PUBLIC PREDICTION RECEIPT
OTR predicted US Dollar Index would fall
d4917309d399e61ae9eef4667514f0d4f742ee9bc223b4e7d6b2423cbdfca463
- Asset
- US Dollar Index · USD
- Direction
- DOWN
- Created
- Deadline
- Entry
- 99.148 USD
- Deadline price
- Checking…
- Raw return
- Checking…
- Relevant market return
- Checking…
- Market-adjusted result
- Checking…
- Original recorded result
- Not yet graded —
- Scientific event verdict
- Inconclusive until all required evidence passes
- Record status
- Original prediction cannot be secretly changed
Original frozen reason
U.S. DOLLAR INDEX FUTURES were marginally below the prior close as risk assets and cryptocurrencies strengthened ahead of the Fed speech. A hawkish policy surprise or recovery above the saved prior close invalidates the call.
Invalidation condition
A hawkish policy surprise or recovery above the saved prior close invalidates the call.
Calculating synchronized evidence without changing the Original recorded result.
Sources, hashes and audit history
- Prediction row hash
- b2c6c7e539297119019d2cfc5ffb85e631dc71ca6f824bf9c9d085c6ad9a88e4
- Prediction receipt hash
- d4917309d399e61ae9eef4667514f0d4f742ee9bc223b4e7d6b2423cbdfca463
- Outcome append hash
- 865856592f219616deff033eb9f1791a68d5f9d9b22b0986228577b061803a83
- Model / method
- OTR-PREDICTION-EXACT-FIFTEEN-FULL-NAME-C34-V1 · OTR-EVENT-STUDY-FAIL-CLOSED-C49-V1
Each original result retains its original rules and cohort. Market-adjusted measurements do not regrade it. A saved imported row does not by itself establish membership in the separate historical founder score.