PUBLIC PREDICTION RECEIPT
OTR predicted Microsoft would fall
1a668f2468fe6abf4752b02556d205eb4675dcad98b6fd2e74385697a6380b24
- Asset
- Microsoft · MSFT
- Direction
- DOWN
- Created
- Deadline
- Entry
- 484.30999755859375 USD
- Deadline price
- Checking…
- Raw return
- Checking…
- Relevant market return
- Checking…
- Market-adjusted result
- Checking…
- Founder result
- Not yet graded —
- Scientific event verdict
- Inconclusive until all required evidence passes
- Record status
- Original prediction cannot be secretly changed
Original frozen reason
Fall expected: Weighted four input net sign under saved record; weighted four-input total -6; confidence High strict; deciding input All four inputs weighted net.
Invalidation condition
Unavailable in imported record
Calculating synchronized evidence without changing the Founder result.
Sources, file checks and audit history
- Prediction row file check
- b9c0df937455deb5e21a68a3da74930a59584db09d57c843e25269f944768891
- Prediction receipt file check
- 1a668f2468fe6abf4752b02556d205eb4675dcad98b6fd2e74385697a6380b24
- Outcome append file check
- Pending or unavailable
- Model / method
- saved record · saved record
Founder Right/Wrong is authoritative and can only be changed by the Founder. Market-adjusted measurements are read-only observations and never mutate that ledger.