PUBLIC PREDICTION RECEIPT
OTR predicted Apple would fall
838581ff2a823604b3541e08e6173001fb7263c250a04887edd662b62afaa8b8
- Asset
- Apple · AAPL
- Direction
- DOWN
- Created
- Deadline
- Entry
- 309.899994 USD
- Deadline price
- Checking…
- Raw return
- Checking…
- Relevant market return
- Checking…
- Market-adjusted result
- Checking…
- Founder result
- Incorrect ✕
- Scientific event verdict
- Inconclusive until all required evidence passes
- Record status
- Original prediction cannot be secretly changed
Original frozen reason
Unavailable in imported record
Invalidation condition
Unavailable in imported record
Calculating synchronized evidence without changing the Founder result.
Sources, file checks and audit history
- Prediction row file check
- 4a9853765873ab42cb11e7bcfa37f430593ba8cb416eef24f2db83a825c39f83
- Prediction receipt file check
- 838581ff2a823604b3541e08e6173001fb7263c250a04887edd662b62afaa8b8
- Outcome append file check
- 2fb507017653827de39bdb2d3d5337c187fefd9fedfc6da59966cf3f4a847236
- Model / method
- Unavailable in imported record · saved record
Founder Right/Wrong is authoritative and can only be changed by the Founder. Market-adjusted measurements are read-only observations and never mutate that ledger.