PUBLIC PREDICTION RECEIPT
OTR predicted iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF would fall
cb66dbb33e33639b5fc76e3546de4561b06a5f575224a4af1a2d694f3a2584c7
- Asset
- iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF · ITA
- Direction
- DOWN
- Created
- Deadline
- Entry
- 253.215 USD
- Deadline price
- Checking…
- Raw return
- Checking…
- Relevant market return
- Checking…
- Market-adjusted result
- Checking…
- Founder result
- Not yet graded —
- Scientific event verdict
- Inconclusive until all required evidence passes
- Record status
- Original prediction cannot be secretly changed
Original frozen reason
Current asset- or exposure-aligned headline evidence is negative (-50.0). Pavuron preserves that contradiction and marks the instrument Fall expected.
Invalidation condition
A later evidence reversal may change the next edition, but it cannot rewrite this score. The source-timed +20-hour check remains the only outcome authority.
Calculating synchronized evidence without changing the Founder result.
Sources, file checks and audit history
- Prediction row file check
- 4c08c720637e69307be4370f4415952279f01e5ef08def818fc3d52738ea2cf0
- Prediction receipt file check
- cb66dbb33e33639b5fc76e3546de4561b06a5f575224a4af1a2d694f3a2584c7
- Outcome append file check
- Pending or unavailable
- Model / method
- saved record · saved record
Founder Right/Wrong is authoritative and can only be changed by the Founder. Market-adjusted measurements are read-only observations and never mutate that ledger.