Russell 2000 Fund
IWM · etf · 1 prediction record
Publication markers · exact horizontal time
Prediction 1 Prediction published1 Headline publishedPrediction 1 entry priceGraph badges open evidence. Timeline items jump to matching cards.
Chart readoutPrediction 1 is Rise expected ↑. Visible result record: No result recorded. 7 of 7 timed publication events are placed from left to right.
Latest public price · never a ledger grade- Last public price
- Loading public price data…
- From Prediction 1 entry
- Entry 299.98 USD
- Latest call
- Rise expected ↑
- Publication markers
- 7 of 7 timed
Publication timelineOldest → newest
Left to right matches the graph. Select an event to jump to its full card.
- Prediction 1Prediction Prediction 1 · 11 Aug 2026, 10:17 SGTRise expected prediction299.98 USD · No result recorded
- 1Headline 1 · 28 Aug 2026, 09:56 SGTStocks split as rate pressure hurts breadth while mega-cap platforms hold upCompany Or Asset
- 2Headline 2 · 28 Aug 2026, 18:14 SGTWall Street ends lower after Warsh reaffirms inflation fightMacro Or Policy
- 3Headline 3 · 29 Aug 2026, 21:59 SGTInflation focus raises the chance of tighter policy at the next Fed meetingMacro Or Policy
- 4Headline 4 · 29 Aug 2026, 21:59 SGTWarsh raises stakes for the Fed's next meetingMacro Or Policy
- 5Headline 5 · 31 Aug 2026, 14:32 SGTOil prices rise and stocks fall after US hits Iranian sites in the Strait of HormuzMacro Or Policy
- 6Headline 6 · 01 Sept 2026, 14:46 SGTGlobal bond rout deepens as oil prices jump; wheat prices reach their highest since early 2023Macro Or Policy
Latest prediction · Prediction 1
-
Prediction 1
Rise expected · 299.98 USDNo result recorded - Published
- Deadline
Headlines · 6 · oldest first
-
1
Stocks split as rate pressure hurts breadth while mega-cap platforms hold upPublished · 28 Aug 2026, 09:56 SGT · Company Or AssetOpens in a new tab. Story noteUnclear IWMNo directionWhy: No verified asset-specific event-to-exposure rule matched, so OTR abstains instead of using generic wording.
- Confidence
- Low
- Strength
- Unclear
- Headline mood
- Negative
Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.
How OTR scored this
- Event
- No Asset Specific Rule
- Link to asset
- Unmapped
- Uncertainty
- No Asset Specific Rule
- Sample
- Independent event
- Rule
- Abstain
-
2
Wall Street ends lower after Warsh reaffirms inflation fightPublished · 28 Aug 2026, 18:14 SGT · Macro Or PolicyOpens in a new tab. Story noteUnclear IWMNo directionWhy: No verified asset-specific event-to-exposure rule matched, so OTR abstains instead of using generic wording.
- Confidence
- Low
- Strength
- Unclear
- Headline mood
- Neutral
Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.
How OTR scored this
- Event
- No Asset Specific Rule
- Link to asset
- Unmapped
- Uncertainty
- No Asset Specific Rule
- Sample
- Independent event
- Rule
- Abstain
-
3
Inflation focus raises the chance of tighter policy at the next Fed meetingPublished · 29 Aug 2026, 21:59 SGT · Macro Or PolicyOpens in a new tab. Story noteUnclear IWMNo directionWhy: No verified asset-specific event-to-exposure rule matched, so OTR abstains instead of using generic wording.
- Confidence
- Low
- Strength
- Unclear
- Headline mood
- Neutral
Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.
How OTR scored this
- Event
- No Asset Specific Rule
- Link to asset
- Unmapped
- Uncertainty
- No Asset Specific Rule
- Sample
- Independent event
- Rule
- Abstain
-
4
Warsh raises stakes for the Fed's next meetingPublished · 29 Aug 2026, 21:59 SGT · Macro Or PolicyOpens in a new tab. Story noteUnclear IWMNo directionWhy: No verified asset-specific event-to-exposure rule matched, so OTR abstains instead of using generic wording.
- Confidence
- Low
- Strength
- Unclear
- Headline mood
- Neutral
Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.
How OTR scored this
- Event
- No Asset Specific Rule
- Link to asset
- Unmapped
- Uncertainty
- No Asset Specific Rule
- Sample
- Independent event
- Rule
- Abstain
-
5
Oil prices rise and stocks fall after US hits Iranian sites in the Strait of HormuzPublished · 31 Aug 2026, 14:32 SGT · Macro Or PolicyOpens in a new tab. Story noteUnclear IWMNo directionWhy: No verified asset-specific event-to-exposure rule matched, so OTR abstains instead of using generic wording.
- Confidence
- Low
- Strength
- Unclear
- Headline mood
- Mixed
Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.
