PUBLIC PREDICTION RECEIPT
OTR predicted iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF would rise
7a3f15d53207607a9cb9aac87bfb59b374588bd3d3e34ab94f182450ed47de1c
- Asset
- iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF · TLT
- Direction
- UP
- Created
- Deadline
- Entry
- 82.55999755859375 USD
- Deadline price
- Checking…
- Raw return
- Checking…
- Relevant market return
- Checking…
- Market-adjusted result
- Checking…
- Original recorded result
- Not yet graded —
- Scientific event verdict
- Inconclusive until all required evidence passes
- Record status
- Original prediction cannot be secretly changed
Original frozen reason
BULLISH: WEIGHTED_FOUR_INPUT_NET_SIGN under OTR-PAVURON-DIRECTIONAL-CALL-FALLBACK-V1; weighted four-input total +7; confidence HIGH_STRICT; deciding input ALL_FOUR_INPUTS_WEIGHTED_NET.
Invalidation condition
Unavailable in imported record
Calculating synchronized evidence without changing the Original recorded result.
Sources, hashes and audit history
- Prediction row hash
- 0cd61f2f62cf38a19d6332e41569adc59491f0b652a8a2470a2037fdc6392be0
- Prediction receipt hash
- 7a3f15d53207607a9cb9aac87bfb59b374588bd3d3e34ab94f182450ed47de1c
- Outcome append hash
- Pending or unavailable
- Model / method
- OTR-PAVURON-INVESTMENT-SCORE-V4 · OTR-EVENT-STUDY-FAIL-CLOSED-C49-V1
Each original result retains its original rules and cohort. Market-adjusted measurements do not regrade it. A saved imported row does not by itself establish membership in the separate historical founder score.