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GRAPH · GC=F

Gold futures: predictions, prices and linked headlines

This page keeps every Gold futures prediction and source-timed headline together. Every marker is read from the frozen monthly snapshot; later Graph changes cannot rewrite it.

Line = price · P = prediction published · number = headline published.

← See all investments in August 2026

investments
1
Predictions
9
Linked headlines
10
Timed events
19

Frozen monthly Graph snapshot: saved record · as of 2026-08-31T08:36:31.370+08:00. The 5 September publication added zero new graph markers or predictions; Graph totals count preserved per-investment records and the prediction record remains the outcome authority. The source and public snapshot are file check-locked and later publishes cannot modify them.

How OTR judges a headline

OTR asks what the event may do to this investment—not whether the words sound happy or scary. May help, may hurt, mixed or unclear is shown beside each linked headline. Later prices test the idea; timing alone never proves cause.

  1. 01

    Gold futures

    GC=F · metal_future · 9 prediction records

    Evidence
    Publication markers · exact horizontal time
    Loading public price line and publication markers…
    Prediction 1 Prediction published1 Headline publishedPrediction 1 entry priceGraph badges open evidence. Timeline items jump to matching cards.
    Chart readoutPrediction 1 is Fall expected ↓. Visible result record: PENDING AT GRAPH SNAPSHOT. 19 of 19 timed publication events are placed from left to right.
    Latest public price · never a ledger grade
    Last public price
    Loading public price data…
    From Prediction 1 entry
    Entry 4641.9 USD
    Latest call
    Fall expected ↓
    Publication markers
    19 of 19 timed
    Publication timelineOldest → newest

    Left to right matches the graph. Select an event to jump to its full card.

    1. Prediction 9Prediction Prediction 9 · 20 Aug 2026, 15:21 SGTRise expected prediction4546.600097656 USD · No result recorded
    2. Prediction 8Prediction Prediction 8 · 20 Aug 2026, 17:22 SGTRise expected prediction4548.399902344 USD · No result recorded
    3. Prediction 7Prediction Prediction 7 · 20 Aug 2026, 20:41 SGTRise expected prediction4510.2998046875 USD · PROOF RECEIPT · Right (NOT FOUNDER-STAMPED)
    4. Prediction 6Prediction Prediction 6 · 21 Aug 2026, 01:53 SGTRise expected prediction4573.7998046875 USD · Right
    5. Prediction 5Prediction Prediction 5 · 25 Aug 2026, 10:11 SGTRise expected prediction4717.7998046875 USD · No result recorded
    6. Prediction 4Prediction Prediction 4 · 25 Aug 2026, 15:22 SGTRise expected prediction4697.2001953125 USD · No result recorded
    7. Prediction 3Prediction Prediction 3 · 25 Aug 2026, 17:43 SGTRise expected prediction4682.7998046875 USD · No result recorded
    8. Prediction 2Prediction Prediction 2 · 26 Aug 2026, 07:53 SGTRise expected prediction4713.600098 USD · Wrong
    9. 1Headline 1 · 28 Aug 2026, 09:56 SGTStocks split as rate pressure hurts breadth while mega-cap platforms hold upCompany Or Asset
    10. 2Headline 2 · 28 Aug 2026, 10:19 SGTGold slips as Fed chief Warsh's Jackson Hole speech loomsMacro Or Policy
    11. Prediction 1Prediction Prediction 1 · 28 Aug 2026, 11:34 SGTFall expected prediction4641.9 USD · PENDING AT GRAPH SNAPSHOT
    12. 3Headline 3 · 28 Aug 2026, 13:44 SGTIndonesia Gold Price Today: Gold Falls, According to FXStreet DataCompany Or Asset
    13. 4Headline 4 · 28 Aug 2026, 21:05 SGTMarkets hold their breath before the Fed speech as oil falls and gold waitsMacro Or Policy
    14. 5Headline 5 · 28 Aug 2026, 23:47 SGTEquities rise with 2-year yields, dollar as rate hike bets rise following Warsh speechCompany Or Asset
    15. 6Headline 6 · 29 Aug 2026, 03:09 SGTGold falls as rate-rise expectations increaseCompany Or Asset
    16. 7Headline 7 · 29 Aug 2026, 19:41 SGTWarsh turns hawkish; gold and silver plungeCompany Or Asset
    17. 8Headline 8 · 29 Aug 2026, 21:00 SGTRate-hike odds jump; gold and silver fall sharplyCompany Or Asset
    18. 9Headline 9 · 29 Aug 2026, 21:59 SGTInflation focus raises the chance of tighter policy at the next Fed meetingMacro Or Policy
    19. 10Headline 10 · 29 Aug 2026, 21:59 SGTWarsh raises stakes for the Fed's next meetingMacro Or Policy

