{
  "schema_version": 1,
  "receipt_schema": "OTR-PREDICTION-RECEIPT-C49-V1",
  "receipt_kind": "FROZEN_PREDICTION",
  "status": "PRESERVED",
  "score_id": "OTR-DAILY-75-2026-09-01-020000-SGT:C68:TLT",
  "edition": "OTR-DAILY-75-2026-09-01-020000-SGT",
  "asset": "iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF",
  "ticker": "TLT",
  "provider_symbol": "TLT",
  "direction": "BEARISH",
  "created_at_sgt": "2026-09-01T02:44:40.325+08:00",
  "deadline_sgt": "2026-09-01T22:44:40.325+08:00",
  "entry": 82.34,
  "currency": "USD",
  "confidence_probability": null,
  "confidence_label": "HIGH_STRICT",
  "expected_reason": "BEARISH: higher oil and inflation-sensitive rate pressure weigh on long duration, the two-source live lock is negative, and the pre-publication beta-binomial 20-hour base rate is below one half. The contradiction is explicit: weak growth or a flight to safety could pull long yields down and lift TLT.",
  "expected_invalidation_conditions": [
    "Invalidate the thesis if long yields fall on verified weak-growth or flight-to-quality evidence and TLT holds above its saved entry."
  ],
  "model_version": "OTR-PREDICTION-EXACTLY-THREE-ALWAYS-20H-C68-V1",
  "data_available_at_prediction": [
    "OTR-PREDICTION-EIGHT-CONSIDERATION-GATE-C68-V1:OTR-DAILY-75-2026-09-01-020000-SGT:01:LIVE_MARKET_PULSE",
    "OTR-PREDICTION-EIGHT-CONSIDERATION-GATE-C68-V1:OTR-DAILY-75-2026-09-01-020000-SGT:02:CURRENT_EVENTS",
    "OTR-PREDICTION-EIGHT-CONSIDERATION-GATE-C68-V1:OTR-DAILY-75-2026-09-01-020000-SGT:03:HISTORICAL_DATA",
    "OTR-PREDICTION-EIGHT-CONSIDERATION-GATE-C68-V1:OTR-DAILY-75-2026-09-01-020000-SGT:04:OTR_HISTORICAL_DATA",
    "OTR-PREDICTION-EIGHT-CONSIDERATION-GATE-C68-V1:OTR-DAILY-75-2026-09-01-020000-SGT:05:OTR_LEARNING_DATA",
    "OTR-PREDICTION-EIGHT-CONSIDERATION-GATE-C68-V1:OTR-DAILY-75-2026-09-01-020000-SGT:06:OTR_GRAPH_LEARNING_DATA",
    "OTR-PREDICTION-EIGHT-CONSIDERATION-GATE-C68-V1:OTR-DAILY-75-2026-09-01-020000-SGT:07:OTR_MARKET_THEME_PATTERN_DATA",
    "OTR-PREDICTION-EIGHT-CONSIDERATION-GATE-C68-V1:OTR-DAILY-75-2026-09-01-020000-SGT:08:INTERNET_MARKET_THEME_DATA"
  ],
  "source_url": "https://api.nasdaq.com/api/quote/TLT/info?assetclass=etf",
  "immutable_prediction_row_sha256": "5dfc12b9560fd80608762bb8c927855f72db18c38087b40ed05f4952cf05eb8f",
  "ledger_boundary": "READ_ONLY; THIS RECEIPT CANNOT WRITE OR CHANGE A FOUNDER RESULT.",
  "hindsight_boundary": "Only fields frozen before publication are ex-ante. Missing historical fields remain unavailable.",
  "artifact_sha256": "fa445748761d170ff020ff48c5d3c67d0f89863afad79ab35c90ae686003a5d7"
}