PUBLIC PREDICTION RECEIPT
OTR predicted Microsoft would fall
424e7e1ee545697975340556baedc24a6ef287a57beb518923f2e02af10541b0
- Asset
- Microsoft · MSFT
- Direction
- DOWN
- Created
- Deadline
- Entry
- 484.309997559 USD
- Deadline price
- Checking…
- Raw return
- Checking…
- Relevant market return
- Checking…
- Market-adjusted result
- Checking…
- Founder result
- Not yet graded —
- Scientific event verdict
- Inconclusive until all required evidence passes
- Record status
- Original prediction cannot be secretly changed
Original frozen reason
Fall expected: Weighted four input net sign under saved record; weighted four-input total -4; confidence Low relaxed; deciding input All four inputs weighted net.
Invalidation condition
Unavailable in imported record
Calculating synchronized evidence without changing the Founder result.
Sources, file checks and audit history
- Prediction row file check
- 02b6bd5b6c9b4610b8283a81f013530f8f988beed1a4207cbd1dbda2aa16a790
- Prediction receipt file check
- 424e7e1ee545697975340556baedc24a6ef287a57beb518923f2e02af10541b0
- Outcome append file check
- Pending or unavailable
- Model / method
- saved record · saved record
Founder Right/Wrong is authoritative and can only be changed by the Founder. Market-adjusted measurements are read-only observations and never mutate that ledger.