GRAPH · SOXX

iShares Semiconductor ETF: predictions, prices and linked headlines

This page keeps every iShares Semiconductor ETF prediction and source-timed headline together. The Founder result remains separate from later price evidence.

Line = price · P = prediction published · number = headline published.

← See all investments

investments: 1
Predictions: 1
Linked headlines: 4
Timed events: 5

6 September 2026 graph update: 0 new story markers and 0 prediction points were added for this edition. The preserved history below keeps its original dates.

How OTR judges a headline

OTR asks what the event may do to this investment—not whether the words sound happy or scary. May help, may hurt, mixed or unclear is shown beside each linked headline. Later prices test the idea; timing alone never proves cause.

WHAT HAPPENED NEXT

What happened after saved stories about iShares Semiconductor ETF

4 saved story matches

8 of 12 possible later-price checks are available.

67 out of 100 ready for comparison

This measures how many required prices were saved. It does not measure prediction skill.

Rose in 67% of its 3 complete twenty-hour checks

This only describes the past. It does not predict the next move.

Showing all 4 saved events. Open each row for the actual price times, source and earlier comparisons.

Saved story

Published

After 1 hour

After 4 hours

After 20 hours

Earlier comparisons and evidence

The US administration was reported to be considering higher chip tariffs.

2026-09-02 23:38:00 Singapore time

-0.15%

-0.24%

Not measured

1 earlier completed comparisons · open prices and evidence

Fewer than three earlier complete 20-hour checks are available, so no repeated move is claimed.

Nvidia forecasts roughly 70% sales growth next fiscal year · 2026-08-27T04:24:22.095+08:00 · Rose (1.00%)

After the story	Starting price and saved time	Later price and saved time	Time accuracy	Price source
1 hour	502.1600036621094 2026-09-02T15:40:00.000Z	501.4200134277344 2026-09-02T16:40:00.000Z	First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each check	Price source
4 hours	502.1600036621094 2026-09-02T15:40:00.000Z	500.9599914550781 2026-09-02T19:40:00.000Z	First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each check	Price source
20 hours	Not recorded Time not recorded	Not recorded Time not recorded	Not available in the saved evidence	Price source not recorded

Open the story evidence

Claim: This saved story was linked to iShares Semiconductor ETF.

Supporting reports

The US administration was reported to be considering higher chip tariffs.

What argues against it

This shows what happened after the story. It does not prove the story caused the move.
One constituent's results cannot stand in for the complete ETF.
Regulatory scope must be mapped product by product and company by company.
The sources do not identify a causal SOXX return for the cited headlines.

Where the reports came from: Not recorded
Languages: Not recorded
How recent: 2026-09-02T23:38:00+08:00
Similar earlier cases: 1 similar earlier case

How sure is OTR?
Insufficient evidenceNo confidence number is shown because source quality, independent reports, freshness, opposing evidence, earlier comparisons, time accuracy are not fully measured.

The six measured checks are multiplied together. This evidence score is not the chance a prediction will be right.

Source quality: Not fully measured.
Independent reports: Not fully measured.
Freshness: Not fully measured.
Opposing evidence: Not fully measured.
Earlier comparisons: Not fully measured.
Time accuracy: Not fully measured.

Where this appears

Markets and charts

iPronics raised €107 million in a round involving Nvidia and Criteria.

2026-09-02 23:29:00 Singapore time

-0.12%

-0.19%

-0.87%

1 earlier completed comparisons · open prices and evidence

Fewer than three earlier complete 20-hour checks are available, so no repeated move is claimed.

Nvidia forecasts roughly 70% sales growth next fiscal year · 2026-08-27T04:24:22.095+08:00 · Rose (1.00%)

After the story	Starting price and saved time	Later price and saved time	Time accuracy	Price source
1 hour	502.1499938964844 2026-09-02T15:30:00.000Z	501.5400085449219 2026-09-02T16:30:00.000Z	First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each check	Price source
4 hours	502.1499938964844 2026-09-02T15:30:00.000Z	501.19000244140625 2026-09-02T19:30:00.000Z	First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each check	Price source
20 hours	502.1499938964844 2026-09-02T15:30:00.000Z	497.7667 2026-09-03T11:30:00.000Z	First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each check	Price source

Open the story evidence

Claim: This saved story was linked to iShares Semiconductor ETF.

