Publication markers · exact horizontal time
P1 Prediction published1 Headline publishedP1 entry priceGraph badges open evidence. Timeline items jump to matching cards.
Chart readoutP1 is BULLISH ↑. Visible result record: PENDING AT GRAPH SNAPSHOT. 13 of 13 timed publication events are placed from left to right.
Latest public price · never a ledger grade- Last public price
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- From P1 entry
- Entry 79838.845 USD
- Latest call
- BULLISH ↑
- Publication markers
- 13 of 13 timed
Publication timelineOldest → newest
Left to right matches the graph. Select an event to jump to its full card.
- P8Prediction P8 · 11 Aug 2026, 10:17 SGTBULLISH prediction63993.49 USD · NO IMMUTABLE ROW VERDICT · GRAPH SNAPSHOT
- P7Prediction P7 · 12 Aug 2026, 20:15 SGTBEARISH prediction64235.81 USD · PROOF RECEIPT · HIT (NOT FOUNDER-STAMPED)
- P6Prediction P6 · 15 Aug 2026, 12:19 SGTBULLISH prediction63040.95 USD · PROOF RECEIPT · MISS (NOT FOUNDER-STAMPED)
- P5Prediction P5 · 17 Aug 2026, 03:17 SGTBULLISH prediction63113.75 USD · PROOF RECEIPT · HIT (NOT FOUNDER-STAMPED)
- 1Headline 1 · 28 Aug 2026, 02:49 SGTBitcoin is having a great month - but Solana is doing even better as coin soars above $100Company Or Asset
- P4Prediction P4 · 28 Aug 2026, 11:34 SGTBULLISH prediction79937.63 USD · MISS
- 2Headline 2 · 28 Aug 2026, 23:47 SGTEquities rise with 2-year yields, dollar as rate hike bets rise following Warsh speechCompany Or Asset
- P3Prediction P3 · 30 Aug 2026, 16:01 SGTBEARISH prediction78106.68 USD · NO IMMUTABLE ROW VERDICT · GRAPH SNAPSHOT
- P2Prediction P2 · 31 Aug 2026, 08:36 SGTBEARISH prediction78090.64 USD · MISS
- 3Headline 3 · 02 Sept 2026, 07:30 SGTTwenty-one banks were reported to be establishing a stablecoin company.Digital Asset Or Financial Infrastructure
- 4Headline 4 · 02 Sept 2026, 20:47 SGTThe dollar reached a two-week high while markets awaited rate paths.Digital Asset Or Financial Infrastructure
- 5Headline 5 · 02 Sept 2026, 21:03 SGTA tokenised-asset lending vault launched with a stated variable yield target.Digital Asset Or Financial Infrastructure
- P1Prediction P1 · 07 Sept 2026, 03:29 SGTBULLISH prediction79838.845 USD · PENDING AT GRAPH SNAPSHOT
Latest prediction · P1
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P1
BULLISH · 79838.845 USDPENDING AT GRAPH SNAPSHOT - Published
- Deadline
Headlines · 5 · oldest first
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1
Bitcoin is having a great month - but Solana is doing even better as coin soars above $100Published · 28 Aug 2026, 02:49 SGT · Company Or AssetOpens in a new tab. NEWS SIGNALPushes both ways BTCMixedWhy: Broad crypto strength can help Bitcoin, while Solana outperformance can also signal relative rotation away from it.
- Confidence
- Medium
- Strength
- Light
- Headline mood
- Positive
Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.
How OTR scored this
- Event
- Digital Asset Momentum
- Link to asset
- Crypto Risk Appetite Versus Relative Rotation
- Uncertainty
- Mixed Clause
- Sample
- Independent event
- Rule
- CRYPTO_RELATIVE_RALLY
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2
Equities rise with 2-year yields, dollar as rate hike bets rise following Warsh speechPublished · 28 Aug 2026, 23:47 SGT · Company Or AssetOpens in a new tab. NEWS SIGNALMay hurt BTCDownWhy: Higher rate expectations can reduce demand for non-yielding risk assets such as Bitcoin.
- Confidence
- High
- Strength
- Moderate
- Headline mood
- Positive
Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.
How OTR scored this
- Event
- Rates Repricing
- Link to asset
- Liquidity And Discount Rate
- Uncertainty
- None Identified From Headline
- Sample
- Independent event
- Rule
- RATE_YIELDS_DOLLAR
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3
Twenty-one banks were reported to be establishing a stablecoin company.Published · 02 Sept 2026, 07:30 SGT · Digital Asset Or Financial InfrastructureOpens in a new tab. NEWS SIGNALUnclear BTCNo directionWhy: No verified asset-specific event-to-exposure rule matched, so OTR abstains instead of using generic wording.
- Confidence
- Low
- Strength
- Unclear
- Headline mood
- Neutral
Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.
How OTR scored this
- Event
- No Asset Specific Rule
- Link to asset
- Unmapped
- Uncertainty
- No Asset Specific Rule
- Sample
- Independent event
- Rule
- Abstain
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4
The dollar reached a two-week high while markets awaited rate paths.Published · 02 Sept 2026, 20:47 SGT · Digital Asset Or Financial InfrastructureOpens in a new tab. NEWS SIGNALUnclear BTCNo directionWhy: No verified asset-specific event-to-exposure rule matched, so OTR abstains instead of using generic wording.
