PUBLIC PREDICTION RECEIPT
OTR predicted Euro would fall
c82e81d2f4501915745ddf1e17ca5cd6a2968cfaf55a01b080871e1b6965529b
- Asset
- Euro · EUR
- Direction
- DOWN
- Created
- Deadline
- Entry
- 1.1654 USD
- Deadline price
- Checking…
- Raw return
- Checking…
- Relevant market return
- Checking…
- Market-adjusted result
- Checking…
- Original recorded result
- Not yet graded —
- Scientific event verdict
- Inconclusive until all required evidence passes
- Record status
- Original prediction cannot be secretly changed
Original frozen reason
EURO was below its prior close while French fiscal and election risk weighed on regional assets. A credible budget resolution or recovery above the saved prior close invalidates the call.
Invalidation condition
A credible budget resolution or recovery above the saved prior close invalidates the call.
Calculating synchronized evidence without changing the Original recorded result.
Sources, hashes and audit history
- Prediction row hash
- b38908b7812b5d396de1571148c0d162cadf28dd4d8ea239806b87583d061a51
- Prediction receipt hash
- c82e81d2f4501915745ddf1e17ca5cd6a2968cfaf55a01b080871e1b6965529b
- Outcome append hash
- 5f3e65a24ab3409deb136c8fa6bbdee0fc47f14f9e41dbd62a5577e7730211aa
- Model / method
- OTR-PREDICTION-EXACT-FIFTEEN-FULL-NAME-C34-V1 · OTR-EVENT-STUDY-FAIL-CLOSED-C49-V1
Each original result retains its original rules and cohort. Market-adjusted measurements do not regrade it. A saved imported row does not by itself establish membership in the separate historical founder score.