro Or Policy
    6. Prediction 1Prediction Prediction 1 · 01 Sept 2026, 02:44 SGTRise expected prediction218.105 USD · Right
    7. 4Headline 4 · 02 Sept 2026, 07:33 SGTIonQ, NVIDIA and qBraid reported lower error in a quantum-simulation demonstration.Company Or Asset
    8. 5Headline 5 · 02 Sept 2026, 23:29 SGTiPronics raised €107 million in a round involving Nvidia and Criteria.Company Or Asset
    9. 6Headline 6 · 02 Sept 2026, 23:38 SGTThe US administration was reported to be considering higher chip tariffs.Company Or Asset

    Latest prediction · Prediction 1

    1. Prediction 1
      Rise expected · 218.105 USDRight
      Published
      Deadline

    Headlines · 6 · oldest first

    1. 1
      Nvidia forecasts roughly 70% sales growth next fiscal yearPublished · 27 Aug 2026, 04:24 SGT · Company Or AssetOpens in a new tab.
      Story noteUnclear NVDA
      No direction

      Why: No verified asset-specific event-to-exposure rule matched, so OTR abstains instead of using generic wording.

      Confidence
      Low
      Strength
      Unclear
      Headline mood
      Positive

      Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.

      How OTR scored this
      Event
      No Asset Specific Rule
      Link to asset
      Unmapped
      Uncertainty
      No Asset Specific Rule
      Sample
      Independent event
      Rule
      Abstain
    2. 2
      Stocks split as rate pressure hurts breadth while mega-cap platforms hold upPublished · 28 Aug 2026, 09:56 SGT · Company Or AssetOpens in a new tab.
      Story noteUnclear NVDA
      No direction

      Why: No verified asset-specific event-to-exposure rule matched, so OTR abstains instead of using generic wording.

      Confidence
      Low
      Strength
      Unclear
      Headline mood
      Negative

      Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.

      How OTR scored this
      Event
      No Asset Specific Rule
      Link to asset
      Unmapped
      Uncertainty
      No Asset Specific Rule
      Sample
      Independent event
      Rule
      Abstain
    3. 3
      Wall Street ends lower after Warsh reaffirms inflation fightPublished · 28 Aug 2026, 18:14 SGT · Macro Or PolicyOpens in a new tab.
      Story noteUnclear NVDA
      No direction

      Why: No verified asset-specific event-to-exposure rule matched, so OTR abstains instead of using generic wording.

      Confidence
      Low
      Strength
      Unclear
      Headline mood
      Neutral

      Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.

      How OTR scored this
      Event
      No Asset Specific Rule
      Link to asset
      Unmapped
      Uncertainty
      No Asset Specific Rule
      Sample
      Independent event
      Rule
      Abstain
    4. 4
      IonQ, NVIDIA and qBraid reported lower error in a quantum-simulation demonstration.Published · 02 Sept 2026, 07:33 SGT · Company Or AssetOpens in a new tab.
      Story noteUnclear NVDA
      No direction

      Why: No verified asset-specific event-to-exposure rule matched, so OTR abstains instead of using generic wording.

      Confidence
      Low
      Strength
      Unclear
      Headline mood
      Neutral

      Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.

      How OTR scored this
      Event
      No Asset Specific Rule
      Link to asset
      Unmapped
      Uncertainty
      No Asset Specific Rule
      Sample
      Independent event
      Rule
      Abstain
    5. 5
      iPronics raised €107 million in a round involving Nvidia and Criteria.Published · 02 Sept 2026, 23:29 SGT · Company Or AssetOpens in a new tab.
      Story noteUnclear NVDA
      No direction

      Why: No verified asset-specific event-to-exposure rule matched, so OTR abstains instead of using generic wording.

      Confidence
      Low
      Strength
      Unclear
      Headline mood
      Neutral

      Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.

      How OTR scored this
      Event
      No Asset Specific Rule
      Link to asset
      Unmapped
      Uncertainty
      No Asset Specific Rule
      Sample
      Independent event
      Rule
      Abstain
    6. 6
      The US administration was reported to be considering higher chip tariffs.Published · 02 Sept 2026, 23:38 SGT · Company Or AssetOpens in a new tab.
      Story noteUnclear NVDA
      No direction

      Why: No verified asset-specific event-to-exposure rule matched, so OTR abstains instead of using generic wording.

      Confidence
      Low
      Strength
      Unclear
      Headline mood
      Negative

      Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.

