PUBLIC PREDICTION RECEIPT
OTR predicted Gold futures would fall
84b41bdc1e2736fd0727b74e9843cae28342cb962c2cf2bf1ae4096ab7901cb1
- Asset
- Gold futures · GC=F
- Direction
- DOWN
- Created
- Deadline
- Entry
- 4641.9 USD
- Deadline price
- Checking…
- Raw return
- Checking…
- Relevant market return
- Checking…
- Market-adjusted result
- Checking…
- Founder result
- Not yet graded —
- Scientific event verdict
- Inconclusive until all required evidence passes
- Record status
- Original prediction cannot be secretly changed
Original frozen reason
GOLD FUTURES were below the prior close as sticky inflation and higher Treasury yields raised the opportunity cost of holding gold. A sharp haven bid or recovery above the saved prior close invalidates the call.
Invalidation condition
A sharp haven bid or recovery above the saved prior close invalidates the call.
Calculating synchronized evidence without changing the Founder result.
Sources, file checks and audit history
- Prediction row file check
- 6389bcccb0b97bf972da8aebd4fe5d4e96b40ee46bf81fb6ad581bda6ff0701e
- Prediction receipt file check
- 84b41bdc1e2736fd0727b74e9843cae28342cb962c2cf2bf1ae4096ab7901cb1
- Outcome append file check
- 1f07f5883d642759ea0f94246efc77a072f031fc76cab67bc62cd49b6d96913a
- Model / method
- saved record · saved record
Founder Right/Wrong is authoritative and can only be changed by the Founder. Market-adjusted measurements are read-only observations and never mutate that ledger.