Skip to main content
OnTheRiceSEE THE WORLD EARLY.
OnTheRice’s Emerging DataTechnology

Goldman’s revised forecast implies less new data-centre capacity in 2027

By OnTheRice · Sources and limitations · Report a correction

Goldman’s reported forecast raises end-2026 US data-centre capacity and lowers end-2027 capacity. The implied addition during 2027 falls from 36 GW to 26 GW. Planners using the old growth step should review it, even though the forecast still points to expansion.

Current priceNot available
24-hour changeNot available

Source confidenceNot assessed

Published
Check timeNot applicable

What’s changing?

Compare the annual addition as well as ending capacity before carrying an old data-centre growth assumption into a 2027 plan.

Key points

  • Reuters reports that Goldman increased its end-2026 capacity forecast by 5 GW to 64 GW and cut its end-2027 forecast by 5 GW to 90 GW. These are forecasts from a note dated 4 October, not measured capacity delivered.

What could change this view?

  • Goldman still expects rapid growth and describes political opposition as having limited near-term effect. The original research note and its full methodology were not inspected. Neither the reported revisions nor the subtraction establishes what caused the change.

Bottom line

Data-centre planners and analysts whose capacity or supplier models use Goldman’s earlier US forecast. Action: Check whether a model uses year-end capacity, annual additions or electricity demand. Update the relevant forecast input, then test actual project schedules and orders before changing company-level earnings assumptions.

This is based on the information recorded with this signal.

How likely is this call? · Three frameworks

This signal has no investible bullish or bearish call. A market-direction percentage does not apply.

Read the shared method · Read the public probability method

Evidence behind this view

Checks whether separate pieces of evidence support the same view.

Recorded connection

Compare the annual addition as well as ending capacity before carrying an old data-centre growth assumption into a 2027 plan.

We have not established a separate count of independent evidence clusters for this card. Several reports may rely on the same event or data provider.

What past price moves show

Compares today’s price moves with recorded past patterns.

This card has no recorded investible call. A price-pattern comparison is not applicable unless a specific asset is added with evidence.

Evidence against this view

Shows evidence and risks that could challenge this view.

Recorded opposing evidence and risks

Goldman still expects rapid growth and describes political opposition as having limited near-term effect. The original research note and its full methodology were not inspected. Neither the reported revisions nor the subtraction establishes what caused the change.

Why the direction changed

Explains recorded changes from expecting a rise to expecting a fall, or the reverse.

No documented bullish-to-bearish or bearish-to-bullish change is available for this card. We keep the original call and its time unchanged.

What people say vs the facts

Compares recorded public discussion with checked market facts.

No separate Reddit or public-discussion comparison with verified market data is recorded for this card. We cannot treat social attention as proof of a market move.

How past forecasts performed

Shows recorded forecast results and what they can teach us.

This card has no recorded investible forecast to score.

No tested mapping from evidence combinations to future success is recorded for this card. Confidence in sources and past outcomes do not establish a calibrated probability.

RETAINEDHistorical record
Sources, original wording and price checks

Published

First published through Sites 06 Oct 2026, 12:18:23 SGT

No explicit investible BULLISH or BEARISH call on this card.

What changed

Recorded public history

Goldman’s reported forecast raises end-2026 US data-centre capacity and lowers end-2027 capacity. The implied addition during 2027 falls…

This is the first recorded public view. Further public updates will appear here.

  1. Goldman’s revised forecast implies less new data-centre capacity in 2027

    Goldman’s reported forecast raises end-2026 US data-centre capacity and lowers end-2027 capacity. The implied addition during 2027 falls from 36 GW to 26 GW. Planners using the old growth step should review it, even though the forecast still points to expansion.

    First published by OTR: 6 Oct, 12:18 SGTPublished by OTR: 6 Oct 2026, 12:18 SGT

Why the view changed

This is the first recorded view. Future source-backed updates will appear here.

Evidence, memory & review 1 linked source

Directional takeaway: Direction not assigned A national forecast revision does not establish a net fundamental or price direction for a named investible issuer. WATCH

OTR reasoning: Compare the annual addition as well as ending capacity before carrying an old data-centre growth assumption into a 2027 plan.

Counterpoint: Goldman still expects rapid growth and describes political opposition as having limited near-term effect. The original research note and its full methodology were not inspected. Neither the reported revisions nor the subtraction establishes what caused the change.

Source-grounded facts (paraphrased)

  • Time not supplied: Reuters reports that Goldman increased its end-2026 capacity forecast by 5 GW to 64 GW and cut its end-2027 forecast by 5 GW to 90 GW. These are forecasts from a note dated 4 October, not measured capacity delivered. Source record: source-1

Evidence basis: Source-checked editorial summary; this is a paraphrase and synthesis, not a source quotation.

Source trail

Review status: CHIEF APPROVED AFTER SOURCE REVIEW

No score or probability is presented.