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OTR EMERGING DATA

Singapore’s haze guidance puts daily work plans on an hourly clock

By OnTheRice · Sources and limitations · Report a correction

Start with the main idea: what may be changing, how the clues connect, and what remains uncertain.

In its 20 October guidance, Singapore's Ministry of Manpower (MOM) says employers should use tomorrow's PSI air-pollution forecast alongside hourly checks of fine-particle pollution, PM2.5, during the working day. The National Environment Agency (NEA) reported on 19 October that some readings had improved, while smoke remained nearby. A clearer morning therefore does not establish that the air will stay clear all afternoon.

OTR's view is that employers able to reschedule tasks, rotate workers and arrange indoor breaks may respond sooner than those waiting for the next daily forecast. We have not measured delays, workers' exposure to pollution or compliance with the guidance. The next useful check is whether outdoor employers record the changes they make when air quality worsens.

The idea, step by step

Follow the reasoning from the observations to the proposed result. A possible link is not proof.

First, use the forecast to arrange the next day. Next, watch the hourly reading. Then change the outdoor task and protection when conditions change. We connect the two official records; we do not substitute a weather headline for a workplace risk assessment.

Research context

Understand the background and earlier comparisons, including the differences that matter.

NEA’s 19 October forecast applied to 20 October. It is historical at this report’s cutoff. MOM’s newer work guidance remains the relevant policy source; current air readings must still be checked separately.

The key clues

See the main observations behind the idea, with their important qualifications.

MOM adds within-day adjustments. NEA distinguishes planning from immediate activity. Rain and wind can alter local exposure without removing nearby smoke.

What could change this view?

See what could change this interpretation and what still needs to be checked.

A sustained improvement in current readings, or evidence that employers already make reliable hourly adjustments, would reduce the operations gap.

What this means

Read the takeaway and the limits that matter before drawing a conclusion.

For employers, preparedness means a usable roster and rest space. For customers, delivery or outdoor-service timing may need flexibility. These are practical implications, not measured disruption claims.

Evidence behind this view

Review the information supporting this view and the limits on what it can show.

MOM specifies progressively reducing outdoor work as hourly PM2.5 rises and keeping a week’s mask supply where outdoor work is required. NEA explicitly uses separate clocks for immediate activities and next-day planning.

Evidence against this view

Check the opposing evidence and other explanations that could weaken this view.

NEA reported some improvement on 19 October. We have no company-level records proving that scheduling failures have caused harm.

What people say vs the facts

Compare what people say with the observations, without treating attention as proof.

An improved daily PSI is welcome. It does not answer what the air will be like during the next outdoor task; the official guidance uses the shorter measure for that purpose.

What’s changing?

Follow the reasoning from the observations to the proposed result. A possible link is not proof.

The warning is becoming a repeated workplace decision rather than a single morning announcement.

What to check

Read the details behind this part of the research and how they connect to the main idea.

Check the latest official readings, documented task changes and access to indoor breaks. Record the time of each observation.

Evidence, memory & review

Read the details behind this part of the research and how they connect to the main idea.

Our older corpus warns against promoting an old measurement as a fresh signal. We apply that rule to haze: a newly read forecast is not a new forecast.

People and organisations

Identify the people, organisations or assets discussed and the part they play in the research.

MOM, NEA, outdoor employers, site supervisors and workers; people with greater vulnerability require the distinctions in official guidance.

OTR reasoning · Why we see this connection

Follow the reasoning from the observations to the proposed result. A possible link is not proof.

We connect a variable hazard with an inflexible workday. The bottleneck may be the time needed to change work, not the time needed to receive an alert.

Counterpoint · Another possible explanation

Check the opposing evidence and other explanations that could weaken this view.

Hourly guidance cannot eliminate exposure or guarantee uninterrupted services. We have no evidence that every employer has sufficient alternative work or space.

What changed

See what changed in the research and why, while keeping earlier recorded views separate.

New in this edition: we move from the presence of haze to the speed of the workplace response.

Why the view changed

See what changed in the research and why, while keeping earlier recorded views separate.

The 20 October guidance makes the within-day decision explicit, strengthening the link between information and actual task changes.

Evidence, memory & review 4 linked sources

Check where the information came from, when it was observed and what was verified.