Supporting reports

iPronics raised €107 million in a round involving Nvidia and Criteria.

What argues against it

This shows what happened after the story. It does not prove the story caused the move.
One constituent's results cannot stand in for the complete ETF.
Regulatory scope must be mapped product by product and company by company.
The sources do not identify a causal SOXX return for the cited headlines.

Where the reports came from: Not recorded
Languages: Not recorded
How recent: 2026-09-02T23:29:00+08:00
Similar earlier cases: 1 similar earlier case

The six measured checks are multiplied together. This evidence score is not the chance a prediction will be right.

Source quality: Not fully measured.
Independent reports: Not fully measured.
Freshness: Not fully measured.
Opposing evidence: Not fully measured.
Earlier comparisons: Not fully measured.
Time accuracy: Not fully measured.

Where this appears

Markets and charts

IonQ, NVIDIA and qBraid reported lower error in a quantum-simulation demonstration.

2026-09-02 07:33:17 Singapore time

Not measured

+0.32%

1 earlier completed comparisons · open prices and evidence

Fewer than three earlier complete 20-hour checks are available, so no repeated move is claimed.

Nvidia forecasts roughly 70% sales growth next fiscal year · 2026-08-27T04:24:22.095+08:00 · Rose (1.00%)

After the story	Starting price and saved time	Later price and saved time	Time accuracy	Price source
1 hour	Not recorded Time not recorded	Not recorded Time not recorded	Not available in the saved evidence	Price source not recorded
4 hours	Not recorded Time not recorded	Not recorded Time not recorded	Not available in the saved evidence	Price source not recorded
20 hours	499.7 2026-09-01T23:35:00.000Z	501.2900085449219 2026-09-02T19:35:00.000Z	First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each check	Price source

Open the story evidence

Claim: This saved story was linked to iShares Semiconductor ETF.

Supporting reports

IonQ, NVIDIA and qBraid reported lower error in a quantum-simulation demonstration.

What argues against it

This shows what happened after the story. It does not prove the story caused the move.
One constituent's results cannot stand in for the complete ETF.
Regulatory scope must be mapped product by product and company by company.
The sources do not identify a causal SOXX return for the cited headlines.

Where the reports came from: Not recorded
Languages: Not recorded
How recent: 2026-09-02T07:33:17+08:00
Similar earlier cases: 1 similar earlier case

The six measured checks are multiplied together. This evidence score is not the chance a prediction will be right.

Source quality: Not fully measured.
Independent reports: Not fully measured.
Freshness: Not fully measured.
Opposing evidence: Not fully measured.
Earlier comparisons: Not fully measured.
Time accuracy: Not fully measured.

Where this appears

Markets and charts

Nvidia forecasts roughly 70% sales growth next fiscal year

2026-08-27 04:24:22.095 Singapore time

+1.47%

Not measured

+1.00%

0 earlier completed comparisons · open prices and evidence

Fewer than three earlier complete 20-hour checks are available, so no repeated move is claimed.

No earlier completed comparison is attached.

After the story	Starting price and saved time	Later price and saved time	Time accuracy	Price source
1 hour	516.23 2026-08-26T20:25:00.000Z	523.8 2026-08-26T21:25:00.000Z	First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each check	Price source
4 hours	Not recorded Time not recorded	Not recorded Time not recorded	Not available in the saved evidence	Price source not recorded
20 hours	516.23 2026-08-26T20:25:00.000Z	521.4000244140625 2026-08-27T16:25:00.000Z	First eligible five-minute bar opening price at or after each check	Price source

Open the story evidence

Claim: This saved story was linked to iShares Semiconductor ETF.

