PUBLIC PREDICTION RECEIPT
OTR predicted Apple would fall
9489bba22d25282f8904f4f7756f88e57590b2709aea6407ee70f57e42e1797f
- Asset
- Apple · AAPL
- Direction
- DOWN
- Created
- Deadline
- Entry
- 308.26 USD
- Deadline price
- Checking…
- Raw return
- Checking…
- Relevant market return
- Checking…
- Market-adjusted result
- Checking…
- Original recorded result
- Not yet graded —
- Scientific event verdict
- Inconclusive until all required evidence passes
- Record status
- Original prediction cannot be secretly changed
Original frozen reason
Current entity-specific headline evidence is negative (-38.1). Pavuron preserves that contradiction and marks the instrument BEARISH.
Invalidation condition
A later evidence reversal may change the next edition, but it cannot rewrite this score. At exact +20 hours, an eligible flat or opposite price move settles this edition MISS.
Calculating synchronized evidence without changing the Original recorded result.
Sources, hashes and audit history
- Prediction row hash
- f98fd73c9c9a8d9edfdec107f41ca6fa0092acdff46408e51dca44fbc935e96c
- Prediction receipt hash
- 9489bba22d25282f8904f4f7756f88e57590b2709aea6407ee70f57e42e1797f
- Outcome append hash
- Pending or unavailable
- Model / method
- OTR-PAVURON-INVESTMENT-SCORE-V2 · OTR-EVENT-STUDY-FAIL-CLOSED-C49-V1
Each original result retains its original rules and cohort. Market-adjusted measurements do not regrade it. A saved imported row does not by itself establish membership in the separate historical founder score.