- Confidence
- Low
- Strength
- Unclear
- Headline mood
- Positive
Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.
How OTR scored this
- Event
- No Asset Specific Rule
- Link to asset
- Unmapped
- Uncertainty
- No Asset Specific Rule
- Sample
- Independent event
- Rule
- Abstain
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5
A tokenised-asset lending vault launched with a stated variable yield target.Published · 02 Sept 2026, 21:03 SGT · Digital Asset Or Financial InfrastructureOpens in a new tab. NEWS SIGNALUnclear BTCNo directionWhy: No verified asset-specific event-to-exposure rule matched, so OTR abstains instead of using generic wording.
- Confidence
- Low
- Strength
- Unclear
- Headline mood
- Neutral
Research label · not a live prediction. Current weight: 0.
How OTR scored this
- Event
- No Asset Specific Rule
- Link to asset
- Unmapped
- Uncertainty
- No Asset Specific Rule
- Sample
- Independent event
- Rule
- Abstain
Prediction history · 7 earlier · newest first
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P2
BEARISH · 78090.64 USDMISS - Published
- Deadline
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P3
BEARISH · 78106.68 USDNO IMMUTABLE ROW VERDICT · GRAPH SNAPSHOT - Published
- Deadline
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P4
BULLISH · 79937.63 USDMISS - Published
- Deadline
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P5
BULLISH · 63113.75 USDPROOF RECEIPT · HIT (NOT FOUNDER-STAMPED) - Published
- Deadline
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P6
BULLISH · 63040.95 USDPROOF RECEIPT · MISS (NOT FOUNDER-STAMPED) - Published
- Deadline
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P7
BEARISH · 64235.81 USDPROOF RECEIPT · HIT (NOT FOUNDER-STAMPED) - Published
- Deadline
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P8
BULLISH · 63993.49 USDNO IMMUTABLE ROW VERDICT · GRAPH SNAPSHOT - Published
- Deadline
Graph LearningHow news has moved Bitcoin beforeOpen the complete asset-specific memory
OTR GRAPH LEARNING
An extra check. It does not replace the other evidence.What OTR sees for Bitcoin
What this is: The native asset of the Bitcoin network, traded globally around the clock and held directly or through regulated exchange-traded products in some markets.
Headlines that may cause the price of this investible to go up
- Regulated access expands and verified spot-Bitcoin ETP flows are positive
- Global liquidity improves or expected real rates fall
- Regulators provide clearer, usable custody or market rules
Headlines that may cause the price of this investible to go down
- Major exchange, custodian, or stablecoin failure creates losses or frozen withdrawals
- Unexpected monetary tightening or a sharp risk-off move
- Binding rules restrict trading, custody, banking access, or mining
What OTR checks
- Spot ETP net flows and assets
- Spot volume and market depth
- Funding rates, open interest, and liquidations
- Stablecoin supply and redemption stress
15 saved news time checks14 completed7 rose6 fell1 roughly flat
0 supportive, 1 pressuring and 4 mixed or unclear asset-specific news signals.
5 linked headlines classified for this investible; 5 independent event samples. 3 of 3 clear checked moves matched the research direction.
Open the full Graph Learning analysis
- Past
- 5 saved story relationships, 14 eligible measured windows. New story bindings add no measured outcome.
- Now
- News that may help includes Regulated access expands and verified spot-Bitcoin ETP flows are positive; Global liquidity improves or expected real rates fall. News that may hurt includes Major exchange, custodian, or stablecoin failure creates losses or frozen withdrawals; Unexpected monetary tightening or a sharp risk-off move. OTR also watches Spot ETP net flows and assets, Spot volume and market depth, Funding rates, open interest, and liquidations.
- Next prediction
- Future calls require their own fresh entry and frozen rules. Historical context never substitutes for missing outcome evidence.
- When this can mislead
- BTC trades continuously across fragmented venues, so timestamp alignment is difficult.; Leverage and liquidations can amplify or reverse a fundamentally sensible headline response.; ETP approval is not the same as positive flows.; Crypto correlations with risk assets change across regimes.
Saved headline-move memory
- A tokenised-asset lending vault launched with a stated variable yield target.02 Sept 2026, 21:03 SGT1h · rose 0.38%4h · rose 0.52%20h · not checked yet
- The dollar reached a two-week high while markets awaited rate paths.02 Sept 2026, 20:47 SGT1h · rose 0.45%4h · rose 0.70%20h · rose 1.37%
- Twenty-one banks were reported to be establishing a stablecoin company.02 Sept 2026, 07:30 SGT1h · fell 0.17%4h · rose 0.32%20h · fell 0.31%
- Equities rise with 2-year yields, dollar as rate hike bets rise following Warsh speech28 Aug 2026, 23:47 SGT1h · fell 0.92%4h · fell 1.63%20h · fell 1.32%
- Bitcoin is having a great month - but Solana is doing even better as coin soars above $10028 Aug 2026, 02:49 SGT1h · was roughly flat 0.01%4h · rose 0.34%20h · fell 1.00%
Clue, not proof: timing is a clue, never proof. A price move after a headline does not prove the headline caused it. OTR uses a pattern only after it repeats and still holds up against the wider market.