Supporting reports

Nvidia forecasts roughly 70% sales growth next fiscal year

What argues against it

This shows what happened after the story. It does not prove the story caused the move.
One constituent's results cannot stand in for the complete ETF.
Regulatory scope must be mapped product by product and company by company.
The sources do not identify a causal SOXX return for the cited headlines.

Where the reports came from: Not recorded
Languages: Not recorded
How recent: 2026-08-27T04:24:22.095+08:00
Similar earlier cases: Not measured

The six measured checks are multiplied together. This evidence score is not the chance a prediction will be right.

Source quality: Not fully measured.
Independent reports: Not fully measured.
Freshness: Not fully measured.
Opposing evidence: Not fully measured.
Earlier comparisons: Not fully measured.
Time accuracy: Not fully measured.

Where this appears

Markets and charts

How to read this: a later price shows what followed, not what caused the move. Comparisons use the same market and kind of news, with results already available before this story appeared.

01
iShares Semiconductor ETF
SOXX · etf · 1 prediction record
Evidence
Publication markers · exact horizontal time

Loading public price line and publication markers…

Prediction 1 Prediction published1 Headline publishedPrediction 1 entry priceGraph badges open evidence. Timeline items jump to matching cards.

Chart readoutPrediction 1 is Rise expected ↑. Visible result record: No result recorded. 5 of 5 timed publication events are placed from left to right.
Latest public price · never a ledger grade

Last public price
Loading public price data…
From Prediction 1 entry
Entry 529.39 USD
Latest call
Rise expected ↑
Publication markers
5 of 5 timed
Publication timelineOldest → newest
Left to right matches the graph. Select an event to jump to its full card.

Prediction 1Prediction Prediction 1 · 11 Aug 2026, 10:17 SGTRise expected prediction529.39 USD · No result recorded
1Headline 1 · 27 Aug 2026, 04:24 SGTNvidia forecasts roughly 70% sales growth next fiscal yearCompany Or Asset
2Headline 2 · 02 Sept 2026, 07:33 SGTIonQ, NVIDIA and qBraid reported lower error in a quantum-simulation demonstration.Company Or Asset
3Headline 3 · 02 Sept 2026, 23:29 SGTiPronics raised €107 million in a round involving Nvidia and Criteria.Company Or Asset
4Headline 4 · 02 Sept 2026, 23:38 SGTThe US administration was reported to be considering higher chip tariffs.Company Or Asset
Latest prediction · Prediction 1
Prediction 1

Rise expected · 529.39 USDNo result recorded

Published
11 Aug 2026, 10:17 SGT
Deadline
12 Aug 2026, 06:17 SGT

System analysis · What the saved history shows
What the saved history shows: no locked row verdict was available as of 2026-09-06T01:40:00.000+08:00. This saved archive call is not relabelled as pending, and no Right or Wrong is inferred.

A latest-public-price comparison appears when tape is available; it cannot grade or alter the Founder result.

Prediction 1 plotted at publication timeOpen Receipt
Headlines · 4 · oldest first
1

Nvidia forecasts roughly 70% sales growth next fiscal yearPublished · 27 Aug 2026, 04:24 SGT · Company Or AssetOpens in a new tab.

System analysis · What the saved history shows
What the saved history shows: linked to iShares Semiconductor ETF by an explicit saved source mapping. Saved importance: High importance 79/100.

A public-price comparison appears when tape is available; temporal association only, and this does not establish causation.

Semiconductors & HardwareHigh · 79/100Source time verified

Story noteUnclear SOXX
No direction

Why: No verified asset-specific event-to-exposure rule matched, so OTR abstains instead of using generic wording.

Confidence
Low
Strength
Unclear
Headline mood
Positive

What happened later20h · Not suitable for a direction check · 0.00%Association only. This does not prove the headline caused the move.

Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.

