PUBLIC PREDICTION RECEIPT
OTR predicted Apple would fall
838581ff2a823604b3541e08e6173001fb7263c250a04887edd662b62afaa8b8
- Asset
- Apple · AAPL
- Direction
- DOWN
- Created
- Deadline
- Entry
- 309.899994 USD
- Deadline price
- Checking…
- Raw return
- Checking…
- Relevant market return
- Checking…
- Market-adjusted result
- Checking…
- Original recorded result
- Incorrect ✕
- Scientific event verdict
- Inconclusive until all required evidence passes
- Record status
- Original prediction cannot be secretly changed
Original frozen reason
Unavailable in imported record
Invalidation condition
Unavailable in imported record
Calculating synchronized evidence without changing the Original recorded result.
Sources, file checks and audit history
- Prediction row file check
- 4a9853765873ab42cb11e7bcfa37f430593ba8cb416eef24f2db83a825c39f83
- Prediction receipt file check
- 838581ff2a823604b3541e08e6173001fb7263c250a04887edd662b62afaa8b8
- Outcome append file check
- 2fb507017653827de39bdb2d3d5337c187fefd9fedfc6da59966cf3f4a847236
- Model / method
- Unavailable in imported record · saved record
Each original result retains its original rules and cohort. Market-adjusted measurements do not regrade it. A saved imported row does not by itself establish membership in the separate historical founder score.