Three sources support this review: two official pages and OTR Database Data. A fourth independent source has not been verified; we do not manufacture one to match the heading.

Keep exploring

Choose how to follow this Signal or compare it with other research.

Follow the next official haze update and compare a real outdoor-work plan before and after a change in readings.

Terms in simple English

Find plain meanings for the specialist terms used in this research.

Terms in simple English

PSI: a broad air-pollution index used in planning. PM2.5: small airborne particles; the hourly reading helps with immediate decisions. Forecast: an estimate, not an observed reading.

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Sources and evidence · 2 sources

Check the original reports and the limits of this research.

  1. SG-E1:mom.gov.sg · Used throughout this Signal
  2. SG-E2:nea.gov.sg · Used throughout this Signal
Detailed source notes
  • SG-E1:

    Used in: Sources and verification; Source trail; OTR EMERGING DATA; The idea, step by step; Research context; The key clues; What could change this view?; What this means; Evidence behind this view; Evidence against this view; What people say vs the facts; What’s changing?; What to check; Evidence, memory & review; People and organisations; OTR reasoning; Counterpoint; What changed; Why the view changed; Evidence, memory & review 4 linked sources; Keep exploring; Terms in simple English.

  • SG-E2:

    Used in: Sources and verification; Source trail; OTR EMERGING DATA; The idea, step by step; Research context; The key clues; What could change this view?; What this means; Evidence behind this view; Evidence against this view; What people say vs the facts; What’s changing?; What to check; Evidence, memory & review; People and organisations; OTR reasoning; Counterpoint; What changed; Why the view changed; Evidence, memory & review 4 linked sources; Keep exploring; Terms in simple English.

Both primary pages were directly read. Publication dates are known, exact issue times are not. The cited NEA readings are not presented as today’s live measurements.

Source record 20 Oct 2026; time unavailable; observed Guidance issued 20 Oct 2026 · 19 Oct 2026; time unavailable; observed Air readings at 18:00 SGT on 19 Oct; forecast for 20 Oct · OTR Database Data: Underlying retained material: 5-6 Oct 2026; consolidated DOCX modified 18 Oct 2026; observed Historical corpus, not current Singapore measurements Retrieved: 21 Oct 2026, 07:17:09-07:17:35 SGT; 21 Oct 2026, reading session before 07:17 SGT; exact initial fetch time not retained | VERIFIED SOURCE CONTENT; HISTORICAL / STALE. Inference unverified.

Read the MOM work guidance and the NEA dated update together. OTR Database Data provides the measurement-clock check, not independent environmental confirmation.

Read the complete original research

Original wording, weights, prices, times, outcome rules and sources are preserved below.

Singapore’s haze guidance puts daily work plans on an hourly clock

OTR EMERGING DATA

We see a change in how haze can interrupt work. MOM’s 20 October guidance connects tomorrow’s PSI forecast with hourly PM2.5 checks during the working day. NEA’s 19 October update showed why both clocks matter: some air readings improved, while smoke remained nearby. A clearer morning therefore cannot settle the whole afternoon’s work plan. Our emerging signal is an operations gap. Firms that can move tasks, rotate workers and arrange indoor breaks can respond sooner than firms waiting for the next daily forecast. We have not measured delays, worker exposure or compliance. The useful next test is whether outdoor employers record what changed when the air worsens. The plan now has to move with the air.

Inference SG-E1: 20 Oct 2026; time unavailable; observed Guidance issued 20 Oct 2026 · SG-E2: 19 Oct 2026; time unavailable; observed Air readings at 18:00 SGT on 19 Oct; forecast for 20 Oct · OTR Database Data: Underlying retained material: 5-6 Oct 2026; consolidated DOCX modified 18 Oct 2026; observed Historical corpus, not current Singapore measurements Retrieved: 21 Oct 2026, 07:17:09-07:17:35 SGT; 21 Oct 2026, reading session before 07:17 SGT; exact initial fetch time not retained | VERIFIED SOURCE CONTENT; HISTORICAL / STALE. Inference unverified.

The idea, step by step

First, use the forecast to arrange the next day. Next, watch the hourly reading. Then change the outdoor task and protection when conditions change. We connect the two official records; we do not substitute a weather headline for a workplace risk assessment.

