PUBLIC PREDICTION RECEIPT
OTR predicted Microsoft would fall
cae77ada35a7db3b4280771cef85b8adb631dd6d80d0318df527e7a75c2766cf
- Asset
- Microsoft · MSFT
- Direction
- DOWN
- Created
- Deadline
- Entry
- 484.309997559 USD
- Deadline price
- Checking…
- Raw return
- Checking…
- Relevant market return
- Checking…
- Market-adjusted result
- Checking…
- Founder result
- Not yet graded —
- Scientific event verdict
- Inconclusive until all required evidence passes
- Record status
- Original prediction cannot be secretly changed
Original frozen reason
Fall expected: Weighted four input net sign under saved record; weighted four-input total -4; confidence Low relaxed; deciding input All four inputs weighted net.
Invalidation condition
Unavailable in imported record
Calculating synchronized evidence without changing the Founder result.
Sources, file checks and audit history
- Prediction row file check
- 7154c41a5b44dba756cf6141ca3cc3377b2c7fc72e105b39bd86459d88a5cbd5
- Prediction receipt file check
- cae77ada35a7db3b4280771cef85b8adb631dd6d80d0318df527e7a75c2766cf
- Outcome append file check
- Pending or unavailable
- Model / method
- saved record · saved record
Founder Right/Wrong is authoritative and can only be changed by the Founder. Market-adjusted measurements are read-only observations and never mutate that ledger.