PUBLIC PREDICTION RECEIPT
OTR predicted SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust would rise
9c5cd8af3c4afd2d96781fb22fa1d74dd52a35717285bb939052157674159950
- Asset
- SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust · SPY
- Direction
- UP
- Created
- Deadline
- Entry
- 776.34 USD
- Deadline price
- Checking…
- Raw return
- Checking…
- Relevant market return
- Checking…
- Market-adjusted result
- Checking…
- Founder result
- Not yet graded —
- Scientific event verdict
- Inconclusive until all required evidence passes
- Record status
- Original prediction cannot be secretly changed
Original frozen reason
Current asset- or exposure-aligned headline evidence is positive (12.5). Pavuron marks the instrument Rise expected while the locked source evidence remains current.
Invalidation condition
A later evidence reversal may change the next edition, but it cannot rewrite this score. The source-timed +20-hour check remains the only outcome authority.
Calculating synchronized evidence without changing the Founder result.
Sources, file checks and audit history
- Prediction row file check
- 67d63d422f65b1196325ddd4b8e6fc047f9a04c22abf9af3506fd1575c3c8f28
- Prediction receipt file check
- 9c5cd8af3c4afd2d96781fb22fa1d74dd52a35717285bb939052157674159950
- Outcome append file check
- Pending or unavailable
- Model / method
- saved record · saved record
Founder Right/Wrong is authoritative and can only be changed by the Founder. Market-adjusted measurements are read-only observations and never mutate that ledger.