      How OTR scored this
      Event
      No Asset Specific Rule
      Link to asset
      Unmapped
      Uncertainty
      No Asset Specific Rule; Modal Language
      Sample
      Independent event
      Rule
      Abstain

    Prediction history · 2 earlier · newest first

    1. Prediction 2
      Rise expected · 227.98 USDNo result recorded
      Published
      Deadline
    2. Prediction 3
      Fall expected · 213.050003 USDRight
      Published
      Deadline
    Graph LearningHow news has moved NVIDIA beforeOpen the complete asset-specific memory
    OTR GRAPH LEARNING

    What OTR sees for NVIDIA

    An extra check. It does not replace the other evidence.
    Editorial illustration of Rais and Bryce in ai-demand and chip-supply analysts studying accelerator demand, supply, competition, customer budgets and export rules for NVDA.
    accelerator demand, supply, competition, customer budgets and export rules · Rais and Bryce wear ai-demand and chip-supply analysts.

    What this is: A semiconductor and computing-platform company whose largest current engine is data-centre accelerated computing. Its results depend on AI infrastructure demand, product transitions, supply, customers' spending and export rules.

    Headlines that may cause the price of this investment to go up

    • Data-centre revenue and forward guidance beat expectations
    • New GPU systems ramp on time with strong availability and gross margin
    • Cloud providers and enterprises raise AI infrastructure spending

    Headlines that may cause the price of this investment to go down

    • U.S. export rules restrict more accelerators or end markets
    • A product transition slips or creates supply and yield problems
    • Large customers slow AI capital spending or develop substitutes

    What OTR checks

    • Data-centre revenue and guidance
    • gross margin
    • new-architecture shipments and supply
    • hyperscaler capex
    18 saved news time checks7 completed3 rose4 fell0 roughly flat
    ASSET-SPECIFIC NEWS MEMORYWhat the news may mean here

    0 supportive, 0 pressuring and 6 mixed or unclear asset-specific news signals.

    6 linked headlines classified for this investment; 6 independent event samples. There is not yet a clear checked move suitable for a match test.

    Open the full Graph Learning analysis
    Past
    OTR has 18 saved headline-response checks for this investment: 7 completed, including 3 rises, 4 falls and 0 roughly flat moves. Each row keeps the original source and its news time when that time is verifiable; unresolved times stay explicit and add no weight.
    Now
    News that may help includes Data-centre revenue and forward guidance beat expectations; New GPU systems ramp on time with strong availability and gross margin. News that may hurt includes U.S. export rules restrict more accelerators or end markets; A product transition slips or creates supply and yield problems. OTR also watches Data-centre revenue and guidance, gross margin, new-architecture shipments and supply.
    Next prediction
    For a future prediction, OTR compares the new event with this investment's own saved reactions, then checks the wider market and named other possible causes. One headline never decides a call by itself.
    When this can mislead
    Strong current revenue can coexist with a weaker forward growth rate.; Export restrictions may be partly offset by redesigned products or demand elsewhere, but not necessarily fully.; Customer capex is not identical to NVIDIA revenue.; Supply constraints can delay rather than destroy demand.

    Saved headline-move memory

    1. Nvidia forecasts roughly 70% sales growth next fiscal year27 Aug 2026, 04:24 SGT
      1h · not checked yet4h · not checked yet20h · not checked yet
    2. Stocks split as rate pressure hurts breadth while mega-cap platforms hold up28 Aug 2026, 09:56 SGT
      1h · not checked yet4h · not checked yet20h · not checked yet
    3. Wall Street ends lower after Warsh reaffirms inflation fight28 Aug 2026, 18:14 SGT
      1h · not checked yet4h · not checked yet20h · not checked yet
    4. IonQ, NVIDIA and qBraid reported lower error in a quantum-simulation demonstration.02 Sept 2026, 07:33 SGT
      1h · not checked yet4h · not checked yet20h · rose 3.11%
    5. iPronics raised €107 million in a round involving Nvidia and Criteria.02 Sept 2026, 23:29 SGT
      1h · rose 0.32%4h · fell 0.84%20h · fell 0.81%
    6. The US administration was reported to be considering higher chip tariffs.02 Sept 2026, 23:38 SGT
      1h · rose 0.20%4h · fell 1.00%20h · fell 0.91%

    Clue, not proof: timing is a clue, never proof. A price move after a headline does not prove the headline caused it. OTR uses a pattern only after it repeats and still holds up against the wider market.

One timeline of saved evidence

Stories, original predictions, review deadlines, checked thesis changes and earlier comparisons share the dates shown below. A review deadline is not the date an outcome was recorded. Only saved moments appear.

Open all 12 dated moments