PUBLIC PREDICTION RECEIPT
OTR predicted Microsoft would fall
1a668f2468fe6abf4752b02556d205eb4675dcad98b6fd2e74385697a6380b24
- Asset
- Microsoft · MSFT
- Direction
- DOWN
- Created
- Deadline
- Entry
- 484.30999755859375 USD
- Deadline price
- Checking…
- Raw return
- Checking…
- Relevant market return
- Checking…
- Market-adjusted result
- Checking…
- Original recorded result
- Not yet graded —
- Scientific event verdict
- Inconclusive until all required evidence passes
- Record status
- Original prediction cannot be secretly changed
Original frozen reason
BEARISH: WEIGHTED_FOUR_INPUT_NET_SIGN under OTR-PAVURON-DIRECTIONAL-CALL-FALLBACK-V1; weighted four-input total -6; confidence HIGH_STRICT; deciding input ALL_FOUR_INPUTS_WEIGHTED_NET.
Invalidation condition
Unavailable in imported record
Calculating synchronized evidence without changing the Original recorded result.
Sources, hashes and audit history
- Prediction row hash
- b9c0df937455deb5e21a68a3da74930a59584db09d57c843e25269f944768891
- Prediction receipt hash
- 1a668f2468fe6abf4752b02556d205eb4675dcad98b6fd2e74385697a6380b24
- Outcome append hash
- Pending or unavailable
- Model / method
- OTR-PAVURON-INVESTMENT-SCORE-V4 · OTR-EVENT-STUDY-FAIL-CLOSED-C49-V1
Each original result retains its original rules and cohort. Market-adjusted measurements do not regrade it. A saved imported row does not by itself establish membership in the separate historical founder score.