PUBLIC PREDICTION RECEIPT
OTR predicted NVIDIA would rise
4cc2bd25486b9bb6db3f2739171324809099796f737d398cdfd72293b1518c4c
- Asset
- NVIDIA · NVDA
- Direction
- UP
- Created
- Deadline
- Entry
- 218.105 USD
- Deadline price
- Checking…
- Raw return
- Checking…
- Relevant market return
- Checking…
- Market-adjusted result
- Checking…
- Founder result
- Correct ✓
- Scientific event verdict
- Inconclusive until all required evidence passes
- Record status
- Original prediction cannot be secretly changed
Original frozen reason
Rise expected: Nvidia remains a relative-strength leader inside a weak-breadth tape, the two-source price lock is positive on the session, and the pre-publication empirical 20-hour up rate remains just above one half. The countercase is narrow leadership combined with higher yields, so the edge is fragile and saved without graph-learning added weight.
Invalidation condition
Invalidate the thesis if Nvidia loses its saved entry while semiconductor breadth weakens further or higher long yields overwhelm the relative-strength signal.
Calculating synchronized evidence without changing the Founder result.
Sources, file checks and audit history
- Prediction row file check
- c0e31fab37752684918c458de2c364b61173208e87d52c444212baa7fb8cc5f4
- Prediction receipt file check
- 4cc2bd25486b9bb6db3f2739171324809099796f737d398cdfd72293b1518c4c
- Outcome append file check
- 916142938c5492b167039f56cb46df7d9ac386ba889fb7a77854581fa0aeda33
- Model / method
- saved record · saved record
Founder Right/Wrong is authoritative and can only be changed by the Founder. Market-adjusted measurements are read-only observations and never mutate that ledger.