PUBLIC PREDICTION RECEIPT
OTR predicted iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF would fall
8f6582d4c1c01ff2f3e39b30b03ee337e3046746857b448d6078183c506e7dfc
- Asset
- iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF · TLT
- Direction
- DOWN
- Created
- Deadline
- Entry
- 82.33499908447266 USD
- Deadline price
- Checking…
- Raw return
- Checking…
- Relevant market return
- Checking…
- Market-adjusted result
- Checking…
- Founder result
- Correct ✓
- Scientific event verdict
- Inconclusive until all required evidence passes
- Record status
- Original prediction cannot be secretly changed
Original frozen reason
Fall expected: Weighted four input net sign under saved record; weighted four-input total -2; confidence High strict; deciding input All four inputs weighted net.
Invalidation condition
Unavailable in imported record
Calculating synchronized evidence without changing the Founder result.
Sources, file checks and audit history
- Prediction row file check
- 27bd6add74170d27e2ac12cbfbf0710f6aeb32894d771f70c1e73b5062ad762f
- Prediction receipt file check
- 8f6582d4c1c01ff2f3e39b30b03ee337e3046746857b448d6078183c506e7dfc
- Outcome append file check
- 4413e3d691fecd4d8e5512e822cf0f56ee02143f68ccbb46a894cc1bb7260d30
- Model / method
- saved record · saved record
Founder Right/Wrong is authoritative and can only be changed by the Founder. Market-adjusted measurements are read-only observations and never mutate that ledger.