PUBLIC PREDICTION RECEIPT

OTR predicted Microsoft would fall

3fa31c17bb31f1210c381666c61c48d0a02554d77450f81ddccd2838e898f392

Asset: Microsoft · MSFT
Direction: DOWN
Created: 21 Aug 2026, 01:53 SGT
Deadline: 21 Aug 2026, 21:53 SGT
Entry: 482.0150146484375 USD
Deadline price: Checking…
Raw return: Checking…
Relevant market return: Checking…
Market-adjusted result: Checking…
Founder result: Correct ✓
Scientific event verdict: Inconclusive until all required evidence passes
Record status: Original prediction cannot be secretly changed

Original frozen reason

Fall expected: Weighted four input net sign under saved record; weighted four-input total -2; confidence High strict; deciding input All four inputs weighted net.

Invalidation condition

Unavailable in imported record

Calculating synchronized evidence without changing the Founder result.

Download frozen prediction JSON Download measured evidence JSON

Sources, file checks and audit history

Prediction row file check: e7423c4e10c9282f71f2f984e3d2138074ce5e2c843e9e2fcb8e94af93404a3a
Prediction receipt file check: 3fa31c17bb31f1210c381666c61c48d0a02554d77450f81ddccd2838e898f392
Outcome append file check: e3269e2b119252610965abe03f22f2a47a26a42e56322a03f574a9608c7d85d5
Model / method: saved record · saved record
Entry source: https://query1.finance.yahoo.com/v8/finance/chart/MSFT?interval=5m&range=5d&includePrePost=false&events=history

Founder Right/Wrong is authoritative and can only be changed by the Founder. Market-adjusted measurements are read-only observations and never mutate that ledger.