PUBLIC PREDICTION RECEIPT
OTR predicted Microsoft would rise
a04390eb7c076199a62f0eef3d1d5177ae161b9a8c5e2436ef1d0edf8e536459
- Asset
- Microsoft · MSFT
- Direction
- UP
- Created
- Deadline
- Entry
- 505.06 USD
- Deadline price
- Checking…
- Raw return
- Checking…
- Relevant market return
- Checking…
- Market-adjusted result
- Checking…
- Original recorded result
- Not yet graded —
- Scientific event verdict
- Inconclusive until all required evidence passes
- Record status
- Original prediction cannot be secretly changed
Original frozen reason
MICROSOFT closed above its prior close while the issue's AI-strength theme supported large technology shares. Sticky inflation is the main counterweight, so a reversal below the saved close invalidates the call.
Invalidation condition
Sticky inflation is the main counterweight, so a reversal below the saved close invalidates the call.
Calculating synchronized evidence without changing the Original recorded result.
Sources, hashes and audit history
- Prediction row hash
- 1fb8ada2dae33a0fdaf0b9381dddf68791da3dae53fd7a2b4d33056d118a3265
- Prediction receipt hash
- a04390eb7c076199a62f0eef3d1d5177ae161b9a8c5e2436ef1d0edf8e536459
- Outcome append hash
- bbd76fa9356dd86d2c785507a9a2ae6b5777da94bcd42d9336d26b7c86d4f8f5
- Model / method
- OTR-PREDICTION-EXACT-FIFTEEN-FULL-NAME-C34-V1 · OTR-EVENT-STUDY-FAIL-CLOSED-C49-V1
Each original result retains its original rules and cohort. Market-adjusted measurements do not regrade it. A saved imported row does not by itself establish membership in the separate historical founder score.