PUBLIC PREDICTION RECEIPT
OTR predicted Microsoft would fall
cae77ada35a7db3b4280771cef85b8adb631dd6d80d0318df527e7a75c2766cf
- Asset
- Microsoft · MSFT
- Direction
- DOWN
- Created
- Deadline
- Entry
- 484.309997559 USD
- Deadline price
- Checking…
- Raw return
- Checking…
- Relevant market return
- Checking…
- Market-adjusted result
- Checking…
- Original recorded result
- Not yet graded —
- Scientific event verdict
- Inconclusive until all required evidence passes
- Record status
- Original prediction cannot be secretly changed
Original frozen reason
BEARISH: WEIGHTED_FOUR_INPUT_NET_SIGN under OTR-PAVURON-DIRECTIONAL-CALL-FALLBACK-V1; weighted four-input total -4; confidence LOW_RELAXED; deciding input ALL_FOUR_INPUTS_WEIGHTED_NET.
Invalidation condition
Unavailable in imported record
Calculating synchronized evidence without changing the Original recorded result.
Sources, hashes and audit history
- Prediction row hash
- 7154c41a5b44dba756cf6141ca3cc3377b2c7fc72e105b39bd86459d88a5cbd5
- Prediction receipt hash
- cae77ada35a7db3b4280771cef85b8adb631dd6d80d0318df527e7a75c2766cf
- Outcome append hash
- Pending or unavailable
- Model / method
- OTR-PAVURON-INVESTMENT-SCORE-V4 · OTR-EVENT-STUDY-FAIL-CLOSED-C49-V1
Each original result retains its original rules and cohort. Market-adjusted measurements do not regrade it. A saved imported row does not by itself establish membership in the separate historical founder score.