How OTR scored this
Event
No Asset Specific Rule
Link to asset
Unmapped
Uncertainty
No Asset Specific Rule
Sample
Independent event
Rule
Abstain

Original source ↗

2

IonQ, NVIDIA and qBraid reported lower error in a quantum-simulation demonstration.Published · 02 Sept 2026, 07:33 SGT · Company Or AssetOpens in a new tab.

System analysis · What the saved history shows
What the saved history shows: linked to iShares Semiconductor ETF by an explicit saved source mapping. Saved importance: High importance 82/100.

A public-price comparison appears when tape is available; temporal association only, and this does not establish causation.

earlier rule Source-timed Current EventsHigh · 82/100Source time verified

Story noteUnclear SOXX
No direction

Why: No verified asset-specific event-to-exposure rule matched, so OTR abstains instead of using generic wording.

Confidence
Low
Strength
Unclear
Headline mood
Neutral

What happened later20h · Not suitable for a direction check · -0.04%Association only. This does not prove the headline caused the move.

Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.

How OTR scored this
Event
No Asset Specific Rule
Link to asset
Unmapped
Uncertainty
No Asset Specific Rule
Sample
Independent event
Rule
Abstain

Original source ↗

3

iPronics raised €107 million in a round involving Nvidia and Criteria.Published · 02 Sept 2026, 23:29 SGT · Company Or AssetOpens in a new tab.

System analysis · What the saved history shows
What the saved history shows: linked to iShares Semiconductor ETF by an explicit saved source mapping. Saved importance: High importance 86/100.

A public-price comparison appears when tape is available; temporal association only, and this does not establish causation.

earlier rule Source-timed Current EventsHigh · 86/100Source time verified

Story noteUnclear SOXX
No direction

Why: No verified asset-specific event-to-exposure rule matched, so OTR abstains instead of using generic wording.

Confidence
Low
Strength
Unclear
Headline mood
Neutral

What happened later20h · Not suitable for a direction check · -0.91%Association only. This does not prove the headline caused the move.

Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.

How OTR scored this
Event
No Asset Specific Rule
Link to asset
Unmapped
Uncertainty
No Asset Specific Rule
Sample
Independent event
Rule
Abstain

Original source ↗

4

The US administration was reported to be considering higher chip tariffs.Published · 02 Sept 2026, 23:38 SGT · Company Or AssetOpens in a new tab.

System analysis · What the saved history shows
What the saved history shows: linked to iShares Semiconductor ETF by an explicit saved source mapping. Saved importance: High importance 86/100.

A public-price comparison appears when tape is available; temporal association only, and this does not establish causation.

earlier rule Source-timed Current EventsHigh · 86/100Source time verified

Story noteUnclear SOXX
No direction

Why: No verified asset-specific event-to-exposure rule matched, so OTR abstains instead of using generic wording.

Confidence
Low
Strength
Unclear
Headline mood
Negative

What happened later20h · Not suitable for a direction check · -0.91%Association only. This does not prove the headline caused the move.

Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.

How OTR scored this
Event
No Asset Specific Rule
Link to asset
Unmapped
Uncertainty
No Asset Specific Rule; Modal Language
Sample
Independent event
Rule
Abstain

Original source ↗
Graph LearningHow news has moved iShares Semiconductor ETF beforeOpen the complete asset-specific memory
OTR GRAPH LEARNING
What OTR sees for iShares Semiconductor ETF
An extra check. It does not replace the other evidence.

What this is: A fund of U.S.-listed semiconductor companies across chip design, manufacturing and equipment. It is a company basket, so chip demand, inventory, fabrication spending and export rules affect holdings differently.
Headlines that may cause the price of this investment to go up
AI, data-centre, auto or industrial chip orders rise across several companies
Chip inventories normalise and utilisation improves
New fabrication capacity receives funding and reaches production milestones
Headlines that may cause the price of this investment to go down
BIS tightens export controls or licence conditions for advanced chips/equipment
Customers cut capex or digest excess chips
A fab or product ramp has low yield, delay or cost overrun
What OTR checks
SOXX holdings by chip-chain role
company revenue guidance and inventories
fab utilisation and equipment orders
AI and cloud capex
12 saved news time checks7 completed1 rose6 fell0 roughly flat