How OTR scored this
- Event
- No Asset Specific Rule
- Link to asset
- Unmapped
- Uncertainty
- No Asset Specific Rule
- Sample
- Independent event
- Rule
- Abstain
-
6
Global bond rout deepens as oil prices jump; wheat prices reach their highest since early 2023Published · 01 Sept 2026, 14:46 SGT · Macro Or PolicyOpens in a new tab. Story noteUnclear IWMNo directionWhy: No verified asset-specific event-to-exposure rule matched, so OTR abstains instead of using generic wording.
- Confidence
- Low
- Strength
- Unclear
- Headline mood
- Neutral
Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.
How OTR scored this
- Event
- No Asset Specific Rule
- Link to asset
- Unmapped
- Uncertainty
- No Asset Specific Rule
- Sample
- Independent event
- Rule
- Abstain
Graph LearningHow news has moved Russell 2000 Fund beforeOpen the complete asset-specific memory
OTR GRAPH LEARNING
An extra check. It does not replace the other evidence.What OTR sees for Russell 2000 Fund
What this is: An ETF designed to track the Russell 2000 Index, a broad basket of smaller publicly traded U.S. companies.
Headlines that may cause the price of this investment to go up
- Lower policy-rate expectations, falling credit spreads, or easier bank lending confirmed by official data, because smaller companies often rely more on financing.
- Broad improvement in U.S. domestic demand, employment, and capital spending that lifts small-company revenue expectations.
- Small-cap earnings upgrades spreading across many industries rather than one large constituent.
Headlines that may cause the price of this investment to go down
- Higher-for-longer rates, widening credit spreads, or tighter lending standards.
- Recession signals, weaker domestic sales, rising unemployment, or falling business investment.
- Small-cap earnings downgrades driven by wage, input, insurance, or interest expense.
What OTR checks
- IWM holdings, sector weights, NAV, flows, and premium or discount
- Federal funds path and Treasury yields
- Investment-grade and high-yield credit spreads
- Federal Reserve lending-standards surveys
18 saved news time checks0 completed0 rose0 fell0 roughly flat
0 supportive, 0 pressuring and 6 mixed or unclear asset-specific news signals.
6 linked headlines classified for this investment; 6 independent event samples. There is not yet a clear checked move suitable for a match test.
Open the full Graph Learning analysis
- Past
- OTR has 18 saved headline-response checks for this investment: 0 completed, including 0 rises, 0 falls and 0 roughly flat moves. Each row keeps the original source and its news time when that time is verifiable; unresolved times stay explicit and add no weight.
- Now
- News that may help includes Lower policy-rate expectations, falling credit spreads, or easier bank lending confirmed by official data, because smaller companies often rely more on financing.; Broad improvement in U.S. domestic demand, employment, and capital spending that lifts small-company revenue expectations.. News that may hurt includes Higher-for-longer rates, widening credit spreads, or tighter lending standards.; Recession signals, weaker domestic sales, rising unemployment, or falling business investment.. OTR also watches IWM holdings, sector weights, NAV, flows, and premium or discount, Federal funds path and Treasury yields, Investment-grade and high-yield credit spreads.
- Next prediction
- For a future prediction, OTR compares the new event with this investment's own saved reactions, then checks the wider market and named other possible causes. One headline never decides a call by itself.
- When this can mislead
- Rate cuts can coincide with recession fear, so lower rates are not automatically Rise expected.; IWM sector weights and index reconstitutions can dominate a macro headline.; Small-cap earnings are heterogeneous; a broad label can hide strong and weak industries.; Options expiry, passive flows, and short covering can move IWM without new fundamentals.
Saved headline-move memory
- Stocks split as rate pressure hurts breadth while mega-cap platforms hold up28 Aug 2026, 09:56 SGT1h · not checked yet4h · not checked yet20h · not checked yet
- Wall Street ends lower after Warsh reaffirms inflation fight28 Aug 2026, 18:14 SGT1h · not checked yet4h · not checked yet20h · not checked yet
- Inflation focus raises the chance of tighter policy at the next Fed meeting29 Aug 2026, 21:59 SGT1h · not checked yet4h · not checked yet20h · not checked yet
- Warsh raises stakes for the Fed's next meeting29 Aug 2026, 21:59 SGT1h · not checked yet4h · not checked yet20h · not checked yet
- Oil prices rise and stocks fall after US hits Iranian sites in the Strait of Hormuz31 Aug 2026, 14:32 SGT1h · not checked yet4h · not checked yet20h · not checked yet
- Global bond rout deepens as oil prices jump; wheat prices reach their highest since early 202301 Sept 2026, 14:46 SGT1h · not checked yet4h · not checked yet20h · not checked yet
Clue, not proof: timing is a clue, never proof. A price move after a headline does not prove the headline caused it. OTR uses a pattern only after it repeats and still holds up against the wider market.