PUBLIC PREDICTION RECEIPT
OTR predicted Bitcoin would fall
30b45a04213e4908c69ee56a17affc07238d1c1739ff252a33d6f69be5750823
- Asset
- Bitcoin · BTC
- Direction
- DOWN
- Created
- Deadline
- Entry
- 78106.68 USD
- Deadline price
- Checking…
- Raw return
- Checking…
- Relevant market return
- Checking…
- Market-adjusted result
- Checking…
- Original recorded result
- Not yet graded —
- Scientific event verdict
- Inconclusive until all required evidence passes
- Record status
- Original prediction cannot be secretly changed
Original frozen reason
BEARISH, LOW EVIDENCE: Bitcoin's positive 24-hour pulse conflicts with a negative 72-hour move and the edition's tighter-rate headwind. The preserved 4/3/2/1 weights leave a small negative net. OTR historical data, OTR learning data, OTR Graph Learning data, OTR market-theme pattern data and internet market-theme data were checked, but unverified evidence receives no invented weight.
Invalidation condition
Invalidate if Bitcoin holds above its saved entry while the 72-hour move turns positive and the rate or dollar pressure eases; this is the most conflicted of the three calls.
Calculating synchronized evidence without changing the Original recorded result.
Sources, hashes and audit history
- Prediction row hash
- cb2625d8572d217a5ea33cfc2dd7177165d8e69956afdae8523b925fc695da2e
- Prediction receipt hash
- 30b45a04213e4908c69ee56a17affc07238d1c1739ff252a33d6f69be5750823
- Outcome append hash
- Pending or unavailable
- Model / method
- OTR-PREDICTION-EXACTLY-THREE-ALWAYS-20H-C68-V1 · OTR-EVENT-STUDY-FAIL-CLOSED-C49-V1
Each original result retains its original rules and cohort. Market-adjusted measurements do not regrade it. A saved imported row does not by itself establish membership in the separate historical founder score.