Inference SG-E1: 20 Oct 2026; time unavailable; observed Guidance issued 20 Oct 2026 · SG-E2: 19 Oct 2026; time unavailable; observed Air readings at 18:00 SGT on 19 Oct; forecast for 20 Oct · OTR Database Data: Underlying retained material: 5-6 Oct 2026; consolidated DOCX modified 18 Oct 2026; observed Historical corpus, not current Singapore measurements Retrieved: 21 Oct 2026, 07:17:09-07:17:35 SGT; 21 Oct 2026, reading session before 07:17 SGT; exact initial fetch time not retained | VERIFIED SOURCE CONTENT; HISTORICAL / STALE. Inference unverified.

Research context

NEA’s 19 October forecast applied to 20 October. It is historical at this report’s cutoff. MOM’s newer work guidance remains the relevant policy source; current air readings must still be checked separately.

Source record SG-E1: 20 Oct 2026; time unavailable; observed Guidance issued 20 Oct 2026 · SG-E2: 19 Oct 2026; time unavailable; observed Air readings at 18:00 SGT on 19 Oct; forecast for 20 Oct · OTR Database Data: Underlying retained material: 5-6 Oct 2026; consolidated DOCX modified 18 Oct 2026; observed Historical corpus, not current Singapore measurements Retrieved: 21 Oct 2026, 07:17:09-07:17:35 SGT; 21 Oct 2026, reading session before 07:17 SGT; exact initial fetch time not retained | VERIFIED SOURCE CONTENT; HISTORICAL / STALE. Inference unverified.

The key clues

MOM adds within-day adjustments. NEA distinguishes planning from immediate activity. Rain and wind can alter local exposure without removing nearby smoke.

Source record SG-E1: 20 Oct 2026; time unavailable; observed Guidance issued 20 Oct 2026 · SG-E2: 19 Oct 2026; time unavailable; observed Air readings at 18:00 SGT on 19 Oct; forecast for 20 Oct · OTR Database Data: Underlying retained material: 5-6 Oct 2026; consolidated DOCX modified 18 Oct 2026; observed Historical corpus, not current Singapore measurements Retrieved: 21 Oct 2026, 07:17:09-07:17:35 SGT; 21 Oct 2026, reading session before 07:17 SGT; exact initial fetch time not retained | VERIFIED SOURCE CONTENT; HISTORICAL / STALE. Inference unverified.

What could change this view?

A sustained improvement in current readings, or evidence that employers already make reliable hourly adjustments, would reduce the operations gap.

Inference SG-E1: 20 Oct 2026; time unavailable; observed Guidance issued 20 Oct 2026 · SG-E2: 19 Oct 2026; time unavailable; observed Air readings at 18:00 SGT on 19 Oct; forecast for 20 Oct · OTR Database Data: Underlying retained material: 5-6 Oct 2026; consolidated DOCX modified 18 Oct 2026; observed Historical corpus, not current Singapore measurements Retrieved: 21 Oct 2026, 07:17:09-07:17:35 SGT; 21 Oct 2026, reading session before 07:17 SGT; exact initial fetch time not retained | VERIFIED SOURCE CONTENT; HISTORICAL / STALE. Inference unverified.

What this means

For employers, preparedness means a usable roster and rest space. For customers, delivery or outdoor-service timing may need flexibility. These are practical implications, not measured disruption claims.

Inference SG-E1: 20 Oct 2026; time unavailable; observed Guidance issued 20 Oct 2026 · SG-E2: 19 Oct 2026; time unavailable; observed Air readings at 18:00 SGT on 19 Oct; forecast for 20 Oct · OTR Database Data: Underlying retained material: 5-6 Oct 2026; consolidated DOCX modified 18 Oct 2026; observed Historical corpus, not current Singapore measurements Retrieved: 21 Oct 2026, 07:17:09-07:17:35 SGT; 21 Oct 2026, reading session before 07:17 SGT; exact initial fetch time not retained | VERIFIED SOURCE CONTENT; HISTORICAL / STALE. Inference unverified.

Evidence behind this view

MOM specifies progressively reducing outdoor work as hourly PM2.5 rises and keeping a week’s mask supply where outdoor work is required. NEA explicitly uses separate clocks for immediate activities and next-day planning.

