PUBLIC PREDICTION RECEIPT
OTR predicted United States Oil Fund would fall
953482b11f793aab46e86f4036973a787f1be2e71a4ff202bf0a00117b0af391
- Asset
- United States Oil Fund · USO
- Direction
- DOWN
- Created
- Deadline
- Entry
- 126.6 USD
- Deadline price
- Checking…
- Raw return
- Checking…
- Relevant market return
- Checking…
- Market-adjusted result
- Checking…
- Original recorded result
- Not yet graded —
- Scientific event verdict
- Inconclusive until all required evidence passes
- Record status
- Original prediction cannot be secretly changed
Original frozen reason
Current asset- or exposure-aligned headline evidence is negative (-12.5). Pavuron preserves that contradiction and marks the instrument BEARISH.
Invalidation condition
A later evidence reversal may change the next edition, but it cannot rewrite this score. The source-timed +20-hour check remains the only outcome authority.
Calculating synchronized evidence without changing the Original recorded result.
Sources, hashes and audit history
- Prediction row hash
- 41c9ad5d0ed6b54e28d38c3a9f63446a0706461a68392422038386e135711d54
- Prediction receipt hash
- 953482b11f793aab46e86f4036973a787f1be2e71a4ff202bf0a00117b0af391
- Outcome append hash
- Pending or unavailable
- Model / method
- OTR-PAVURON-INVESTMENT-SCORE-V3 · OTR-EVENT-STUDY-FAIL-CLOSED-C49-V1
Each original result retains its original rules and cohort. Market-adjusted measurements do not regrade it. A saved imported row does not by itself establish membership in the separate historical founder score.