PUBLIC PREDICTION RECEIPT
OTR predicted iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF would rise
a34a060ec2b3462213970794047fe60469dcd693120ce82f19b2abde765f64f8
- Asset
- iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF · ITA
- Direction
- UP
- Created
- Deadline
- Entry
- 253.215 USD
- Deadline price
- Checking…
- Raw return
- Checking…
- Relevant market return
- Checking…
- Market-adjusted result
- Checking…
- Founder result
- Not yet graded —
- Scientific event verdict
- Inconclusive until all required evidence passes
- Record status
- Original prediction cannot be secretly changed
Original frozen reason
Current asset- or exposure-aligned headlines are directionally neutral under the disclosed lexicon. Pavuron keeps the locked research disposition Rise expected without claiming that headlines prove a rise.
Invalidation condition
A later evidence reversal may change the next edition, but it cannot rewrite this score. The source-timed +20-hour check remains the only outcome authority.
Calculating synchronized evidence without changing the Founder result.
Sources, file checks and audit history
- Prediction row file check
- 6cc03543fefe3c08107b10f4553afd5b5ef016bab365ebbfaf349bc5a823d227
- Prediction receipt file check
- a34a060ec2b3462213970794047fe60469dcd693120ce82f19b2abde765f64f8
- Outcome append file check
- Pending or unavailable
- Model / method
- saved record · saved record
Founder Right/Wrong is authoritative and can only be changed by the Founder. Market-adjusted measurements are read-only observations and never mutate that ledger.