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PUBLIC PREDICTION RECEIPT

OTR predicted Bitcoin would fall

05ab37dc690fc4c61b9ef46e26f574fa2f5a0140980b3f16c5c5fc9426e70b8d

Asset
Bitcoin · BTC
Direction
DOWN
Created
Deadline
Entry
64235.81 USD
Deadline price
Checking…
Raw return
Checking…
Relevant market return
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Market-adjusted result
Checking…
Original recorded result
Not yet graded —
Scientific event verdict
Inconclusive until all required evidence passes
Record status
Original prediction cannot be secretly changed

Original frozen reason

Current entity-specific headline evidence is negative (-38.1). Pavuron preserves that contradiction and marks the instrument BEARISH.

Invalidation condition

A later evidence reversal may change the next edition, but it cannot rewrite this score. Future listed-market scores use the versioned post-close checkpoint; an eligible flat or opposite move settles this edition MISS.

Calculating synchronized evidence without changing the Original recorded result.

Sources, hashes and audit history
Prediction row hash
2fee62b7772c6638de7646eea8b89eb0dac42b2a239b0fad8611a996b2173dc1
Prediction receipt hash
05ab37dc690fc4c61b9ef46e26f574fa2f5a0140980b3f16c5c5fc9426e70b8d
Outcome append hash
Pending or unavailable
Model / method
OTR-PAVURON-INVESTMENT-SCORE-V3 · OTR-EVENT-STUDY-FAIL-CLOSED-C49-V1
Entry source
https://api.exchange.coinbase.com/products/BTC-USD/candles?start=2026-08-12T11%3A15%3A00.000Z&end=2026-08-12T12%3A15%3A00.000Z&granularity=300

Each original result retains its original rules and cohort. Market-adjusted measurements do not regrade it. A saved imported row does not by itself establish membership in the separate historical founder score.