Source record SG-E1: 20 Oct 2026; time unavailable; observed Guidance issued 20 Oct 2026 · SG-E2: 19 Oct 2026; time unavailable; observed Air readings at 18:00 SGT on 19 Oct; forecast for 20 Oct · OTR Database Data: Underlying retained material: 5-6 Oct 2026; consolidated DOCX modified 18 Oct 2026; observed Historical corpus, not current Singapore measurements Retrieved: 21 Oct 2026, 07:17:09-07:17:35 SGT; 21 Oct 2026, reading session before 07:17 SGT; exact initial fetch time not retained | VERIFIED SOURCE CONTENT; HISTORICAL / STALE. Inference unverified.

Evidence against this view

NEA reported some improvement on 19 October. We have no company-level records proving that scheduling failures have caused harm.

Source record SG-E1: 20 Oct 2026; time unavailable; observed Guidance issued 20 Oct 2026 · SG-E2: 19 Oct 2026; time unavailable; observed Air readings at 18:00 SGT on 19 Oct; forecast for 20 Oct · OTR Database Data: Underlying retained material: 5-6 Oct 2026; consolidated DOCX modified 18 Oct 2026; observed Historical corpus, not current Singapore measurements Retrieved: 21 Oct 2026, 07:17:09-07:17:35 SGT; 21 Oct 2026, reading session before 07:17 SGT; exact initial fetch time not retained | VERIFIED SOURCE CONTENT; HISTORICAL / STALE. Inference unverified.

What people say vs the facts

An improved daily PSI is welcome. It does not answer what the air will be like during the next outdoor task; the official guidance uses the shorter measure for that purpose.

Source record SG-E1: 20 Oct 2026; time unavailable; observed Guidance issued 20 Oct 2026 · SG-E2: 19 Oct 2026; time unavailable; observed Air readings at 18:00 SGT on 19 Oct; forecast for 20 Oct · OTR Database Data: Underlying retained material: 5-6 Oct 2026; consolidated DOCX modified 18 Oct 2026; observed Historical corpus, not current Singapore measurements Retrieved: 21 Oct 2026, 07:17:09-07:17:35 SGT; 21 Oct 2026, reading session before 07:17 SGT; exact initial fetch time not retained | VERIFIED SOURCE CONTENT; HISTORICAL / STALE. Inference unverified.

Sources and verification

Both primary pages were directly read. Publication dates are known, exact issue times are not. The cited NEA readings are not presented as today’s live measurements.

Source record SG-E1: 20 Oct 2026; time unavailable; observed Guidance issued 20 Oct 2026 · SG-E2: 19 Oct 2026; time unavailable; observed Air readings at 18:00 SGT on 19 Oct; forecast for 20 Oct · OTR Database Data: Underlying retained material: 5-6 Oct 2026; consolidated DOCX modified 18 Oct 2026; observed Historical corpus, not current Singapore measurements Retrieved: 21 Oct 2026, 07:17:09-07:17:35 SGT; 21 Oct 2026, reading session before 07:17 SGT; exact initial fetch time not retained | VERIFIED SOURCE CONTENT; HISTORICAL / STALE. Inference unverified.

What’s changing?

The warning is becoming a repeated workplace decision rather than a single morning announcement.

Inference SG-E1: 20 Oct 2026; time unavailable; observed Guidance issued 20 Oct 2026 · SG-E2: 19 Oct 2026; time unavailable; observed Air readings at 18:00 SGT on 19 Oct; forecast for 20 Oct · OTR Database Data: Underlying retained material: 5-6 Oct 2026; consolidated DOCX modified 18 Oct 2026; observed Historical corpus, not current Singapore measurements Retrieved: 21 Oct 2026, 07:17:09-07:17:35 SGT; 21 Oct 2026, reading session before 07:17 SGT; exact initial fetch time not retained | VERIFIED SOURCE CONTENT; HISTORICAL / STALE. Inference unverified.

What to check

Check the latest official readings, documented task changes and access to indoor breaks. Record the time of each observation.

Inference SG-E1: 20 Oct 2026; time unavailable; observed Guidance issued 20 Oct 2026 · SG-E2: 19 Oct 2026; time unavailable; observed Air readings at 18:00 SGT on 19 Oct; forecast for 20 Oct · OTR Database Data: Underlying retained material: 5-6 Oct 2026; consolidated DOCX modified 18 Oct 2026; observed Historical corpus, not current Singapore measurements Retrieved: 21 Oct 2026, 07:17:09-07:17:35 SGT; 21 Oct 2026, reading session before 07:17 SGT; exact initial fetch time not retained | VERIFIED SOURCE CONTENT; HISTORICAL / STALE. Inference unverified.