    Latest prediction · Prediction 1

    1. Prediction 1
      Fall expected · 4641.9 USDPENDING AT GRAPH SNAPSHOT
      Published
      Deadline

    Headlines · 10 · oldest first

    1. 1
      Stocks split as rate pressure hurts breadth while mega-cap platforms hold upPublished · 28 Aug 2026, 09:56 SGT · Company Or AssetOpens in a new tab.
      Story noteUnclear GC=F
      No direction

      Why: No verified asset-specific event-to-exposure rule matched, so OTR abstains instead of using generic wording.

      Confidence
      Low
      Strength
      Unclear
      Headline mood
      Negative

      Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.

      How OTR scored this
      Event
      No Asset Specific Rule
      Link to asset
      Unmapped
      Uncertainty
      No Asset Specific Rule
      Sample
      Independent event
      Rule
      Abstain
    2. 2
      Gold slips as Fed chief Warsh's Jackson Hole speech loomsPublished · 28 Aug 2026, 10:19 SGT · Macro Or PolicyOpens in a new tab.
      Story noteMay hurt GC=F
      Down

      Why: The headline reports weaker gold prices; that is a market observation, not a new independent cause.

      Confidence
      High
      Strength
      Moderate
      Headline mood
      Negative

      Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.

      How OTR scored this
      Event
      Gold Price Move
      Link to asset
      Reported Price Momentum
      Uncertainty
      None Identified From Headline
      Sample
      Independent event
      Rule
      Gold softening
    3. 3
      Indonesia Gold Price Today: Gold Falls, According to FXStreet DataPublished · 28 Aug 2026, 13:44 SGT · Company Or AssetOpens in a new tab.
      Story noteMay hurt GC=F
      Down

      Why: The headline reports weaker gold prices; that is a market observation, not a new independent cause.

      Confidence
      High
      Strength
      Moderate
      Headline mood
      Negative

      Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.

      How OTR scored this
      Event
      Gold Price Move
      Link to asset
      Reported Price Momentum
      Uncertainty
      None Identified From Headline
      Sample
      Independent event
      Rule
      Gold softening
    4. 4
      Markets hold their breath before the Fed speech as oil falls and gold waitsPublished · 28 Aug 2026, 21:05 SGT · Macro Or PolicyOpens in a new tab.
      Story notePushes both ways GC=F
      Mixed

      Why: Gold is described as waiting rather than receiving a clear supportive or pressuring catalyst.

      Confidence
      Medium
      Strength
      Unclear
      Headline mood
      Negative

      Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.

      How OTR scored this
      Event
      Cross Asset Waiting
      Link to asset
      Safe Haven Waiting
      Uncertainty
      None Identified From Headline
      Sample
      Independent event
      Rule
      Oil and gold wait
    5. 5
      Equities rise with 2-year yields, dollar as rate hike bets rise following Warsh speechPublished · 28 Aug 2026, 23:47 SGT · Company Or AssetOpens in a new tab.
      Story noteMay hurt GC=F
      Down

      Why: Higher yields and a stronger dollar can raise the opportunity cost of holding gold.

      Confidence
      High
      Strength
      Moderate
      Headline mood
      Positive

      Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.

      How OTR scored this
      Event
      Rates Repricing
      Link to asset
      Real Yields And Dollar
      Uncertainty
      None Identified From Headline
      Sample
      Independent event
      Rule
      Rate yields dollar
    6. 6
      Gold falls as rate-rise expectations increasePublished · 29 Aug 2026, 03:09 SGT · Company Or AssetOpens in a new tab.
      Story noteMay hurt GC=F
      Down

      Why: The headline reports weaker gold prices; that is a market observation, not a new independent cause.

