PUBLIC PREDICTION RECEIPT
OTR predicted iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF would rise
f5d701755097f40d973f974659dce09ffa501b02541bc9872cf264b99a172a4a
- Asset
- iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF · ITA
- Direction
- UP
- Created
- Deadline
- Entry
- 249.69 USD
- Deadline price
- Checking…
- Raw return
- Checking…
- Relevant market return
- Checking…
- Market-adjusted result
- Checking…
- Founder result
- Not yet graded —
- Scientific event verdict
- Inconclusive until all required evidence passes
- Record status
- Original prediction cannot be secretly changed
Original frozen reason
Current entity-specific headlines are directionally neutral under the disclosed lexicon. Pavuron keeps the locked research disposition Rise expected without claiming that headlines prove a rise.
Invalidation condition
A later evidence reversal may change the next edition, but it cannot rewrite this score. The source-timed +20-hour check remains the only outcome authority.
Calculating synchronized evidence without changing the Founder result.
Sources, file checks and audit history
- Prediction row file check
- d3997a7cfdf9969595ea615a17d175078630978d8e5dc8b8104e0e3510eff082
- Prediction receipt file check
- f5d701755097f40d973f974659dce09ffa501b02541bc9872cf264b99a172a4a
- Outcome append file check
- Pending or unavailable
- Model / method
- saved record · saved record
Founder Right/Wrong is authoritative and can only be changed by the Founder. Market-adjusted measurements are read-only observations and never mutate that ledger.