ASSET-SPECIFIC NEWS MEMORYWhat the news may mean here
0 supportive, 0 pressuring and 4 mixed or unclear asset-specific news signals.
4 linked headlines classified for this investment; 4 independent event samples. There is not yet a clear checked move suitable for a match test.
Can OTR use this for a prediction yet?Not for extra weight yet. The label must be frozen before the outcome and repeat in forward checks first.
Open the full Graph Learning analysis
Past
OTR has 12 saved headline-response checks for this investment: 7 completed, including 1 rises, 6 falls and 0 roughly flat moves. Each row keeps the original source and its news time when that time is verifiable; unresolved times stay explicit and add no weight.
Now
News that may help includes AI, data-centre, auto or industrial chip orders rise across several companies; Chip inventories normalise and utilisation improves. News that may hurt includes BIS tightens export controls or licence conditions for advanced chips/equipment; Customers cut capex or digest excess chips. OTR also watches SOXX holdings by chip-chain role, company revenue guidance and inventories, fab utilisation and equipment orders.
Next prediction
For a future prediction, OTR compares the new event with this investment's own saved reactions, then checks the wider market and named other possible causes. One headline never decides a call by itself.
When this can mislead
A rule can hurt one holding and help a domestic substitute.; AI chips can boom while memory, auto or industrial chips remain weak.; Customer capex announcements do not guarantee orders for every supplier.; Inventory data are reported with a lag.
Saved headline-move memory
Nvidia forecasts roughly 70% sales growth next fiscal year27 Aug 2026, 04:24 SGT
1h · not checked yet4h · not checked yet20h · not checked yet
IonQ, NVIDIA and qBraid reported lower error in a quantum-simulation demonstration.02 Sept 2026, 07:33 SGT
1h · not checked yet4h · not checked yet20h · rose 0.41%
iPronics raised €107 million in a round involving Nvidia and Criteria.02 Sept 2026, 23:29 SGT
1h · fell 0.10%4h · fell 0.19%20h · fell 0.99%
The US administration was reported to be considering higher chip tariffs.02 Sept 2026, 23:38 SGT
1h · fell 0.10%4h · fell 0.19%20h · fell 0.97%
Clue, not proof: timing is a clue, never proof. A price move after a headline does not prove the headline caused it. OTR uses a pattern only after it repeats and still holds up against the wider market.

One timeline of saved evidence

Stories, original predictions, review deadlines, checked thesis changes and earlier comparisons share the dates shown below. A review deadline is not the date an outcome was recorded. Only saved moments appear.

Open all 6 dated moments

Singapore time	Moment	Saved evidence
11 Aug 2026, 10:17	Prediction	Original rise prediction
12 Aug 2026, 06:17	Review deadline	Open the original review terms
27 Aug 2026, 04:24	Story	Nvidia forecasts roughly 70% sales growth next fiscal year
2 Sept 2026, 07:33	Story	IonQ, NVIDIA and qBraid reported lower error in a quantum-simulation demonstration.
2 Sept 2026, 23:29	Story	iPronics raised €107 million in a round involving Nvidia and Criteria.
2 Sept 2026, 23:38	Story	The US administration was reported to be considering higher chip tariffs.

iShares Semiconductor ETF: predictions, prices and linked headlines

What happened after saved stories about iShares Semiconductor ETF

4 saved story matches

67 out of 100 ready for comparison

Rose in 67% of its 3 complete twenty-hour checks

Supporting reports

What argues against it

Where this appears

Supporting reports

What argues against it

Where this appears

Supporting reports

What argues against it

Where this appears

Supporting reports

What argues against it

Where this appears

Latest prediction · Prediction 1

Headlines · 4 · oldest first

Headlines that may cause the price of this investment to go up

Headlines that may cause the price of this investment to go down

What OTR checks

Saved headline-move memory

One timeline of saved evidence