PUBLIC PREDICTION RECEIPT
OTR predicted Invesco Aerospace & Defense ETF would fall
5823450f66cc6da419e33ad90494ddb5831c604c0f6a78ca2218e5ca4101e700
- Asset
- Invesco Aerospace & Defense ETF · PPA
- Direction
- DOWN
- Created
- Deadline
- Entry
- 185.09 USD
- Deadline price
- Checking…
- Raw return
- Checking…
- Relevant market return
- Checking…
- Market-adjusted result
- Checking…
- Founder result
- Not yet graded —
- Scientific event verdict
- Inconclusive until all required evidence passes
- Record status
- Original prediction cannot be secretly changed
Original frozen reason
Current asset- or exposure-aligned headline evidence is negative (-50.0). Pavuron preserves that contradiction and marks the instrument Fall expected.
Invalidation condition
A later evidence reversal may change the next edition, but it cannot rewrite this score. The source-timed +20-hour check remains the only outcome authority.
Calculating synchronized evidence without changing the Founder result.
Sources, file checks and audit history
- Prediction row file check
- 8325c374705ab2321abd8d304038bbe2d0a0784f84f5c27cf722ab633b10e9b7
- Prediction receipt file check
- 5823450f66cc6da419e33ad90494ddb5831c604c0f6a78ca2218e5ca4101e700
- Outcome append file check
- Pending or unavailable
- Model / method
- saved record · saved record
Founder Right/Wrong is authoritative and can only be changed by the Founder. Market-adjusted measurements are read-only observations and never mutate that ledger.