PUBLIC PREDICTION RECEIPT
OTR predicted United States Oil Fund would fall
5bed12d829ab94c9afed2c748c518a91b324e90712d9f36f5d556fa57f2cd4dc
- Asset
- United States Oil Fund · USO
- Direction
- DOWN
- Created
- Deadline
- Entry
- 125.03 USD
- Deadline price
- Checking…
- Raw return
- Checking…
- Relevant market return
- Checking…
- Market-adjusted result
- Checking…
- Original recorded result
- Not yet graded —
- Scientific event verdict
- Inconclusive until all required evidence passes
- Record status
- Original prediction cannot be secretly changed
Original frozen reason
Current entity-specific headline evidence is negative (-50.0). Pavuron preserves that contradiction and marks the instrument Fall expected.
Invalidation condition
A later evidence reversal may change the next edition, but it cannot rewrite this score. The source-timed +20-hour check remains the only outcome authority.
Calculating synchronized evidence without changing the Original recorded result.
Sources, file checks and audit history
- Prediction row file check
- 8e3cc3b80b460ff019ecbaa74bdaf38186b19c7c53fd03b2cacf7de0805eb6d9
- Prediction receipt file check
- 5bed12d829ab94c9afed2c748c518a91b324e90712d9f36f5d556fa57f2cd4dc
- Outcome append file check
- Pending or unavailable
- Model / method
- saved record · saved record
Each original result retains its original rules and cohort. Market-adjusted measurements do not regrade it. A saved imported row does not by itself establish membership in the separate historical founder score.