      Confidence
      High
      Strength
      Moderate
      Headline mood
      Mixed

      Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.

      How OTR scored this
      Event
      Gold Price Move
      Link to asset
      Reported Price Momentum
      Uncertainty
      None Identified From Headline
      Sample
      Independent event
      Rule
      Gold softening
    7. 7
      Warsh turns hawkish; gold and silver plungePublished · 29 Aug 2026, 19:41 SGT · Company Or AssetOpens in a new tab.
      Story noteUnclear GC=F
      No direction

      Why: No verified asset-specific event-to-exposure rule matched, so OTR abstains instead of using generic wording.

      Confidence
      Low
      Strength
      Unclear
      Headline mood
      Neutral

      Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.

      How OTR scored this
      Event
      No Asset Specific Rule
      Link to asset
      Unmapped
      Uncertainty
      No Asset Specific Rule
      Sample
      Independent event
      Rule
      Abstain
    8. 8
      Rate-hike odds jump; gold and silver fall sharplyPublished · 29 Aug 2026, 21:00 SGT · Company Or AssetOpens in a new tab.
      Story noteMay hurt GC=F
      Down

      Why: The headline reports weaker gold prices; that is a market observation, not a new independent cause.

      Confidence
      High
      Strength
      Moderate
      Headline mood
      Negative

      Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.

      How OTR scored this
      Event
      Gold Price Move
      Link to asset
      Reported Price Momentum
      Uncertainty
      None Identified From Headline
      Sample
      Independent event
      Rule
      Gold softening
    9. 9
      Inflation focus raises the chance of tighter policy at the next Fed meetingPublished · 29 Aug 2026, 21:59 SGT · Macro Or PolicyOpens in a new tab.
      Story noteUnclear GC=F
      No direction

      Why: No verified asset-specific event-to-exposure rule matched, so OTR abstains instead of using generic wording.

      Confidence
      Low
      Strength
      Unclear
      Headline mood
      Neutral

      Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.

      How OTR scored this
      Event
      No Asset Specific Rule
      Link to asset
      Unmapped
      Uncertainty
      No Asset Specific Rule
      Sample
      Independent event
      Rule
      Abstain
    10. 10
      Warsh raises stakes for the Fed's next meetingPublished · 29 Aug 2026, 21:59 SGT · Macro Or PolicyOpens in a new tab.
      Story noteUnclear GC=F
      No direction

      Why: No verified asset-specific event-to-exposure rule matched, so OTR abstains instead of using generic wording.

      Confidence
      Low
      Strength
      Unclear
      Headline mood
      Neutral

      Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.

      How OTR scored this
      Event
      No Asset Specific Rule
      Link to asset
      Unmapped
      Uncertainty
      No Asset Specific Rule
      Sample
      Independent event
      Rule
      Abstain

    Prediction history · 8 earlier · newest first

    1. Prediction 2
      Rise expected · 4713.600098 USDWrong
      Published
      Deadline
    2. Prediction 3
      Rise expected · 4682.7998046875 USDNo result recorded
      Published
      Deadline
    3. Prediction 4
      Rise expected · 4697.2001953125 USDNo result recorded
      Published
      Deadline
    4. Prediction 5
      Rise expected · 4717.7998046875 USDNo result recorded
      Published
      Deadline
    5. Prediction 6
      Rise expected · 4573.7998046875 USDRight
      Published
      Deadline
    6. Prediction 7
      Rise expected · 4510.2998046875 USDPROOF RECEIPT · Right (NOT FOUNDER-STAMPED)
      Published
      Deadline
    7. Prediction 8
      Rise expected · 4548.399902344 USDNo result recorded
      Published
      Deadline
    8. Prediction 9
      Rise expected · 4546.600097656 USDNo result recorded
      Published
      Deadline

    Frozen archive boundary: this page preserves the August markers and prediction records. Later Graph Learning data is kept on the current Graph and cannot rewrite this snapshot.