Evidence, memory & review

Our older corpus warns against promoting an old measurement as a fresh signal. We apply that rule to haze: a newly read forecast is not a new forecast.

Inference SG-E1: 20 Oct 2026; time unavailable; observed Guidance issued 20 Oct 2026 · SG-E2: 19 Oct 2026; time unavailable; observed Air readings at 18:00 SGT on 19 Oct; forecast for 20 Oct · OTR Database Data: Underlying retained material: 5-6 Oct 2026; consolidated DOCX modified 18 Oct 2026; observed Historical corpus, not current Singapore measurements Retrieved: 21 Oct 2026, 07:17:09-07:17:35 SGT; 21 Oct 2026, reading session before 07:17 SGT; exact initial fetch time not retained | VERIFIED SOURCE CONTENT; HISTORICAL / STALE. Inference unverified.

People and organisations

MOM, NEA, outdoor employers, site supervisors and workers; people with greater vulnerability require the distinctions in official guidance.

Source record SG-E1: 20 Oct 2026; time unavailable; observed Guidance issued 20 Oct 2026 · SG-E2: 19 Oct 2026; time unavailable; observed Air readings at 18:00 SGT on 19 Oct; forecast for 20 Oct · OTR Database Data: Underlying retained material: 5-6 Oct 2026; consolidated DOCX modified 18 Oct 2026; observed Historical corpus, not current Singapore measurements Retrieved: 21 Oct 2026, 07:17:09-07:17:35 SGT; 21 Oct 2026, reading session before 07:17 SGT; exact initial fetch time not retained | VERIFIED SOURCE CONTENT; HISTORICAL / STALE. Inference unverified.

OTR reasoning

We connect a variable hazard with an inflexible workday. The bottleneck may be the time needed to change work, not the time needed to receive an alert.

Inference SG-E1: 20 Oct 2026; time unavailable; observed Guidance issued 20 Oct 2026 · SG-E2: 19 Oct 2026; time unavailable; observed Air readings at 18:00 SGT on 19 Oct; forecast for 20 Oct · OTR Database Data: Underlying retained material: 5-6 Oct 2026; consolidated DOCX modified 18 Oct 2026; observed Historical corpus, not current Singapore measurements Retrieved: 21 Oct 2026, 07:17:09-07:17:35 SGT; 21 Oct 2026, reading session before 07:17 SGT; exact initial fetch time not retained | VERIFIED SOURCE CONTENT; HISTORICAL / STALE. Inference unverified.

Counterpoint

Hourly guidance cannot eliminate exposure or guarantee uninterrupted services. We have no evidence that every employer has sufficient alternative work or space.

Inference SG-E1: 20 Oct 2026; time unavailable; observed Guidance issued 20 Oct 2026 · SG-E2: 19 Oct 2026; time unavailable; observed Air readings at 18:00 SGT on 19 Oct; forecast for 20 Oct · OTR Database Data: Underlying retained material: 5-6 Oct 2026; consolidated DOCX modified 18 Oct 2026; observed Historical corpus, not current Singapore measurements Retrieved: 21 Oct 2026, 07:17:09-07:17:35 SGT; 21 Oct 2026, reading session before 07:17 SGT; exact initial fetch time not retained | VERIFIED SOURCE CONTENT; HISTORICAL / STALE. Inference unverified.

Source trail

Read the MOM work guidance and the NEA dated update together. OTR Database Data provides the measurement-clock check, not independent environmental confirmation.

Source record SG-E1: 20 Oct 2026; time unavailable; observed Guidance issued 20 Oct 2026 · SG-E2: 19 Oct 2026; time unavailable; observed Air readings at 18:00 SGT on 19 Oct; forecast for 20 Oct · OTR Database Data: Underlying retained material: 5-6 Oct 2026; consolidated DOCX modified 18 Oct 2026; observed Historical corpus, not current Singapore measurements Retrieved: 21 Oct 2026, 07:17:09-07:17:35 SGT; 21 Oct 2026, reading session before 07:17 SGT; exact initial fetch time not retained | VERIFIED SOURCE CONTENT; HISTORICAL / STALE. Inference unverified.

