PUBLIC PREDICTION RECEIPT
OTR predicted iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF would rise
a34a060ec2b3462213970794047fe60469dcd693120ce82f19b2abde765f64f8
- Asset
- iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF · ITA
- Direction
- UP
- Created
- Deadline
- Entry
- 253.215 USD
- Deadline price
- Checking…
- Raw return
- Checking…
- Relevant market return
- Checking…
- Market-adjusted result
- Checking…
- Original recorded result
- Not yet graded —
- Scientific event verdict
- Inconclusive until all required evidence passes
- Record status
- Original prediction cannot be secretly changed
Original frozen reason
Current asset- or exposure-aligned headlines are directionally neutral under the disclosed lexicon. Pavuron keeps the locked research disposition BULLISH without claiming that headlines prove a rise.
Invalidation condition
A later evidence reversal may change the next edition, but it cannot rewrite this score. The source-timed +20-hour check remains the only outcome authority.
Calculating synchronized evidence without changing the Original recorded result.
Sources, hashes and audit history
- Prediction row hash
- 6cc03543fefe3c08107b10f4553afd5b5ef016bab365ebbfaf349bc5a823d227
- Prediction receipt hash
- a34a060ec2b3462213970794047fe60469dcd693120ce82f19b2abde765f64f8
- Outcome append hash
- Pending or unavailable
- Model / method
- OTR-PAVURON-INVESTMENT-SCORE-V3 · OTR-EVENT-STUDY-FAIL-CLOSED-C49-V1
Each original result retains its original rules and cohort. Market-adjusted measurements do not regrade it. A saved imported row does not by itself establish membership in the separate historical founder score.