PUBLIC PREDICTION RECEIPT
OTR predicted SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust would fall
6ea218bd906a2bf23a861c410147c3a735f6ab81c459190dba2808d52dd42b95
- Asset
- SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust · SPY
- Direction
- DOWN
- Created
- Deadline
- Entry
- 776.34 USD
- Deadline price
- Checking…
- Raw return
- Checking…
- Relevant market return
- Checking…
- Market-adjusted result
- Checking…
- Original recorded result
- Not yet graded —
- Scientific event verdict
- Inconclusive until all required evidence passes
- Record status
- Original prediction cannot be secretly changed
Original frozen reason
Current asset- or exposure-aligned headline evidence is negative (-50.0). Pavuron preserves that contradiction and marks the instrument BEARISH.
Invalidation condition
A later evidence reversal may change the next edition, but it cannot rewrite this score. The source-timed +20-hour check remains the only outcome authority.
Calculating synchronized evidence without changing the Original recorded result.
Sources, hashes and audit history
- Prediction row hash
- b8e8b81a1499817eeddb82719171ba9e755707c5183dac4b61059b975b4480e5
- Prediction receipt hash
- 6ea218bd906a2bf23a861c410147c3a735f6ab81c459190dba2808d52dd42b95
- Outcome append hash
- Pending or unavailable
- Model / method
- OTR-PAVURON-INVESTMENT-SCORE-V3 · OTR-EVENT-STUDY-FAIL-CLOSED-C49-V1
Each original result retains its original rules and cohort. Market-adjusted measurements do not regrade it. A saved imported row does not by itself establish membership in the separate historical founder score.