What changed

New in this edition: we move from the presence of haze to the speed of the workplace response.

Inference SG-E1: 20 Oct 2026; time unavailable; observed Guidance issued 20 Oct 2026 · SG-E2: 19 Oct 2026; time unavailable; observed Air readings at 18:00 SGT on 19 Oct; forecast for 20 Oct · OTR Database Data: Underlying retained material: 5-6 Oct 2026; consolidated DOCX modified 18 Oct 2026; observed Historical corpus, not current Singapore measurements Retrieved: 21 Oct 2026, 07:17:09-07:17:35 SGT; 21 Oct 2026, reading session before 07:17 SGT; exact initial fetch time not retained | VERIFIED SOURCE CONTENT; HISTORICAL / STALE. Inference unverified.

Why the view changed

The 20 October guidance makes the within-day decision explicit, strengthening the link between information and actual task changes.

Inference SG-E1: 20 Oct 2026; time unavailable; observed Guidance issued 20 Oct 2026 · SG-E2: 19 Oct 2026; time unavailable; observed Air readings at 18:00 SGT on 19 Oct; forecast for 20 Oct · OTR Database Data: Underlying retained material: 5-6 Oct 2026; consolidated DOCX modified 18 Oct 2026; observed Historical corpus, not current Singapore measurements Retrieved: 21 Oct 2026, 07:17:09-07:17:35 SGT; 21 Oct 2026, reading session before 07:17 SGT; exact initial fetch time not retained | VERIFIED SOURCE CONTENT; HISTORICAL / STALE. Inference unverified.

Evidence, memory & review 4 linked sources

Three sources support this review: two official pages and OTR Database Data. A fourth independent source has not been verified; we do not manufacture one to match the heading.

Source record SG-E1: 20 Oct 2026; time unavailable; observed Guidance issued 20 Oct 2026 · SG-E2: 19 Oct 2026; time unavailable; observed Air readings at 18:00 SGT on 19 Oct; forecast for 20 Oct · OTR Database Data: Underlying retained material: 5-6 Oct 2026; consolidated DOCX modified 18 Oct 2026; observed Historical corpus, not current Singapore measurements Retrieved: 21 Oct 2026, 07:17:09-07:17:35 SGT; 21 Oct 2026, reading session before 07:17 SGT; exact initial fetch time not retained | VERIFIED SOURCE CONTENT; HISTORICAL / STALE. Inference unverified.

Keep exploring

Follow the next official haze update and compare a real outdoor-work plan before and after a change in readings.

Inference SG-E1: 20 Oct 2026; time unavailable; observed Guidance issued 20 Oct 2026 · SG-E2: 19 Oct 2026; time unavailable; observed Air readings at 18:00 SGT on 19 Oct; forecast for 20 Oct · OTR Database Data: Underlying retained material: 5-6 Oct 2026; consolidated DOCX modified 18 Oct 2026; observed Historical corpus, not current Singapore measurements Retrieved: 21 Oct 2026, 07:17:09-07:17:35 SGT; 21 Oct 2026, reading session before 07:17 SGT; exact initial fetch time not retained | VERIFIED SOURCE CONTENT; HISTORICAL / STALE. Inference unverified.

Terms in simple English

PSI: a broad air-pollution index used in planning. PM2.5: small airborne particles; the hourly reading helps with immediate decisions. Forecast: an estimate, not an observed reading.

Source record SG-E1: 20 Oct 2026; time unavailable; observed Guidance issued 20 Oct 2026 · SG-E2: 19 Oct 2026; time unavailable; observed Air readings at 18:00 SGT on 19 Oct; forecast for 20 Oct · OTR Database Data: Underlying retained material: 5-6 Oct 2026; consolidated DOCX modified 18 Oct 2026; observed Historical corpus, not current Singapore measurements Retrieved: 21 Oct 2026, 07:17:09-07:17:35 SGT; 21 Oct 2026, reading session before 07:17 SGT; exact initial fetch time not retained | VERIFIED SOURCE CONTENT; HISTORICAL / STALE. Inference unverified.

24-hour change

These records are in the same category and cite at least one of the same source documents. Shared evidence is not independent confirmation; each record keeps its own date and conclusion.