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GRAPH · USO

United States Oil Fund: predictions, prices and linked headlines

This page keeps every United States Oil Fund prediction and source-timed headline together. Every marker is read from the frozen monthly snapshot; later Graph changes cannot rewrite it.

Line = price · P = prediction published · number = headline published.

← See all investments in August 2026

investments
1
Predictions
6
Linked headlines
4
Timed events
10

Frozen monthly Graph snapshot: saved record · as of 2026-08-31T08:36:31.370+08:00. The 5 September publication added zero new graph markers or predictions; Graph totals count preserved per-investment records and the prediction record remains the outcome authority. The source and public snapshot are file check-locked and later publishes cannot modify them.

How OTR judges a headline

OTR asks what the event may do to this investment—not whether the words sound happy or scary. May help, may hurt, mixed or unclear is shown beside each linked headline. Later prices test the idea; timing alone never proves cause.

  1. 01

    United States Oil Fund

    USO · commodity_etf · 6 prediction records

    Evidence
    Publication markers · exact horizontal time
    Loading public price line and publication markers…
    Prediction 1 Prediction published1 Headline publishedPrediction 1 entry priceGraph badges open evidence. Timeline items jump to matching cards.
    Chart readoutPrediction 1 is Rise expected ↑. Visible result record: PROOF RECEIPT · Right (NOT FOUNDER-STAMPED). 10 of 10 timed publication events are placed from left to right.
    Latest public price · never a ledger grade
    Last public price
    Loading public price data…
    From Prediction 1 entry
    Entry 126.6 USD
    Latest call
    Rise expected ↑
    Publication markers
    10 of 10 timed
    Publication timelineOldest → newest

    Left to right matches the graph. Select an event to jump to its full card.

    1. Prediction 6Prediction Prediction 6 · 11 Aug 2026, 10:17 SGTRise expected prediction125.92 USD · No result recorded
    2. Prediction 5Prediction Prediction 5 · 12 Aug 2026, 20:15 SGTRise expected prediction127.61 USD · PROOF RECEIPT · Wrong (NOT FOUNDER-STAMPED)
    3. Prediction 4Prediction Prediction 4 · 14 Aug 2026, 09:32 SGTFall expected prediction125.03 USD · PROOF RECEIPT · Wrong (NOT FOUNDER-STAMPED)
    4. Prediction 3Prediction Prediction 3 · 15 Aug 2026, 12:19 SGTRise expected prediction126.6 USD · No result recorded
    5. Prediction 2Prediction Prediction 2 · 17 Aug 2026, 03:17 SGTFall expected prediction126.6 USD · PROOF RECEIPT · Wrong (NOT FOUNDER-STAMPED)
    6. Prediction 1Prediction Prediction 1 · 17 Aug 2026, 20:19 SGTRise expected prediction126.6 USD · PROOF RECEIPT · Right (NOT FOUNDER-STAMPED)
    7. 1Headline 1 · 29 Aug 2026, 10:04 SGTWar and sanctions weigh on Iran's economy as trade fallsCompany Or Asset
    8. 2Headline 2 · 29 Aug 2026, 10:04 SGTIran maintains its claim of control over the Strait of HormuzCompany Or Asset
    9. 3Headline 3 · 31 Aug 2026, 04:38 SGTU.S. forces strike Iranian launchers on Larak IslandCompany Or Asset
    10. 4Headline 4 · 31 Aug 2026, 06:12 SGTOil jumps more than 2% after U.S. attack on Iran's Larak IslandCompany Or Asset

    Latest prediction · Prediction 1

    1. Prediction 1
      Rise expected · 126.6 USDPROOF RECEIPT · Right (NOT FOUNDER-STAMPED)
      Published
      Deadline

    Headlines · 4 · oldest first

    1. 1
      War and sanctions weigh on Iran's economy as trade fallsPublished · 29 Aug 2026, 10:04 SGT · Company Or AssetOpens in a new tab.
      Story noteUnclear USO
      No direction

      Why: No verified asset-specific event-to-exposure rule matched, so OTR abstains instead of using generic wording.

      Confidence
      Low
      Strength
      Unclear
      Headline mood
      Negative

      Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.

      How OTR scored this
      Event
      No Asset Specific Rule
      Link to asset
      Unmapped
      Uncertainty
      No Asset Specific Rule
      Sample
      Independent event
      Rule
      Abstain
    2. 2
      Iran maintains its claim of control over the Strait of HormuzPublished · 29 Aug 2026, 10:04 SGT · Company Or AssetOpens in a new tab.
      Story noteUnclear USO
      No direction

      Why: No verified asset-specific event-to-exposure rule matched, so OTR abstains instead of using generic wording.

      Confidence
      Low
      Strength
      Unclear
      Headline mood
      Neutral

      Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.

      How OTR scored this
      Event
      No Asset Specific Rule
      Link to asset
      Unmapped
      Uncertainty
      No Asset Specific Rule
      Sample
      Independent event
      Rule
      Abstain
    3. 3
      U.S. forces strike Iranian launchers on Larak IslandPublished · 31 Aug 2026, 04:38 SGT · Company Or AssetOpens in a new tab.
      Story noteUnclear USO
      No direction

      Why: No verified asset-specific event-to-exposure rule matched, so OTR abstains instead of using generic wording.

      Confidence
      Low
      Strength
      Unclear
      Headline mood
      Neutral

      Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.

      How OTR scored this
      Event
      No Asset Specific Rule
      Link to asset
      Unmapped
      Uncertainty
      No Asset Specific Rule
      Sample
      Independent event
      Rule
      Abstain
    4. 4
      Oil jumps more than 2% after U.S. attack on Iran's Larak IslandPublished · 31 Aug 2026, 06:12 SGT · Company Or AssetOpens in a new tab.
      Story noteUnclear USO
      No direction

      Why: No verified asset-specific event-to-exposure rule matched, so OTR abstains instead of using generic wording.

      Confidence
      Low
      Strength
      Unclear
      Headline mood
      Neutral

      Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.

      How OTR scored this
      Event
      No Asset Specific Rule
      Link to asset
      Unmapped
      Uncertainty
      No Asset Specific Rule
      Sample
      Independent event
      Rule
      Abstain

    Prediction history · 5 earlier · newest first

    1. Prediction 2
      Fall expected · 126.6 USDPROOF RECEIPT · Wrong (NOT FOUNDER-STAMPED)
      Published
      Deadline
    2. Prediction 3
      Rise expected · 126.6 USDNo result recorded
      Published
      Deadline
    3. Prediction 4
      Fall expected · 125.03 USDPROOF RECEIPT · Wrong (NOT FOUNDER-STAMPED)
      Published
      Deadline
    4. Prediction 5
      Rise expected · 127.61 USDPROOF RECEIPT · Wrong (NOT FOUNDER-STAMPED)
      Published
      Deadline
    5. Prediction 6
      Rise expected · 125.92 USDNo result recorded
      Published
      Deadline

    Frozen archive boundary: this page preserves the August markers and prediction records. Later Graph Learning data is kept on the current Graph and cannot rewrite this snapshot.