PUBLIC PREDICTION RECEIPT
OTR predicted U.S. Dollar Index would fall
d4917309d399e61ae9eef4667514f0d4f742ee9bc223b4e7d6b2423cbdfca463
- Asset
- U.S. Dollar Index · USD
- Direction
- DOWN
- Created
- Deadline
- Entry
- 99.148 USD
- Deadline price
- Checking…
- Raw return
- Checking…
- Relevant market return
- Checking…
- Market-adjusted result
- Checking…
- Founder result
- Not yet graded —
- Scientific event verdict
- Inconclusive until all required evidence passes
- Record status
- Original prediction cannot be secretly changed
Original frozen reason
U.S. DOLLAR INDEX FUTURES were marginally below the prior close as risk assets and cryptocurrencies strengthened ahead of the Fed speech. A hawkish policy surprise or recovery above the saved prior close invalidates the call.
Invalidation condition
A hawkish policy surprise or recovery above the saved prior close invalidates the call.
Calculating synchronized evidence without changing the Founder result.
Sources, file checks and audit history
- Prediction row file check
- b2c6c7e539297119019d2cfc5ffb85e631dc71ca6f824bf9c9d085c6ad9a88e4
- Prediction receipt file check
- d4917309d399e61ae9eef4667514f0d4f742ee9bc223b4e7d6b2423cbdfca463
- Outcome append file check
- 865856592f219616deff033eb9f1791a68d5f9d9b22b0986228577b061803a83
- Model / method
- saved record · saved record
Founder Right/Wrong is authoritative and can only be changed by the Founder. Market-adjusted measurements are read-only observations and never mutate that ledger.